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摩根斯坦利:中国已成为AI应用和发展的重要市场 GPU自给能力快速提升
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-05-09 13:58
Core Insights - The global semiconductor industry is facing challenges due to tariff issues and market uncertainties, particularly impacting the Chinese market, but the development of China's AI industry is expected to significantly influence the global semiconductor supply chain [2] Group 1: Semiconductor Industry Trends - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that China's self-sufficiency in AI GPUs is rapidly increasing, with a projected self-sufficiency rate of 34% in 2024, rising to 82% by 2027 [2] - In early 2025, China's imports of semiconductor devices, integrated circuits, and silicon wafers are expected to increase year-on-year, while imports of semiconductor equipment are projected to decline [2] - The report highlights that the recovery of the global semiconductor industry and the rising demand for electronic products are driving the demand for integrated circuits, while U.S. tariffs and technology restrictions are prompting domestic manufacturers to prioritize local semiconductor equipment [2] Group 2: AI Market Developments - The increase in China's GPU self-sufficiency is closely linked to the explosive growth of the domestic cloud AI market, with companies like Moore Threads developing advanced AI computing cards [3] - Moore Threads' MTTS4000 card supports various computing precisions and is designed for large model training, showcasing significant capabilities in AI, scientific computing, and multimedia processing [3] - The MCCX DeepSeek model machine, equipped with the MTTS4000, aims to provide a comprehensive AI infrastructure that lowers the barriers for large model applications [4] Group 3: Market Potential and Forecasts - Nvidia's CEO predicts that China's AI market could reach approximately $50 billion in the next two to three years, emphasizing the importance of this market [5] - Morgan Stanley forecasts that by 2027, China will capture 20% of the global cloud AI market, with a market size of around $48 billion, highlighting China's role in reshaping global competition through open-source innovation and product advantages [5]