"低价低质的恶性竞争，正在卷死研发、卷垮品牌、卷乱市场预期。"这是广东优凯科技有限公司董事长 黄平致经济日报编辑部的信中发出的痛心疾呼。他揭开了洗涤剂行业无序竞争的乱象——活性物含量不 足5%的劣质产品凭借低价抢占市场，优质产品却陷入竞争劣势。 如何跳出这场"泥坑里的混战"，破局"内卷式"竞争，以全国统一大市场建设推动企业、行业高质量发 展？这一话题近期也引起企业家的热议和关注。 反内卷： 从无序血拼到规则共建 "内卷式"竞争的本质，是市场机制失灵下的非理性竞争。企业无法通过差异化或技术优势取胜，便只能 陷入价格战，最终导致全行业"增产不增收"。 "产业周期就像一年有四季，是自然循环、可自我修复的临时性波动，熬一熬就能过去。但结构性问题 则更严峻，具有隐蔽的破坏性，本质上是零和博弈，表现为集体层面非理性繁荣之后的无序、失衡与冲 突。"协鑫集团董事长朱共山说。 让市场体系高效运行，清除妨碍市场公平竞争的一个个"路障"，是全国统一大市场建设的题中之义。 华润啤酒原董事会主席侯孝海提到，"内卷式"竞争带来的是对产业、商业的伤害，其并没有解决供应和 需求之间的不平衡，反而加大了整个商业生态的不稳定性。 今年以来，"反 ...

Core Insights - MINISO Group reported a record high total revenue of 5.8 billion yuan for Q3 2025, marking a 28% year-on-year increase, driven by strong performance in its main brand and the TOP TOY brand [1][2] - The company achieved a significant growth in its global store network, surpassing 8,000 stores, with a focus on international expansion [1][3] Revenue Growth Analysis - The revenue growth rate of 28% in Q3 2025 is an improvement from 19% in the previous quarter, indicating sustained growth momentum [2] - Gross profit reached 2.59 billion yuan, also up 28% year-on-year, with a stable gross margin of 44.7% [2] - Revenue from the main brand in mainland China was 2.91 billion yuan, a 19% increase, while overseas revenue was 2.31 billion yuan, growing by 28% [2] - TOP TOY brand revenue surged by 111% to 570 million yuan, highlighting the potential of the trendy toy market [2] Profitability Insights - Adjusted net profit for Q3 was 770 million yuan, a 12% increase, with an adjusted net profit margin of 13.2% [2] - However, the company's net profit decreased by 31.64% to 443 million yuan, primarily due to rising operational costs associated with rapid expansion [2] Global Expansion Strategy - As of September 30, 2025, MINISO had 7,831 stores globally, with 4,407 in China and 3,424 overseas, reflecting a strategic focus on international markets [3] - The U.S. market showed remarkable performance with a 65% year-on-year revenue increase and over 100% growth in new memberships [3] - The company is transitioning to a "big store" growth model, with the MINISO LAND concept being implemented in major cities [3] Same-Store Sales Performance - Same-store sales achieved mid-single-digit growth in Q3, with double-digit growth recorded in October, indicating improved operational quality [4] IP Strategy and Innovation - MINISO's growth is supported by a dual IP strategy, combining self-owned IP and international licensed IP, enhancing its position in the IP operation field [5][6] - The company has signed 16 trendy toy artist IPs and launched an innovative artist IP area in Guangzhou, generating significant sales in a short period [5] - Collaboration with Disney on the "Zootopia" franchise has led to successful product launches, enhancing brand visibility and sales [6] Future Outlook - The company aims to become a global leader in IP operations, with the recent opening of MINISO LAND in Bangkok marking a significant step in brand value enhancement [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [3][6] Core Insights - The company reported Q3 revenue of 5.8 billion (+28.2% YoY) and adjusted net profit of 770 million (+11.7% YoY), with a net profit margin of 13.2% (-2.0 percentage points) [1][6] - Domestic revenue for the company's brand reached 2.91 billion (+19.3% YoY), while overseas revenue was 2.31 billion (+27.7% YoY). TOPTOY revenue surged to 570 million (+111.4% YoY) [1][6] - The company has a robust "1+3" moat strategy, combining a Chinese supply chain, global IP, global design, and global channels, which supports