December 16, 2025 10:00 PM GMT The Robot Almanac Authors (1/2) Ariana.Salvatore@morganstanley.com Gary.Yu@morganstanley.com Source: Morgan Stanley Research Vol. 3: Humanoids & Industrial Robots Morgan Stanley Global Embodied AI Team December 2025 The content addressing private companies is being provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute a solicitation or imply future research coverage if the company goes public. Content is based on unaudited information. No investment recommendation i ...

A specter is haunting Europe—the specter of aging.Many Western countries are facing what the World Bank calls a “profound demographic crisis”: The twin perils of an aging population and record-low fertility rates are predicted to send their populations plunging in the coming decades. The worst consequences of this demographic shift, per the World Bank, are economic. Soon, the shrinking working population in the U.S., Canada, or Germany won’t be able to meet their own constant demands for high-quality goods ...

Economic Growth Challenges - Spain's skilled labor shortage poses a significant challenge to sustaining economic growth [1] - Economic growth in Spain has been largely driven by tourism and consumption [1] Industry Concerns - Travel and real estate CEOs identify the skilled labor shortage as a major concern [1]

Core Insights - The Zelman Housing Summit has evolved from a focus on residential housing to include multifamily, GSEs, labor, and land issues [3] - Interest rates were a major topic, with the 10-year yield dropping unexpectedly, leading to discussions about future rate cuts and their limited impact on long-term rates [4][5][6] - The future of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is uncertain, with concerns about their management and potential privatization [7][8][9] - A land crisis is identified as a significant issue for builders, with calls for more land entitlements and easing of zoning restrictions [11][12] - Labor shortages are a pressing concern, exacerbated by fears of ICE raids, highlighting the need for a healthy immigration policy [13][14][15] Interest Rates - The 10-year yield dropped to 4.01%, surprising industry experts [5] - Historical analysis indicates that rate cuts during recessions lower long-term yields, but cuts outside of recessions have little effect [5][6] - Expectations for at least two 25 basis point cuts in the near future, but limited impact on long-term rates anticipated [6] Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac - The future of GSEs is critical for builders, with uncertainty surrounding potential actions from the Trump administration [7] - Fannie and Freddie provided liquidity during periods when banks were less active in lending [7] - Concerns about management and governance of Fannie and Freddie, with comparisons to WeWork's governance issues [8][9] Land Issues - A statement from industry leaders indicates a land crisis rather than a housing crisis, emphasizing the need for more land entitlements [11] - Suggestions for the Trump administration to facilitate land access and ease zoning restrictions [11][12] Labor Challenges - Labor shortages are a significant barrier to construction, with smaller builders particularly affected by fears of ICE raids [13] - Public builders report overall labor shortages, despite not facing major issues with ICE raids [14] - Advocacy for a healthy immigration policy to support labor needs in the construction industry [15]

Labor Market & Immigration Policy - Prologis CEO 表示，美国移民政策导致劳动力短缺 [1] - 劳动力短缺推高了建筑成本 [1] Real Estate Industry Impact - 劳动力短缺对房地产投资信托基金（REITs）产生影响 [1] - 仓库的建设和运营成本增加 [1]