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J&J Expects Oncology Sales of USD 50B by 2030: Can It Achieve the Goal?
ZACKS· 2025-07-18 16:10
Core Insights - Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) aims to achieve oncology sales of $50 billion by the end of the decade, significantly higher than current projections [1][3]. Oncology Sales Performance - Oncology currently accounts for approximately 27% of JNJ's total revenues, with sales increasing by 22.3% operationally in Q2 to $6.3 billion, driven by strong market growth and key products like Darzalex and Erleada [2][11]. - JNJ's oncology sales have doubled from $10.7 billion in 2019 to an expected $20.8 billion in 2024, indicating robust growth [5]. Pipeline and Future Growth - JNJ's oncology pipeline has gained momentum, with eight proof-of-concept readouts leading to late-stage pivotal studies, which could further enhance sales if approved [4]. - Upcoming drug launches, including TAR-200 and a subcutaneous formulation of Rybrevant plus Lazcluze, are expected to contribute significantly to future sales growth [3][11]. Competitive Landscape - Major competitors in the oncology space include Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Merck, and Bristol-Myers, each with strong portfolios and pipelines [6][7][8][9]. - AstraZeneca's oncology sales represent about 41% of its total revenues, while Merck's Keytruda accounts for around 50% of its pharmaceutical sales [8][9]. Valuation and Market Performance - JNJ's shares have outperformed the industry, rising 14.6% year-to-date compared to a 1.5% increase for the industry [12]. - The company's shares are reasonably priced, trading at a price/earnings ratio of 14.97, slightly below the industry average of 15.04 [14]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for JNJ's 2025 earnings has increased from $10.60 to $10.66 per share over the past 30 days, indicating positive market sentiment [15].
Johnson & Johnson Tops Q2 Estimates
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-16 18:10
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 5.68%), a global healthcare leader best known for its pharmaceutical, MedTech, and medical device portfolio, reported earnings for Q2 2025 on Wednesday, July 16, 2025, that topped analysts' consensus estimates. The company exceeded market expectations for both adjusted earnings and revenue, even as some non-GAAP profitability measures dipped from the prior year. Revenue was $23.7 billion, topping the analyst estimate of $22.85 billion, while adjusted EPS came in at $2.77 versus an est ...
JNJ Begins Drug Sector Q2 Earnings With a Beat & Guidance Raise
ZACKS· 2025-07-16 15:55
Core Insights - Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) reported second-quarter 2025 earnings of $2.77 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.66, but reflecting a 1.8% decline year over year [1] - Total sales reached $23.74 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $22.80 billion, with a year-over-year increase of 5.8% [2] - The company raised its 2025 sales forecast to a range of $93.2 billion to $93.4 billion, indicating a growth of 5.1% to 5.6% compared to previous expectations [18][19] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings, excluding intangible amortization and special items, were reported at $2.77 per share, while reported earnings, including these items, were $2.29 per share, up 18.7% year over year [1] - Domestic sales increased by 7.8% to $13.54 billion, while international sales rose by 3.2% to $10.2 billion [3] Segment Performance - The Innovative Medicines segment saw sales rise by 4.9% year over year to $15.2 billion, driven by strong performances from key products like Darzalex and Erleada [5][6] - The MedTech segment reported sales of $8.54 billion, up 7.3% from the previous year, benefiting from operational growth and currency impacts [16] Product Highlights - Darzalex sales increased by 23.0% to $3.54 billion, outperforming estimates [7] - Stelara sales declined by 42.7% to $1.65 billion due to biosimilar competition [11][12] - New drugs such as Carvykti and Tecvayli contributed significantly to sales growth, with Carvykti recording $439 million in sales [10] Future Outlook - JNJ anticipates operational sales growth in both the Innovative Medicine and MedTech segments to be higher in the second half of 2025 [25] - The company considers 2025 a "catalyst year" for growth, despite challenges such as the Stelara patent cliff and ongoing legal issues [26]
J&J(JNJ) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-07-16 12:30
