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中银国际:降名创优品目标价至46.1港元 料核心业务第四季再改善
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 09:01
该行认为,名创优品在成功执行各项举措后,正处于实现更强劲内生增长的良好轨道上,同时从长期增 长前景来看,其估值并不高;预期名创优品的股份回购计划,也将支撑其股价,以减轻收购永辉超市所 带来的部分拖累。 中银国际称,名创优品今年第三季的业绩好坏参半,考虑到市场不确定性增加,料投资者对公司收购永 辉超市及其整体策略持更加谨慎态度。不过,若聚焦名创优品核心业务,该行相信公司凭借其强大的IP 策略,正走在正确的轨道中,有望在全球范围内获取更多市场份额。该行将名创优品2025至2027财年的 调整后每股盈利预测。分别上调4%、下调6%、下调7%,但将报告的每股盈利预测下调35%、22%、 20%。 中银国际发布研报称,市场对名创优品(09896)的核心业务担忧过度了,这或提供买入机会,尤其是如 果在收购永辉超市(601933)的负面因素有所缓解情况下。基于2026年预测调整后15倍每股盈利计算, 予H股目标价从48.4港元降至46.1港元;美股(MNSO.US)目标价从24.8美元降至23.6美元,相当于2025年 预测调整后每股盈利19倍,或今明两年预测报告每股盈利29倍、18倍;维持"买入"评级。 ...
中银国际:降名创优品(09896)目标价至46.1港元 料核心业务第四季再改善
智通财经网· 2025-11-24 08:50
中银国际称,名创优品今年第三季的业绩好坏参半,考虑到市场不确定性增加,料投资者对公司收购永 辉超市及其整体策略持更加谨慎态度。不过,若聚焦名创优品核心业务,该行相信公司凭借其强大的IP 策略,正走在正确的轨道中,有望在全球范围内获取更多市场份额。该行将名创优品2025至2027财年的 调整后每股盈利预测。分别上调4%、下调6%、下调7%,但将报告的每股盈利预测下调35%、22%、 20%。 该行认为,名创优品在成功执行各项举措后,正处于实现更强劲内生增长的良好轨道上,同时从长期增 长前景来看,其估值并不高; 预期名创优品的股份回购计划,也将支撑其股价,以减轻收购永辉超市所 带来的部分拖累。 智通财经APP获悉,中银国际发布研报称,市场对名创优品(09896)的核心业务担忧过度了,这或提供买 入机会,尤其是如果在收购永辉超市的负面因素有所缓解情况下。基于2026年预测调整后15倍每股盈利 计算,予H股目标价从48.4港元降至46.1港元;美股(MNSO.US)目标价从24.8美元降至23.6美元,相当于 2025年预测调整后每股盈利19倍,或今明两年预测报告每股盈利29倍、18倍; 维持"买入"评级。 ...
名创优品20250523
2025-05-25 15:31
Summary of MINISO's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: MINISO (名创优品) - **Industry**: Retail, specifically in the consumer goods sector Key Financial Performance - **Q1 2025 Revenue**: 44.3 billion RMB, a 19% year-over-year increase, exceeding expectations of 15% to 18% growth [2][9] - **Brand Revenue**: 40.9 billion RMB, up 16.5% year-over-year [2][9] - **Domestic Market Contribution**: 24.9 billion RMB, a 9% increase [9] - **Overseas Market Contribution**: 15.9 billion RMB, a 30% increase, with overseas revenue share rising to 36% [2][9] - **Gross Margin**: 44.2%, up 1 percentage point year-over-year [2][10] - **Adjusted EBITDA Margin**: 23.4% [10] - **Adjusted Net Profit Margin**: 16.6% [10] Domestic Market Insights - **Same-store Sales**: Decline has narrowed significantly, with positive growth in first and second-tier cities, while northern regions still face challenges [3][13] - **Management Strategies**: Focus on enhancing operational quality through strategic management improvements and data-driven insights [3][6] - **Store Strategy**: Closing inefficient small stores while opening larger, more efficient ones [10][24] Overseas Market Strategies - **North America**: Focus on improving store operation quality and cost control, with a 30% increase in overseas revenue [5][9] - **Supply Chain Adjustments**: Increasing local inventory and sourcing to reduce reliance on imports, with local sourcing in the U.S. nearing 40% [4][16] - **Market Expansion**: Plans to open new stores in key U.S. states to enhance customer satisfaction and operational efficiency [18] Product and IP Strategy - **IP Development**: Continued focus on proprietary IP and interest-driven consumption, with new product lines like the "吉福特熊" expected to generate 4-5 billion RMB in sales [2][19] - **Product Innovation**: Introduction of new product series such as the Spring Festival series and Sakura series, which have received positive market feedback [3][19] Future Outlook - **Growth Strategy**: Emphasis on same-store sales growth while dynamically adjusting new store openings based on performance [25] - **Financial Management**: Commitment to shareholder returns through dividends and share buybacks, with a dividend of 740 million RMB announced [12][8] - **Cost Management**: Focus on improving operational efficiency and managing expenses to ensure healthy profit growth [12][10] Additional Insights - **TOP TOY Performance**: The TOP TOY brand saw a 59% revenue increase in Q1 2025, with self-selected products accounting for over 40% of sales [7] - **Franchisee Confidence**: Increased investment returns for franchisees, with new store openings primarily operated by them, indicating strong brand confidence [14][15] - **Third-party Product Strategy**: Careful selection of third-party products to maintain gross margins while enhancing customer experience [21][22][23] This summary encapsulates the key points from MINISO's conference call, highlighting financial performance, market strategies, product innovation, and future outlook.