Geopolitical uncertainties

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SSR Mining Hits 52-Week High: Should You Buy, Hold or Sell?
ZACKS· 2025-07-08 17:21
Core Insights - SSR Mining Inc. (SSRM) stock reached a 52-week high of $13.48, closing at $13.45, driven by the restart of Seabee mine operations and high gold and silver prices [1][5] - Year-to-date, SSRM shares have increased by 45.1%, outperforming the industry growth of 21% and the Zacks Basic Materials sector and S&P 500 gains of 22.7% and 25%, respectively [1][5] Performance Comparison - SSR Mining has outperformed peers such as Pan American Silver (PAAS), Hecla Mining (HL), and IAMGOLD (IAG), which have year-to-date gains of 35.2%, 30.8%, and 29.1%, respectively [2] Growth Drivers - The current silver price is approximately $36.80 per ounce, near a 13-year high, influenced by U.S. trade policy changes and geopolitical uncertainties, with both silver and gold prices up 27% year-to-date [9] - The silver market is projected to face a deficit of 117.6 million ounces in 2025, marking the fifth consecutive year of deficit, which is favorable for silver prices [10] - Gold prices are expected to rise due to increased central bank purchases and ongoing geopolitical tensions [12] Operational Updates - Seabee mine operations resumed on June 13, 2025, after a two-week suspension due to power outages, with no reported damage [12] - In Q1 2025, Seabee produced 26,001 ounces of gold, a 9.4% year-over-year increase, with expectations of 70,000-80,000 ounces for the full year [13] - The cost of sales for Seabee is projected at $1,230-$1,270 per payable ounce, with an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of $1,710-$1,750 per payable ounce for 2025 [13] Strategic Acquisitions - SSR Mining acquired the Cripple Creek & Victor (CC&V) mine on March 3, 2025, enhancing its U.S. presence and adding approximately 170,000 ounces to annual gold output [14][15] - The acquisition is expected to positively impact key per-share metrics, including NAV, gold production, mineral reserves, and free cash flow [15] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SSR Mining's earnings for 2025 and 2026 has increased by 52.4% and 16%, respectively, over the past 60 days [16] - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is $1.25 per share, indicating a year-over-year increase of 346%, while the estimate for 2026 is $2.02 per share, reflecting a 62% increase [18] Valuation Metrics - SSR Mining is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings multiple of 8.16X, which is below the industry average of 14.44X and cheaper than IAMGOLD at 8.31X [19][20] Long-Term Growth Outlook - SSR Mining has a diversified portfolio with expected gold production at Marigold to exceed 270,000 ounces annually by 2027, with an 18% CAGR from 2024 [21] - Seabee's production is anticipated to average 75,000 ounces annually from 2024 to 2028, with ongoing exploration and resource development to extend mine life [22] Investment Consideration - The strategic acquisition of the CC&V Mine, combined with strong asset performance and rising gold and silver prices, positions SSR Mining favorably for growth, supported by an attractive valuation and upward earnings estimate revisions [25]
Position portfolios for policy and geopolitical uncertainties, says Wells Fargo's Scott Wren
CNBC Television· 2025-07-02 20:48
Market Trends & Trade - S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit all-time highs despite weak ADP jobs report, driven by progress on the trade front [1] - Investors are closely monitoring macro themes like trade and monetary policy [2] - A trade framework with Vietnam was announced, but the 20% tariff is higher than the 10% baseline, potentially underwhelming the market if other deals follow suit [3][9] - The consensus view is that investors are more worried about deals not happening than excited about avoiding market-tanking tariffs [9] - July 9th and August 12th are potential trigger dates for tariff-related issues, suggesting ongoing trade tensions [12][13] Portfolio Strategy & Outlook - Wells Fargo Investment Institute is focusing on quality, trimming back on consumer discretionary and industrial sectors [5] - Clients are holding cash in anticipation of a pullback or circulating it into sectors like technology [6] - The market's breadth has been poor, suggesting a potential pullback is coming relatively soon [6][7] - The institute recommends sticking with quality bonds (3-7 year intermediate part of the curve) and large-cap U S stocks (S&P 500), also U S Mid caps, while being underexposed to emerging markets and developed international markets [7] - Investors may be hesitant to hold large, long positions going into the long weekend, potentially leading to some liquidation [11][12]