Q2 2025 Financial Performance - Worldwide sales reached $23.7 billion, a 5.8% increase compared to Q2 2024, with operational sales growth of 4.6%[47] - U S sales increased by 7.8% to $13.5 billion in Q2 2025 from $12.6 billion in Q2 2024[47] - Adjusted earnings were $6.7 billion, and adjusted EPS was $2.77[49] - GAAP net earnings increased to $5.5 billion, a rise of 18.2%[49] Innovative Medicine - Innovative Medicine sales reached $15.202 billion, with operational growth of 3.8%[51] - Oncology sales grew by 22.3% operationally, reaching $6.312 billion[51] - Immunology sales declined by 16% operationally, totaling $3.993 billion, impacted by STELARA biosimilar competition[51] MedTech - MedTech sales were $8.541 billion, with operational growth of 6.1%[53] - Cardiovascular sales increased by 22.3% operationally, reaching $2.313 billion[53] - Orthopaedics sales decreased by 1.6% operationally, totaling $2.305 billion[53] Guidance - The company increased its operational sales guidance for 2025 to 4.8% and adjusted operational EPS guidance to 7.0% (midpoints)[62] - Operational sales are projected to be between $92.7 billion and $93.1 billion[62]
Johnson & Johnson's Outlook Clouded By $2 Billion Headwind
Benzinga· 2025-07-09 18:38
Group 1 - Johnson & Johnson is set to release its second-quarter earnings on July 16, with analysts estimating adjusted earnings of $2.68 per share and sales of $22.85 billion [1] - Investor focus will be on the updated 2025 guidance, the impact of tariffs and biosimilars, and the progress of the company's pipeline and recent product launches [1][3] - Bank of America Securities has updated its revenue estimates for Johnson & Johnson for 2025 and beyond ahead of the earnings release [2] Group 2 - Bank of America slightly increased its second-quarter 2025 revenue and EPS estimates by 1% due to improved foreign exchange rates, with similar modest increases projected for the later 2020s [4] - Despite the upward revisions, Bank of America maintains a Neutral rating and a price forecast of $61, considering the stock fairly valued [5] - Johnson & Johnson anticipates a $2 billion net headwind in 2025, affecting various assets while Xarelto is expected to benefit [6] Group 3 - CFO Joseph Wolk revised the estimated 2025 tariff impact down to $200 million from $400 million, with the majority expected in the second half of the year [7] - A federal court sided with the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, rejecting Johnson & Johnson's attempt to alter its participation in the 340B Drug Pricing Program [7][8]
Merck Faces Multiple Challenges: Will It Steer Through Successfully?
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 14:25
Core Insights - Merck (MRK) is anticipated to encounter significant challenges affecting its long-term growth, primarily due to the expected loss of exclusivity for its leading PD-L1 inhibitor, Keytruda, in 2028 [1][10] - Keytruda, which accounts for approximately 50% of Merck's sales, generated $7.21 billion in Q1 2025, reflecting a 6% year-over-year increase [2][10] - The company is also facing declining sales for its second-largest product, Gardasil, which saw a 40% drop in Q1 2025 due to weak demand in China [3][10] Revenue Drivers - Keytruda is projected to maintain strong sales until its patent expiration in 2028, with an estimated compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.4% over the next three years [2] - Gardasil's sales have been declining, with a 3% decrease to $8.58 billion in 2024, and a negative CAGR of 6.4% expected over the next three years [4] Regulatory Impact - The redesign of Medicare Part D under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), effective in 2025, is expected to negatively impact sales of Merck's diabetes drug, Januvia/Janumet, in 2026, and Keytruda starting in 2028 [5][10] - Other pharmaceutical companies, including J&J, Pfizer, and Eli Lilly, are also anticipating adverse effects from the Medicare Part D changes [8] Future Growth Potential - Merck's new products, such as the 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, Capvaxive, and the pulmonary arterial hypertension drug, Winrevair, are expected to support growth post-Keytruda exclusivity [6] - The company is actively seeking to diversify its product offerings, particularly in the non-oncology sector, to mitigate potential challenges [6] Market Performance - Year-to-date, Merck's shares have decreased by 18.2%, contrasting with a 1.1% decline in the industry [11] - Merck's current price/earnings ratio stands at 8.71, which is lower than the industry average of 14.93 and its own 5-year mean of 12.83, indicating an attractive valuation [12] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Merck's 2025 earnings has slightly decreased from $8.94 to $8.91 per share, while the estimate for 2026 has dropped from $9.77 to $9.73 over the past 60 days [13]
Pfizer to Face Several Headwinds: Can It Successfully Navigate Them?
