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ETFs to Buy Post JNJ's Q4 Earnings Surprise & Bullish Cash Flow View
ZACKS· 2026-01-23 18:55
Core Insights - Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter 2025 results, continuing its streak of earnings beats and surpassing sales estimates [1][12] Financial Performance - JNJ's fourth-quarter earnings per share (EPS) reached $2.46, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.2% and improving 20.6% year-over-year [5] - Sales grew 9.1% year-over-year to $24.56 billion, also surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.8% [5] - Sales from Innovative Medicines increased by 10% year-over-year, while MedTech sales rose by 7.1% [5] Segment Highlights - Sales of Darzalex, a multiple myeloma medicine, surged 26.6% year-over-year to $3.90 billion [6] - Other oncology drugs, Erleada, Carvykti, and Talvey, saw significant sales growth of 22.4%, 65.8%, and 75.8% respectively [6] - In MedTech, single-digit growth in electrophysiology products and double-digit growth in Cardiovascular businesses contributed to overall performance [7] Future Outlook - JNJ's management anticipates solid sales growth in 2026 driven by investments in R&D and M&A, including new drug launches and state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities [8][9] - The company expects free cash flow generation to increase to approximately $21 billion in 2026 from $19.7 billion in the previous year [10] Market Reaction - Following the Q4 earnings report, JNJ's stock experienced a brief dip of 3% in pre-market trading but recovered to gain 0.2% the following day [2] - Morgan Stanley raised its price target for JNJ to $200, citing potential drug launches and late-stage data releases as key performance drivers [13] Investment Opportunities - Healthcare exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provide a lower-risk entry point for investors looking to gain exposure to JNJ [3] - Notable ETFs include: - iShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF (IHE) with a 22.56% share of JNJ, which has rallied 32.2% over the past year [14] - State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) with a 9.16% share of JNJ, which has risen 11.8% over the past year [15][16] - Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT) with a 4.49% share of JNJ, which has increased by 12.8% over the past year [17][18]
Spotlight on Health ETFs as NVO & LLY Cut Obesity Drug Price in China
ZACKS· 2026-01-02 15:56
Core Insights - Pharma giants Novo Nordisk (NVO) and Eli Lilly (LLY) have significantly reduced prices for their obesity drugs, Wegovy and Mounjaro, in China, with some Wegovy dosages cut by nearly 48% to as low as 987 yuan ($141) per month [1][2][10] - This price reduction has raised concerns among investors regarding future profitability, leading to a decline in share prices for both companies [2][10] - The competitive landscape for obesity drugs is intensifying, with the emergence of oral GLP-1 agents and increasing pressure from domestic competitors and impending generics [4][7] Industry Overview - The global obesity drug market is becoming highly competitive, with NVO and LLY as key players. Novo recently received FDA approval for an oral version of Wegovy, while Eli Lilly is preparing to launch its own oral GLP-1, orforglipron, in 2026 [4][6] - In China, the obesity prevalence is projected to exceed 65% of the population by 2030, creating a substantial market opportunity for obesity drug manufacturers [6] - The pricing strategies of NVO and LLY reflect a global trend towards competitive pricing to maintain market share and patient loyalty amid rising competition [7] Investment Strategy - For investors looking to capitalize on the obesity drug market while minimizing individual stock risks, diversified Healthcare exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are recommended [3][9] - The "China price war" presents an opportunity for investors to pivot towards ETFs, which can provide exposure to the overall growth of the pharmaceutical sector without the volatility associated with individual stocks [8][9] Healthcare ETFs to Consider - **State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV)**: AUM of $39.93 billion, exposure to 60 companies, top holdings include LLY (15.18%), JNJ (8.82%), and ABBV (7.19%), gained 13.3% over the past year [12][13] - **Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT)**: Net assets of $17.7 billion, exposure to 417 companies, top holdings include LLY (12.39%), ABBV (4.85%), and JNJ (4.42%), rallied 14.2% over the past year [14] - **iShares U.S. Healthcare ETF (IYH)**: Net assets of $3.57 billion, exposure to 103 companies, top holdings include LLY (14.79%), JNJ (8.56%), and ABBV (6.95%), gained 12% over the past year [15] - **iShares Global Healthcare ETF (IXJ)**: Net assets of $4.50 billion, exposure to 114 companies, top holdings include LLY (10.77%), JNJ (6.29%), and ABBV (5.10%), gained 14.1% over the past year [16] - **VanEck Pharmaceutical ETF (PPH)**: AUM of $1.28 billion, exposure to 26 pharmaceutical companies, top holdings include LLY (20.766%), NVS (10.04%), MRK (8.91%), and NVO (6.45%), surged 21.6% over the past year [17]
The Obesity Pill Rush: Healthcare ETFs to Gain as FDA Nods to Novo Drug
ZACKS· 2025-12-29 14:50
