Key Takeaways MRK's NDA for its two-drug HIV pill DOR/ISL has been accepted by the FDA, with a decision due in 2026. DOR/ISL showed non-inferiority to current HIV therapies in two pivotal phase III studies. MRK continues HIV research with additional trials and a collaboration with GILD on islatravir combinations.Merck (MRK) announced that the FDA has accepted for review the new drug application (“NDA”) seeking approval for its investigational, once-daily, oral, two-drug, single-tablet regimen of doravirin ...

Key Takeaways GILD's HIV studies on GS-1720 and GS-4182 were paused due to CD4 and lymphocyte count concerns. The clinical hold affects two phase II/III trials and three phase I studies of GILD's HIV candidates. Biktarvy and Descovy remain strong performers as GILD pushes forward with lenacapavir for HIV prevention.Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) announced that the FDA has placed a clinical hold on studies on pipeline candidates, GS-1720 and/or GS-4182, for the treatment of HIV.GS-1720 is an investigational ...

Core Viewpoint - Gilead Sciences' stock experienced a decline of over 2% following negative news regarding its investigational HIV treatment program, contrasting with a 0.6% gain in the S&P 500 index [1][2]. Regulatory Action - The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has ordered a halt to Gilead's clinical trials involving a two-drug combination aimed at treating HIV [2]. - The FDA's decision was prompted by findings of low CD4+ T-cell levels in some trial participants, although the cause of these deficiencies remains unclear [4]. Drug Information - The two drugs involved are GS-1720, a weekly administered treatment, and GS-4182, a pill version of lenacapavir (commercially known as Sunlenca) [5]. - Gilead is also testing these drugs against its existing HIV treatment, Biktarvy, in various stages of clinical trials [4]. Pipeline and Future Prospects - Despite the FDA's hold, Gilead has indicated that it is developing numerous other HIV combination treatments that are not impacted by this regulatory action [5]. - The company maintains a robust pipeline with 58 investigational programs, suggesting that the FDA's pause may not represent a significant setback for Gilead [6].

Core Viewpoint - Gilead Sciences, Inc. has demonstrated strong performance in a volatile market, with shares up 21.1% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the industry and the S&P 500 Index, which declined by 4.7% [1][8]. Group 1: HIV Market Leadership - Gilead is a dominant player in the HIV market, with its flagship drug Biktarvy accounting for over 51% of the treatment market share in the U.S. [4] - The company’s Descovy for pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) maintains over 40% market share in the U.S. [5] - The FDA has accepted new drug applications for lenacapavir for HIV prevention, with a target action date of June 19, 2025, which could enhance Gilead's HIV franchise [5][6]. Group 2: Liver Disease Portfolio - The FDA approval of seladelpar (Livdelzi) for primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) strengthens Gilead's liver disease portfolio and validates its CymaBay acquisition [7][9]. Group 3: Oncology Business Challenges - Gilead's oncology portfolio, including the Cell Therapy franchise and Trodelvy, faces competitive pressures, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, which are expected to continue into 2025 [10]. - Despite challenges, positive results from the phase III ASCENT-03 study on Trodelvy indicate potential for improvement in the oncology business [11]. Group 4: Financial Performance and Estimates - Gilead's shares trade at a price/earnings ratio of 13.70x forward earnings, lower than the large-cap pharma industry's average of 14.62x but higher than its historical mean of 10.53x [12]. - Earnings estimates for Gilead have increased, with the 2025 bottom-line estimate rising to $7.91 from $7.87, and the 2026 estimate improving to $8.39 from $8.31 [14]. Group 5: Strategic Positioning and Dividends - Gilead's strategic deals and acquisitions are aimed at diversifying its business, although Biktarvy sales may face pressure due to Medicare Part D redesign [17]. - The company has a strong cash position of $7.9 billion as of March 31, 2025, and has consistently increased dividends, declaring a quarterly dividend of $0.79 per share for Q2 2025, indicating a sustainable yield of 2.91% [18].

Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) and GSK (GSK) are pioneers in the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) treatment space.Gilead Sciences is a dominant player in the HIV market with market-leading treatments. HIV drug sales accounted for 69% of total product sales in the first quarter of 2025. GILD’s diverse portfolio also includes drugs for liver, hematology/oncology and inflammation/respiratory diseases.GSK, too, has a strong HIV portfolio in the industry. HIV drug sales accounted for 23% of total sales in the fi ...

