Coinbase Institutional's latest monthly outlook report highlights significant leverage clearing from the crypto market after the October 10 liquidation, suggesting a short-term bottom may have formed. Based on options implied distribution, BTC price expectations for the next 3–6 months are between $90K and $160K, with a bullish tilt. The report also cites Fed rate cuts, liquidity easing, and new regulations as medium-term tailwinds, potentially extending the current cycle to 2026. https://t.co/RwntQnXvc9 ...

It's been a tough week for the bulls. The selling in the stock market continued on Friday, extending a decline that puts major indexes on track for a sharp weekly loss. The Nasdaq was down more than 4% in five days, while the S&P 500 lost more than 2%.Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Friday: There are a few takeaways emerging on Wall Street — and one level that forecasters say they're watching. Here's what you need to know: 1. It's all about valuations…The sell-of ...

for more insights. Uh let's bring in Roger Ferguson, former uh Fed uh vice chairman and a CNBC contributor and Sarah Malik, chief investment officer uh at New. Um good to see you both.Happy Friday. Um Roger, what what have you been thinking about the past couple of weeks with with an absence of a lot of uh data points. Look, I've been thinking about the messages the Fed has been delivering and how the sort of the dual man state is creating what I would describe as a dueling Fed.Uh we had one Fed governor, G ...

5 November 2025 | 4:02PM EST Economics Research What's Top of Mind in Macro Research: US shutdown nearing its end, digesting AI concerns and hawkish Fed, Europe's bright growth outlook This week: Transcript Jenny Grimberg +1(212)934-0199 | jenny.grimberg@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Allison Nathan +1(212)357-7504 | allison.nathan@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Ashley Rhodes +1(212)934-4876 | ashley.rhodes@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC US government shutdown: likely nearing the end While the US government ...

Let's get to the outlook for the markets now with stocks taking a little bit of a leg lower. Yang Yu Ma is here PNC asset management chief investment strategist. Welcome back.It's nice to have you. So, how vulnerable do you do you see this market right now. >> I wouldn't say the market is extremely vulnerable.I think the action we're seeing right now is healthy push and pull uh some pullbacks in the market, some resetting, some assessment of the actual growth trends that we're seeing and who can capitalize ...

Welcome back to Schwab Impact here at the Colorado Convention Center. Interest rates, they've been rising since Fed Chair Pal's more hawkish comments during last week's news conference. Kathy Jones is Schwab's chief fixed income strategist and joins us now.It's good to see you. >> Hi, Scott. >> What do you make of the back up in rates.>> You know, I think the market just got way over its skis and expectations for Fed easing. I'm not really sure why because the data weren't really that compelling. Um but now ...

Core Viewpoint - Disney's decision to pull its channels, including ESPN and ABC, from YouTube TV resulted in an increase in its stock price, raising questions about market dynamics and investor sentiment [1]. Market Sentiment - There is a notable polarization in views regarding the future of stocks, with discussions extending beyond traditional concerns about high market valuations [2]. - Current bearish arguments include worries about AI capital expenditure and the significant influence of mega-cap tech companies on market indexes, suggesting a more substantial basis for bearish sentiment [2]. Bullish Perspective - Investors are optimistic about AI spending leading to significant profit growth, which could drive stock prices higher. Additionally, anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts are viewed as beneficial for the market, particularly for sectors sensitive to economic changes [3]. Investment Recommendations - For bullish investors, the expectation of Federal Reserve rate cuts is seen as a positive factor that could stimulate economic activity, despite ongoing inflation concerns [5]. - Bank of America has recommended specific sector ETFs that are positioned to benefit if the economy experiences a boom in early 2026 [7].

Group 1: AI and Technology Sector - President Trump has stated that Nvidia's top AI chips, specifically the Blackwell chips, should only be sold to US customers, indicating potential tighter restrictions on AI chip exports to China [3] - Nvidia announced plans to supply over 260,000 Blackwell AI chips to South Korea, including Samsung, highlighting ongoing international demand for AI technology [4] - Microsoft has signed a nearly $9.7 billion cloud services contract with Iron to access Nvidia's GB300 processors, reflecting the increasing demand for AI and data center infrastructure [16] - Palantir's shares have surged 165% this year, with analysts predicting it could become a trillion-dollar company within the next two to three years [17] - AMD is set to report earnings after the closing bell, having a history of exceeding Wall Street expectations [18] - Qualcomm is entering the AI chip market to compete with AMD and Nvidia, indicating increased competition in the AI-focused server farm sector [19] - Micron's stock has more than doubled in the past three months, driven by interest in AI and memory chips [20] - Nvidia has become the first $5 trillion company, maintaining a dominant position in the AI sector due to its advanced GPU technology [20] Group 2: Oil and Energy Sector - OPEC Plus has agreed to a small oil output increase for December, reflecting expectations of a seasonal slowdown [5][6] - Over the past year, both main oil benchmarks have fallen around 15%, indicating a challenging market environment [6] - Chevron's CFO anticipates supply-driven pressure on oil prices, despite resilient demand [7] - Chevron is preparing for potential price softness while maintaining a focus on long-term investments [8][10] - Chevron has a license to drill in Venezuela, but increasing US tensions may impact operations there [11][12] Group 3: Tesla and Electric Vehicle Market - Tesla is facing a shareholder vote on Elon Musk's $1 trillion pay package, which is performance-based and aims to incentivize significant growth over the next decade [32][34] - Tesla's new car registrations in Europe have dropped significantly, with an 89% decline in Sweden in October [43] - BYD, Tesla's Chinese rival, reported a 32.6% year-on-year profit decline amid a price war in the EV market [46]

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday rose by +0.27% and posted a fresh 2.75-month high.  Hawkish comments on Friday from Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack were supportive of the dollar when they cited reasons for opposing Fed rate cuts.  The dollar also rose after the Oct MNI Chicago PMI rose more than expected.  The dollar has carryover support from Wednesday on hawkish comments from Fed Chair Powell, who said a rate cut at the ...

In addition to all of the things that Pal was doing with Easy Money, he said in the committee's discussions in this meeting, there were strongly differing views about how to proceed in December. And he said this, "A further reduction in the policy rate at the December meeting is not a foregone conclusion. Far from it." Okay. >> Okay.Wait, so the last time we brought up the poly market to talk about Fed rate cuts, we were like, "And then we can go to the next one." We are currently at the next one. When we c ...