Core Insights - The FDA's approval of Novo Nordisk's oral obesity pill, Wegovy, represents a significant advancement in the weight-loss drug market, enhancing the company's long-term profitability and cash flow visibility [1][4] Company Overview - Novo Nordisk's oral Wegovy is the first GLP-1 tablet approved for chronic weight management, offering a lower-cost and more convenient alternative to injectable forms, which could improve production capacity utilization and profit margins [2][6][11] - The drug has shown impressive efficacy, with participants in a clinical trial losing an average of 16.6% of their body weight over 64 weeks, matching the results of the injectable version [5] Market Dynamics - The obesity prevalence among U.S. adults is currently at 40.3%, indicating a substantial market opportunity for Wegovy [7] - The oral formulation is expected to drive unprecedented demand, solidifying Novo Nordisk's position in the competitive obesity drug market [6] Investment Opportunities - Investors may consider healthcare ETFs as a strategic way to gain exposure to Novo Nordisk's growth while mitigating risks associated with direct stock investment [3][8] - Notable healthcare ETFs include: - Roundhill GLP-1 & Weight Loss ETF (OZEM) with $45.9 million AUM, featuring a 19.81% weightage in NVO and a year-to-date surge of 45.9% [13] - Amplify Weight Loss Drug & Treatment ETF (THNR) with $2.87 million AUM, holding a 12.55% weightage in NVO and a year-to-date increase of 15.9% [14] - VanEck Pharmaceutical ETF (PPH) with $1.19 billion AUM, featuring a 6.59% weightage in NVO and a year-to-date rise of 23.1% [15]
ETFs to Watch Post JNJ's Q3 Earnings Surprise & Bullish Outlook
ZACKS· 2025-10-16 13:56
Core Insights - Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) reported better-than-expected third-quarter 2025 results, continuing its streak of earnings and sales beats, and raised its top-line guidance for the year [1][4][7] Financial Performance - JNJ's Q3 earnings per share (EPS) reached $2.80, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.1% and improving 15.7% year-over-year [4] - Sales grew 6.8% year-over-year to $23.99 billion, also surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1% [4] - Sales from Innovative Medicines and MedTech segments both increased by 6.8% year-over-year [4] Product Performance - Sales of the multiple myeloma drug Darzalex surged 21.7% year-over-year to $3.67 billion [5] - Other oncology drugs, Erleada, Carvykti, and Tecvayli, saw sales growth of 18.4%, 83.5%, and 31.3% respectively [5] - However, sales of Imbruvica and Zytiga declined by 7.8% and 25.1% respectively [5] - In the MedTech segment, growth was driven by electrophysiology products and the Cardiovascular business [6] 2025 Outlook - JNJ raised its sales expectation for 2025 from $93.2-$93.6 billion to $93.5-$93.9 billion, with adjusted operational sales growth expected to be in the range of 3.5-4.0% [7] - The company anticipates adjusted EPS to be in the range of $10.80-$10.90 [7] Strategic Moves - JNJ announced plans to separate its Orthopaedics franchise, DePuy Synthes, which has been underperforming [8] - Following the positive results, Raymond James raised its price target for JNJ from $174 to $209, citing a strong product pipeline for future growth [8] ETFs Exposure - JNJ is a significant component in various healthcare ETFs, including: - iShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF (IHE) with a 23.47% share and an 8.6% year-to-date gain [9] - Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) with an 8.88% share and a 3.6% year-to-date gain [11] - iShares U.S. Healthcare ETF (IYH) with an 8.55% share and a 3.9% year-to-date gain [12] - First Trust Nasdaq Pharmaceuticals ETF (FTXH) with a 7.56% share and a 7.6% year-to-date gain [13] - Fidelity MSCI Health Care Index ETF (FHLC) with a 7.52% share and a 5% year-to-date gain [14]
ETFs to Gain on JNJ's Solid Q1 Earnings & Upbeat Outlook
ZACKS· 2025-07-17 16:01
Core Insights - Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter 2025 results, continuing its streak of earnings beats and exceeding revenue estimates [1][3] - The company raised its revenue guidance for fiscal 2025 and increased its quarterly dividends [5][6] Financial Performance - JNJ's earnings per share (EPS) was $2.77, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.66, but declined 1.8% year-over-year [3] - Revenues grew 5.8% year-over-year to $23.74 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $22.80 billion [3] - Innovative Medicines sales advanced 4.9%, while MedTech device sales jumped 7.3% [4] - Sales of Darzalex, a blood cancer treatment, increased 23% to $3.5 billion, while Xarelto generated $621 million, up 5.6% year-over-year [4] Guidance and Outlook - JNJ raised its revenue guidance for fiscal 2025 to $93.2-$93.6 billion from $91.0-$91.8 billion, indicating year-over-year growth of 5.1%-5.6% [5] - Adjusted EPS guidance was lifted to $10.80-$10.90 from $10.50-$10.70 due to stronger top-line performance and reduced tariff impact [5] Dividend and Price Target - The quarterly dividend was increased to $1.30 per share from $1.24, marking the 63rd consecutive annual increase [6] - Stifel raised its price target on JNJ to $165.00 from $155.00, citing confidence from multiple new product launches [6] ETFs in Focus - iShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF (IHE) has a 22.7% allocation to JNJ, with $561.2 million in AUM [7] - VanEck Vectors Pharmaceutical ETF (PPH) holds 10.3% of its assets in JNJ, with $534.6 million in AUM [8] - Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) has JNJ at 7.7% of its assets, managing $33.8 billion [9][10] - iShares U.S. Healthcare ETF (IYH) allocates 7.5% to JNJ, with $2.7 billion in AUM [11] - First Trust Nasdaq Pharmaceuticals ETF (FTXH) also has JNJ as the top holding at 7.5% of its assets [12]