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布鲁可(00325):出海高速扩张,16+产品增长亮眼,关注新品表现
CMS· 2026-03-17 05:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [3] Core Insights - The company is experiencing rapid expansion overseas, with a notable growth in its 16+ product line. The revenue for 2025 is projected to be 2.91 billion, representing a 30% increase, while the adjusted net profit is expected to reach 670 million, a 15.5% increase [1][7] - The company is a leading player in the domestic building block toy market, with significant market share and brand recognition. The growth momentum is driven by strong IP resource reserves, effective commercialization capabilities, continuous product launches, channel expansion, and overseas market penetration [1][7] Financial Performance - The company's revenue is expected to grow from 2.24 billion in 2024 to 2.91 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 30% [2][10] - The gross profit for 2025 is projected at 1.36 billion, with a gross margin of 46.8%, reflecting a decrease of 5.8 percentage points [1][7] - The adjusted net profit for 2025 is forecasted to be 675 million, with an adjusted net profit margin of 23.2%, down 2.9 percentage points from the previous year [1][7] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue by channel shows that distributor sales are expected to reach 2.64 billion, a 27.8% increase, while online sales are projected to grow by 62.3% to 250 million [7] - Revenue by region indicates that domestic sales will be 2.59 billion, a 19.2% increase, while sales in Asia (excluding domestic) are expected to grow by 238% to 130 million, and sales in the Americas are projected to increase by 804% to 150 million [7] - Revenue from products for ages 6 and under is expected to grow by 19.7%, while sales for ages 6-16 are projected to increase by 93.1%, and sales for ages 16 and above are expected to surge by 825.8% [7] Product and IP Development - The company has strengthened its IP reserves, increasing the number of authorized IPs to 73, with 29 already commercialized. During the reporting period, 913 new SKUs were launched, bringing the total to 1,447 SKUs available for sale [7] - The company has introduced a low-cost product priced at 9.9 yuan, generating sales of 540 million, accounting for 18.6% of total revenue [7] Cost and Margin Analysis - The decline in gross margin is attributed to significant investments in new molds and upgrades in production processes. The company anticipates that as new products gain traction, economies of scale will lead to improved margins [7] - The selling expense ratio is projected to be 13.3%, while the R&D expense ratio is expected to be 9.1% [7] Future Projections - The company is expected to maintain high revenue growth rates, with adjusted net profit forecasts for 2026, 2027, and 2028 at 850 million, 1.12 billion, and 1.40 billion, respectively [7]