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 15:26
Key Takeaways PFE expects steady 2025 COVID sales but anticipates major LOE losses and IRA headwinds in the future. Medicare Part D changes may cut into sales of key PFE drugs like Vyndaqel, Ibrance, Xtandi and Xeljanz. PFE trades at 7.82x forward earnings, below industry average, with EPS estimates rising for 2025 and 2026.Pfizer (PFE) is likely to encounter several headwinds in the next couple of years that can hurt its sales and profits, the first being declining sales of COVID products, Comirnaty and ...
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) FY Conference Transcript
2025-06-11 20:20
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) FY Conference June 11, 2025 03:20 PM ET Speaker0 America. And, we are front and center wanting to work with the administration. And there's areas that I would say organizationally and and from an industry perspective, think we could have a substantial impact. And and some of it, we're encouraged by the administration recognizes it. Some of them, the middlemen, focusing on the PBM reform, 340B reform, areas where we can bring the cost and drive it down to the patient so they can actua ...
ORIC Stock Surges on Upbeat Initial Data From Prostate Cancer Study
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 16:55
Shares of ORIC Pharmaceuticals (ORIC) surged more than 20% in the pre-market hours today after announcing potentially best-in-class preliminary efficacy and safety data from the ongoing early-stage study of its novel, once-daily candidate, ORIC-944, for prostate cancer. ORIC-944, in combination with AR inhibitors, J&J’s (JNJ) Erleada (apalutamide) and Bayer’s (BAYRY) Nubeqa (darolutamide), is being evaluated in the phase Ib study for treating patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mC ...
ORIC® Pharmaceuticals Announces Potentially Best-In-Class Preliminary Efficacy and Safety Data from Ongoing Phase 1b Trial of ORIC-944 in Combination with AR Inhibitors for the Treatment of Patients with mCRPC
GlobeNewswire· 2025-05-28 20:05
Core Insights - ORIC Pharmaceuticals announced promising preliminary efficacy and safety data for ORIC-944 in combination with androgen receptor inhibitors in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) [1][3] - The company reported a 59% PSA50 response rate and a 24% PSA90 response rate in the ongoing Phase 1b trial, indicating substantial clinical activity [1][6] - A concurrent financing of $125 million is expected to extend the company's cash runway into the second half of 2027, supporting further development of ORIC-944 [10] Efficacy Data - The Phase 1b trial showed a confirmed PSA50 response rate of 47% and a PSA90 response rate of 24%, with responses observed across all dose levels of ORIC-944 [1][6][7] - The majority of patients are still ongoing with treatment, with several approaching one year or more on therapy [1][7] Safety Profile - ORIC-944 demonstrated a favorable safety profile, with most adverse events classified as Grade 1 or 2, primarily mild to moderate gastrointestinal issues [2][8] - Diarrhea was the most common treatment-related adverse event, occurring in 53% of patients, with only one Grade 3 event reported [8] Trial Design and Next Steps - The ongoing Phase 1b trial is designed to explore different doses of ORIC-944 in combination with apalutamide and darolutamide, with the primary objective of determining the recommended Phase 2 dose [4][9] - Following the completion of the dose exploration phase, the company plans to evaluate candidate doses for optimization in the second half of 2025, leading to a global Phase 3 trial expected to start in the first half of 2026 [9] Corporate Update - The $125 million financing is anticipated to close on May 29, 2025, and will support the company's operations through the primary endpoint readout of the first Phase 3 trial [10]