its domestic expansion and high growth in overseas markets [1][6] Financial Performance - The company expects significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 13.84 billion, 16.99 billion, 21.21 billion, 25.13 billion, and 29.27 billion for 2023 to 2027, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 39%, 23%, 25%, 18%, and 17% [2][7] - Adjusted net profit is projected to grow from 2.39 billion in 2023 to 4.34 billion in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 101%, 13%, 10%, 23%, and 18% [2][7] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 1.90 in 2023 to 3.45 in 2027 [2][7] Domestic Market Performance - In Q3, the domestic brand revenue was 2.91 billion, with same-store sales showing high single-digit growth. The company anticipates low double-digit growth in same-store sales for Q4 [1][6] - The company added 102 new stores in Q3, bringing the total to 4,407 stores [1][6] International Market Performance - The overseas brand revenue reached 2.31 billion, with same-store sales showing low single-digit growth. The U.S. market saw revenue growth exceeding 65% [1][6] - The company opened 117 new stores overseas in Q3, with a total of 3,424 stores by the end of the quarter [1][6] TOPTOY Performance - TOPTOY brand revenue reached 570 million in Q3, with a same-store sales growth in the mid-single digits and a net increase of 14 stores, totaling 307 stores [1][6]

Core Viewpoint - The market's concerns regarding Miniso's core business are considered excessive, presenting a potential buying opportunity, especially if the negative factors surrounding the acquisition of Yonghui Supermarket ease [1] Financial Projections - After adjusting forecasts for 2026, the target price for H-shares is reduced from HKD 48.4 to HKD 46.1, while the target price for US shares is lowered from USD 24.8 to USD 23.6, reflecting a 19 times adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 29 times and 18 times for the next two years [1] - Adjusted EPS forecasts for fiscal years 2025 to 2027 are increased by 4%, decreased by 6%, and decreased by 7%, respectively, while reported EPS forecasts are cut by 35%, 22%, and 20% [1] Business Strategy and Growth Potential - Despite mixed performance in Q3, the company is believed to be on the right track to achieve stronger organic growth through its robust IP strategy, aiming to capture more market share globally [1] - The anticipated share buyback plan is expected to support the stock price and mitigate some of the negative impact from the acquisition of Yonghui Supermarket [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates signs of recovery in the retail sector, particularly in high-end consumption and new retail, supported by recent quarterly performance disclosures from consumer companies [1] - The recovery is attributed to both low base effects from the previous year and the resilience of specific market segments, suggesting a strengthening foundation for domestic consumption [1] Summary by Sections Brand Performance - Richemont Group reported a 14% revenue increase in Q3 2025, with a 7% growth in mainland China, driven primarily by jewelry sales [2] - Burberry's same-store sales turned positive for the first time since 2024, with a 3% increase in China, benefiting from a low base effect [2] Property Performance - Swire Properties reported retail sales growth of 41.9% in Shanghai and 7.8% in Beijing for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating improving retail performance [3] - China Resources Land's total contract sales in October 2025 were approximately 15.