Core Viewpoint - Gilead Sciences, Inc. reported disappointing first-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.81 and total revenues of $6.7 billion, both missing consensus estimates [1][2][3] Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS of $1.81 missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by a penny, compared to a loss per share of $1.32 in the same quarter last year [1] - Total revenues of $6.7 billion were flat year over year and missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.8 billion [1] - Total product sales decreased 1% year over year to $6.6 billion, while excluding Veklury, product sales increased 4% to $6.3 billion [3] Product Sales Breakdown - HIV product sales grew 6% year over year to $4.6 billion, exceeding both the Zacks Consensus Estimate and model estimate of $4.5 billion [3] - Biktarvy sales increased 7% year over year to $3.15 billion but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.2 billion [4] - Descovy sales surged 38% year over year to $586 million, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $479 million [5] - Liver Disease portfolio sales rose 3% to $758 million, driven by higher demand for HBV and HDV drugs [6] - Veklury sales plummeted 45% to $302 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $387 million [7] - Cell Therapy product sales decreased 3% to $464 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $491 million [7] Cost and Margin Analysis - Adjusted product gross margin slightly increased to 85.5% from 85.4% in the year-ago quarter [11] - Research and development expenses totaled $1.3 billion, down from $1.4 billion in the previous year [11] - SG&A expenses amounted to $1.2 billion, down from $1.3 billion [11] Dividend and Guidance - Gilead declared a quarterly dividend of $0.79 per share for Q2 2025, payable on June 27, 2025 [12] - The company reiterated its 2025 guidance, projecting product sales between $28.2 billion and $28.6 billion, with adjusted EPS anticipated in the range of $7.70-$8.10 [13] Pipeline Updates - The FDA accepted new drug application submissions for lenacapavir for HIV prevention, with a target action date of June 19, 2025 [14] - Gilead received conditional marketing authorization for seladelpar for the treatment of primary biliary cholangitis [14] Overall Performance Assessment - Gilead's first-quarter results were disappointing, particularly due to a decline in oncology drugs affecting revenue growth [15] - Despite challenges, Biktarvy maintained its dominant position in the HIV market, and Descovy showed strong performance [15] - The potential approval of lenacapavir could further strengthen Gilead's HIV franchise amid increasing competition [16]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The base business, excluding Veclury, grew 4% year over year, primarily driven by growth in the HIV business [6][50] - Total product sales, including Veclury, were down by 1% from last year, reflecting fewer COVID-19 related hospitalizations [8][50] - Non-GAAP diluted EPS was $1.81, with a product gross margin flat year over year at 85% [52][54] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - HIV sales were up 6% year over year, with Biktarvy sales increasing by 7% [7][22] - Livedelzi achieved first-quarter sales of $40 million, reflecting early momentum in its launch [27] - Veclury sales were down 45% year over year, reflecting lower rates of COVID-19 related hospitalizations [28] - Trodelvy sales were down 5% year over year, impacted by inventory dynamics and lower average realized price [29][98] - Cell therapy sales were down 3% year over year, with Yescarta sales up 2% year over year [31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The HIV treatment market continues to grow at an expected rate of 23% annually [22] - Descovy sales increased by 38% year over year, driven by higher average realized price and demand [23][78] - The liver disease segment saw sales of $758 million, up 3% year over year [26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on multiple upcoming launches, including lenacapavir, anetocel, and Trodelvy [13][34] - Gilead Sciences, Inc. has no major loss of exclusivity (LOE) until the end of 2033, positioning itself for top-line growth across therapeutic areas [14] - The company is increasing investment in US manufacturing and R&D infrastructure [15][89] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the upcoming FDA decision on lenacapavir for PrEP, with a potential launch immediately following [9][38] - The company remains well-positioned to adapt to potential policy outcomes in the US [14] - Management noted that the first quarter was lighter than expected but emphasized the variability of the business [54][93] Other Important Information - Gilead Sciences, Inc. received an upgrade in its long-term debt rating from BBB+ to A- [58] - The company returned $1.7 billion to shareholders in the first quarter of 2025 through dividends and share repurchases [58] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expectations for lenacapavir for PrEP and reimbursement dynamics - Management is excited about the upcoming PDUFA date and expects around 75% access within the first six months post-launch, reaching about 90% at the twelve-month mark [62] Question: Impact of HHS and CDC cuts on launch dynamics - Management has not seen anything that would alter plans for the lenacapavir launch and is actively engaging with policymakers [68] Question: Implications of COVID-19 on Descovy and lenacapavir - Descovy saw a 38% growth year over year, driven by market development initiatives, which supports the opportunity for lenacapavir [78] Question: Tariff risks and US market supply - Management indicated that the majority of Gilead's IP is in the US, which suggests lower value for pharmaceutical imports, and they have invested significantly in US manufacturing [86][89] Question: Cannibalization of Descovy by lenacapavir - Management believes lenacapavir will attract both switch patients from daily orals and naive patients, potentially accelerating market growth [124]