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PPI "Mixed Bag" Complicates FOMC Dual Mandate, A.I. "Game Changer" for Jobs
Youtube· 2025-09-10 20:50
Joining us today is Joe Misola, our head trading derivative strategist at Charles Schwab, and Kathy Jones, our chief fixed income strategist at the Schwab Center for Financial Research. Now, starting with you, Kathy, I just want to get your takeaways on the data we got this morning on the PPI numbers. Yeah, it came in below expectations um considerably below expectations with some downward revisions the previous month.So, that was certainly welcome. uh news on inflation. I will say though that there's some ...
Equity Risk Premium in Focus: 3-Minute MLIV
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-30 07:12
Equity Market Analysis - US equity markets show positive momentum, contrasting with a different outlook for European investors [1] - The equity market rally appears frothy, with the S&P 500 earnings yield at approximately 425 basis points and the ten-year yield around 428 basis points, resulting in a mildly negative equity risk premium [2] - The current market situation is reminiscent of the period before the dotcom bubble burst in 1999-2000, raising concerns about a potential correction [3] - The market seems to disregard factors like inflation, tariffs, and economic slowdown, focusing solely on rising equity valuations [4] - US stocks are exhibiting exceptionalism, appearing insulated from broader market events [5] - A market correction is anticipated sooner rather than later [6] Currency Market Analysis - The US dollar is trading at a deep discount, with potential for further decline [7] - The Euro is viewed favorably due to its potential to capitalize on US dollar weakness [7] - The ECB is expected to conclude its rate hikes before other major central banks [8] - The Eurozone's current account surplus provides buoyancy to the Euro [9] Gold Market Analysis - Gold is potentially overvalued at $3,300 per ounce [10] - Valuing gold as a deep discount bond suggests a value of around $3,070 per ounce, indicating a risk of correction [11]