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 51%, but recurring income showed a 3% increase [3] New Retail Developments - Walmart's Q3 2026 revenue reached $179.5 billion, a 5.8% year-on-year increase, with a 21.8% growth in China and a 32% increase in e-commerce sales [4] - Miniso reported a 28% revenue growth in Q3 2025, with a net profit increase of 12% and a total of 8,138 stores globally [5] Industry Trends - The retail index showed a decline of 7.24% recently, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.34 percentage points [14] - The report highlights the importance of new consumption trends and the potential for growth in sectors like duty-free shopping and cross-border e-commerce [10] Company Dynamics - Yum China announced a new strategic plan aiming for significant growth in store numbers and profitability over the next three years [21] - Huitongda Network plans to acquire a 57% stake in Cognition Boundary, enhancing its market position [21] Industry Developments - Good Sale has introduced coffee sales in select stores, maintaining a low-price strategy [23] - JD's discount supermarket is set to open a new location, expanding its market coverage [23] - Hema's new discount community supermarket model is entering the Guangdong market, indicating strategic expansion [24]

Group 1 - The core financial performance of Miniso Group for Q3 2025 shows total revenue of 5.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28%, and adjusted net profit of 770 million yuan, up 12% year-on-year [1] - The company's strategy focuses on "opening good stores and large stores," entering a "large store-driven growth" phase, significantly boosting same-store revenue [1] - In Q3 2025, Miniso's brand revenue reached 5.22 billion yuan, a 23% increase year-on-year, with mainland China revenue at 2.91 billion yuan (up 19%) and overseas revenue at 2.31 billion yuan (up 28%) [1] Group 2 - The U.S. market, Miniso's largest overseas market, saw revenue growth of approximately 65% year-on-year in Q3, with same-store sales achieving double-digit growth [1] - The number of new members in the U.S. market has more than doubled in 2025 [1] - As of September 30, 2025, Miniso's global store network reached 7,831 locations, with 4,407 in mainland China (net increase of 102) and 3,424 overseas (net increase of 117) [1] Group 3 - Miniso's "Miniso Land" stores are expanding rapidly in global high-end cities and high-potential business districts, with 17 stores opened in China by Q3 [2] - The first overseas "Miniso Land" store opened in Bangkok, Thailand, marking a brand upgrade and new phase of globalization in Southeast Asia [2] - The subsidiary brand "Top Toy" reported strong growth with total revenue of 570 million yuan in Q3 2025, a 111% increase year-on-year, and a total of 307 global stores [2] Group 4 - Miniso's founder and CEO emphasized the company's core advantages in IP operations, category structure, and channel control, aiming to explore new growth patterns in the interest consumption sector [2]

名创优品持续深化"开好店、开大店"的渠道战略，已进入"大店驱动增长"阶段，带动同店销售与营收显 著提升。2025年第三季度，名创优品品牌总营收52.2亿元，同比增长23%。其中，中国内地营收29.1亿 元，实现同比增长19%的亮眼成绩，这一增速更多来自同店拉动，进入到第四季度，同店增长的趋势依 然稳健，10月份的同店更是取得双位数的增长。海外市场方面，Q3营收23.1亿元，同比增长28%。以海 外最大的市场美国为例，第三季度美国市场收入同比增长约65%，其中同店实现低双位数增长。2025年 至今，美国市场的新会员增长超过100%。 展望未来，TOP TOY将继续依托"全产业链潮玩集合平台"的定位，深化IP运营与产品创新，加速全球化 布局，致力于打造具有全球影响力的潮玩品牌，推动中国潮玩文化走向世界。 本报讯 11月21日，名创优品集团（以下简称"名创优品"）公布了2025年第三季度财务报告。报告期 内，名创优品持续深化高质量发展战略，经营质量持续提升，整体业绩增长亮眼。营收、同店销售等多 项指标均超过预期，在全球渠道升级与IP运营等战略方向上进一步强化竞争力。 财报显示，2025年第三季度名创优品总营收达58 ...

