I look at the market and I look at investor sentiment. There's been a lot of this talk that people are too complacent. Nobody's really looking at the risk out there.What are you seeing. So I think policy's no longer the day to day driver like it was April-May when we were getting on an absolute basis, four or five percentage point moves in equity markets just on any kind of headline around, especially tariff policy. So I think we're in a phase much more where the day to day is back to being driven by earnin ...

A rare warning signal just reappeared in the market — and the last time it showed up, the S&P 500 index plunged more than 20% in a matter of weeks.According to the latest AAII Sentiment Survey, the bull-bear spread has collapsed to just 0.3%, the lowest since September 2022 — right before the S&P logged its steepest drop since the 2008 financial crisis.That signal comes as bullish sentiment drops to 39.3% and bearish sentiment surges to 39.0%, a near-perfect split that reflects deep investor indecision. Neu ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a "sell signal" triggered by cash levels falling to 3.9% [14][15][86] Core Insights - Investor sentiment is the most bullish since February 2025, with a significant surge in profit optimism and risk appetite over the past three months [2][17] - 59% of investors believe a recession is unlikely, a notable shift from 42% in April, with 65% expecting a soft landing [3][26][27] - The most crowded trade is "short US dollar," with a net 20% overweight on Euro, the highest since January 2005 [5][55][62] Summary by Sections Macro Insights - 42% of investors expect Q2 2025 EPS to beat consensus, while 19% anticipate disappointment [30][36] - AI is perceived to be increasing productivity by 42% of investors [32][37] - Expectations for a global recession have decreased, with only 9% expecting a hard landing [26][28] Policy Insights - The trade war is viewed as the biggest tail risk, with expected final tariff rates on the Rest of the World rising to 14% [4][49][48] - 81% of investors forecast one or two rate cuts by year-end, with only 11% expecting a rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting [38][44] Asset Allocation - FMS equity allocation improved to a net 2% overweight, while bond allocation remains net 4% underweight [120][121] - Investors are most overweight Eurozone equities, with a net 41% overweight, the highest in four years [63][65] - There has been a significant increase in allocation to tech stocks, with a net 14% overweight, the highest since January 2025 [68][70] Investor Sentiment - The FMS cash level has dropped to 3.9%, indicating a sell signal, with historical median losses following such signals averaging -2% [14][20][86] - Risk appetite has surged, with a net 31% of investors expecting weaker global economic growth, a significant recovery from previous months [23][92] - 68% of investors believe high-quality earnings will outperform low-quality earnings [101][103]

The bulls, bears, and everything in between Investor Sentiment: Risk-Love Optimistic, not euphoric Climbing the wall of worry Global Equity Risk-Love, which derives two-thirds of its underlying factors from Developed Markets (DM) and one-thirds from Emerging Markets (EM), continues to climb higher in the neutral zone. It is currently stationed at the 76th percentile of its history since 1987 – a reading consistent with Michael Hartnett's gauge of global cross asset risk, the Bull & Bear Indicator (see note) ...

Romania sells more domestic debt than planned, taking advantage of improved investor sentiment a day after the government tapped international markets in a heavily oversubscribed hard-currency transaction https://t.co/jnFJsrmfYK ...

Nigerian economic reforms have improved investor sentiment but the nation’s finances are being hurt by lower oil prices that will widen its budget gap this year, the IMF says https://t.co/33wYdbFgMz ...

Ruchir Sharma, Rockefeller international chairman, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss whether the U.S. is still exceptional, investor sentiment and tariffs. ...

Investor Sentiment - BofA Global Fund Manager Survey 的投资者情绪指数在 6 月份升至 3.3，为 3 月份以来的最高读数 [1] - 投资者情绪指数上升可能表明市场对全球贸易战的担忧有所缓解 [1] Market Trend - 特朗普总统的“解放日”关税引发了对全球贸易战的担忧 [1]

I I think the question I want to ask you about oil um oil prices up higher right now. A lot of questions about what's going on in the Middle East. Did it pull back a bit yesterday, but higher again this morning.What does that say about investor sentiment when it comes to Middle East risk. Well, I think a lot of what's happening right now is all about investor sentiment. Oil is one of the the factors here, but only one of them.Uh the fact that we're not seeing aggressive movement in the oil prices. Yes, we'r ...

Welcome to Financial Freestyle. I'm Ross Mack and this is sponsored by Vanguard. Welcome to Financial Freestyle here on Yahoo Finance and I'm your host Ross Mack. Look, no matter where you are in your journey when it comes to building wealth, you can never stop learning and that's why I am speaking to some of the most influential people in the world of finance. And today is no different as I'm speaking to the chief editor of Investopedia, Mr.. Caleb Silver. Caleb, my man, how you doing, bro? It is so good t ...