Core Insights - Miniso achieved a revenue of RMB 5.797 billion for the third quarter, marking a year-on-year increase of 28.17% [1] - The company's profit attributable to equity shareholders was RMB 441 million, a decrease of 31.36% year-on-year [1] - Adjusted net profit for the quarter was RMB 766.8 million, reflecting an increase of 11.7% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - For the nine months ending September 30, the company reported a revenue of RMB 15.19 billion, up 23.68% year-on-year [1] - Profit attributable to equity shareholders for the nine months was RMB 1.347 billion, down 25.68% year-on-year [1] - Adjusted net profit for the nine months was RMB 2.0455 billion, with basic earnings per share of RMB 1.1 [1] Operational Highlights - The company surpassed a significant milestone with quarterly revenue exceeding RMB 5 billion and global store count surpassing 8,000 [2] - In mainland China, the company achieved a net increase of over 100 stores in the quarter, with same-store sales showing high single-digit growth [2] - The company is on track to achieve positive same-store sales growth in mainland China for the full year of 2025 [2] International Performance - Same-store sales in overseas markets improved to low single-digit growth, with strong performance in strategic markets like North America and Europe [2] - The operating profit margin for overseas direct operations has improved year-on-year, indicating enhanced core operational capabilities [2] Cash Flow and Financial Health - The company reported a net operating cash flow of RMB 1.2996 billion for the quarter, with a cash flow to adjusted net profit ratio of 1.7 [3] - As of September 30, cash reserves stood at RMB 7.77 billion, with net operating cash flow for the first nine months reaching RMB 2.314 billion [3] - The strong cash flow and financial position highlight the company's robust profitability and efficient working capital management [3]

Core Insights - Miniso's revenue for Q3 2025 increased by 28.2% year-on-year to RMB 5.7966 billion, surpassing the company's previous guidance of 25% to 28% growth [1] - The company's same-store sales growth showed an upward trend across all three operating segments, contributing to a mid-single-digit growth at the group level [1] - The gross profit for Q3 2025 rose by 27.6% year-on-year to RMB 2.5901 billion, with a gross margin of 44.7% [1] Financial Performance - The net profit for the period was RMB 443.2 million, down from RMB 648.3 million in the same period last year [1] - Adjusted net profit increased by 11.7% year-on-year to RMB 766.8 million, with adjusted earnings per American Depositary Share (ADS) of RMB 2.48 (USD 0.35), reflecting a 12.7% increase [1] - Operating cash flow for Q3 was RMB 1.2996 billion, with a ratio of operating cash flow to adjusted net profit of 1.7 [4] Store Expansion - As of September 30, 2025, the total number of stores reached 8,138, marking a net increase of 718 stores year-on-year [2] - Miniso stores numbered 7,831, with a net increase of 645 stores, while stores in mainland China totaled 4,407, reflecting a net increase of 157 stores [2] - TOP TOY had 307 stores, with a net increase of 73 stores [2] Strategic Insights - The CEO highlighted significant milestones, including quarterly revenue surpassing RMB 5 billion and global store count exceeding 8,000 [3] - Same-store sales in mainland China achieved high single-digit growth, with a net increase of over 100 stores in the quarter [3] - The overseas same-store sales also improved, with low single-digit growth, particularly in strategic markets like North America and Europe [3] Operational Efficiency - Adjusted operating profit grew by 14.8%, with an adjusted operating profit margin of 17.6%, indicating a narrowing decline quarter-on-quarter [4] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 18.8%, with an EBITDA margin of 23.4% [4] - Cash reserves reached RMB 7.77 billion as of September 30, 2025, demonstrating strong financial health and effective working capital management [4]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of focusing on product quality in retail, regardless of whether the sales channel is online or offline [6][7][14] - It highlights the unique shopping experience that physical stores can provide, which often leads to impulse purchases that online platforms cannot replicate [6][14] Group 1: Retail Strategy - The company believes that the core of future offline retail lies in creating an enjoyable shopping experience, where consumers discover products they like while browsing [6][14] - The article suggests that successful retail strategies should follow consumer behavior and learn from successful models, such as Japanese stores [6][14] - It mentions that many retail brands still rely heavily on offline sales, with online sales accounting for only about 10% of total sales for some brands like Miniso [6][14] Group 2: Learning from Japanese Brands - The article discusses a learning trip to Japan to understand how Japanese brands thrive in low-growth environments, focusing on their operational strategies [10][14] - It highlights that Japanese brands have adapted to low-growth periods by focusing on customer expectations and making small innovations rather than pursuing disruptive changes [14][15] - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding consumer needs through direct engagement and observation, as demonstrated by successful Japanese brands [14][15][17] Group 3: Product Development and Innovation - The article points out that successful companies like FANCL and Suntory focus on product quality and consumer feedback to drive innovation [19][25] - It mentions that companies should not rely solely on data but should also engage with the physical product to ensure quality and consumer satisfaction [18][25] - The article illustrates how brands like Kikkoman and WORKMAN have successfully filled market gaps by understanding specific consumer needs and preferences [17][19]