Hi, I'm Yiannis. Spotting winners before they break out is what I do best.Experience: Previously worked at Deloitte and KPMG in external/internal auditing and consulting. Education: Chartered Certified Accountant, Fellow Member of ACCA Global, with BSc and MSc degrees from U.K. business schools. Investment Style: Spotting high-potential winners before they break out, focusing on asymmetric opportunities (with at least upside potential of 3-5X outweighing the downside risk). By leveraging market inefficienci ...

Hi, I'm Yiannis. Spotting winners before they break out is what I do best.Experience: Previously worked at Deloitte and KPMG in external/internal auditing and consulting. Education: Chartered Certified Accountant, Fellow Member of ACCA Global, with BSc and MSc degrees from U.K. business schools. Investment Style: Spotting high-potential winners before they break out, focusing on asymmetric opportunities (with at least upside potential of 3-5X outweighing the downside risk). By leveraging market inefficienci ...

Since my last coverage , CoreWeave, Inc. ( CRWV ) is down roughly 25%, but the more important signal comes from the bond market. The 2031 notes are trading at a very large premium toHi, I'm Yiannis. Spotting winners before they break out is what I do best.Experience: Previously worked at Deloitte and KPMG in external/internal auditing and consulting. Education: Chartered Certified Accountant, Fellow Member of ACCA Global, with BSc and MSc degrees from U.K. business schools. Investment Style: Spotting high-p ...

Group 1 - Oklo Inc. is being evaluated through a framework that no longer aligns with the company's current reality [1] - Investors continue to perceive Oklo as a development-stage, speculative entity within the clean-energy sector [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying high-potential investment opportunities that can yield significant returns while managing risks effectively [1]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying high-potential investment opportunities before they experience significant growth, focusing on asymmetric opportunities with a potential upside of 3-5 times the downside risk [1] - The investment strategy involves leveraging market inefficiencies and contrarian insights to maximize long-term compounding while safeguarding against capital impairment [1] - A strong margin of safety is prioritized in risk management to protect against capital loss, with a 2-3 year investment horizon to endure market volatility [1] Group 2 - The analyst has a beneficial long position in NVDA shares, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [2] - The article reflects the author's personal opinions and is not influenced by any compensation from companies mentioned, ensuring an unbiased perspective [2] - Seeking Alpha clarifies that past performance does not guarantee future results, and the views expressed may not represent the platform as a whole [3]

Core Insights - The recent 13F filing from Abrams Capital Management reveals a portfolio valued at $6.17 billion, heavily concentrated in five main holdings that constitute nearly 80% of total assets [1] - David Abrams emphasizes long-term compounding over diversification, maintaining a focus on durable, cash-rich businesses [1][7] Company Summaries - **Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR)**: The largest position, valued at $2.56 billion across 32 million shares, represents over 40% of total assets. Loar is characterized by mission-critical products and recurring revenue, indicating strong conviction in its growth potential [2] - **Lithia Motors Inc. (LAD)**: The second-largest holding with 2.49 million shares worth $787 million, accounting for 12.8% of assets. Abrams slightly increased this position, reflecting confidence in the auto retail sector's resilience and cash flow [3] - **Asbury Automotive Group (ABG)**: Valued at $527 million with 2.16 million shares, representing 8.54% of assets. Abrams's modest increase in this holding supports his belief in auto-dealer consolidation and operational efficiency [4] - **Alphabet Inc. Class A (GOOGL)**: A $516 million stake provides selective exposure to the digital economy, fitting Abrams's quality-at-a-reasonable-price strategy. This position serves as a growth counterweight to more cyclical investments [5] - **Tempur Sealy International Inc. (TPX)**: Rounding out the top five with a value of $493 million, accounting for 8% of assets. The company is favored for its recurring consumer demand and strong brand power [6] Conclusion - The Q3 2025 filing highlights Abrams's strategy of focusing on a few exceptional businesses with durable cash flows and disciplined management, aiming to buy below intrinsic value and hold for long-term growth [7]

Core Insights - Super Micro Computer's recent quarterly performance supports its vision for the AI future, showcasing significant growth potential in the sector [1] Financial Performance - The company reported over $13 billion in revenue, indicating strong demand for its products, particularly in AI-related applications [1] Market Position - Super Micro Computer is positioned to capitalize on the growing AI market, leveraging its technology and product offerings to meet increasing customer needs [1]

Core Insights - Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) has experienced a significant surge of 38%, outperforming the broader market index, indicating strong investor confidence and market performance [1] Company Performance - The current focus for Alphabet is not solely on financial results but rather on the positive trend indicated by the increasing pipeline at Google Cloud, suggesting that businesses are increasingly committing to its services [1] Investment Strategy - The investment approach emphasizes identifying high-potential winners before they break out, focusing on asymmetric opportunities with an upside potential of 3-5 times that outweighs downside risks [1] - The strategy includes leveraging market inefficiencies and contrarian insights to maximize long-term compounding while ensuring strong risk management practices are in place [1]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying high-potential investment opportunities before they gain mainstream attention, focusing on asymmetric risk-reward scenarios with a target upside of 2-3 times the downside risk [1] Investment Methodology - **Leadership & Management Analysis**: Focus on companies with a proven track record in scaling, smart capital allocation, insider ownership, consistent revenue growth, and credible guidance [1] - **Market Disruption & Competitive Positioning**: Target firms with strong technology moats, first-mover advantages, network effects, and significant market penetration in high-growth industries [1] - **Financial Health & Risk Management**: Prioritize sustainable revenue growth, efficient cash flow, strong balance sheets, and long-term survival strategies while avoiding excessive dilution [1] - **Valuation & Asymmetric Risk/Reward**: Utilize revenue multiples compared to peers, DCF modeling, institutional backing, and market sentiment analysis to ensure downside protection with substantial upside potential [1] - **Portfolio Construction & Risk Control**: Maintain a diversified portfolio with core positions (50-70%), growth bets (20-40%), and speculative investments (5-10%) to balance risk and reward [1]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying high-potential investment opportunities before they gain mainstream attention, focusing on asymmetric risk-reward scenarios [1] - The investment strategy is centered around a 4-5 year horizon, allowing for the absorption of market volatility while aiming for significant long-term returns through disciplined capital allocation [1] Investment Methodology - **Leadership & Management Analysis**: Focus on companies with proven track records in scaling, smart capital allocation, and insider ownership, alongside consistent revenue growth and credible guidance [1] - **Market Disruption & Competitive Positioning**: Target firms with strong technology moats, first-mover advantages, and network effects that facilitate exponential growth in high-growth industries [1] - **Financial Health & Risk Management**: Prioritize sustainable revenue growth, efficient cash flow, and strong balance sheets to ensure long-term survival while avoiding excessive dilution [1] - **Valuation & Asymmetric Risk/Reward**: Utilize revenue multiples compared to peers and DCF modeling to assess value, ensuring downside protection while maximizing upside potential [1] - **Portfolio Construction & Risk Control**: Maintain a diversified portfolio with core positions (50-70%), growth bets (20-40%), and speculative investments (5-10%) to balance risk and reward [1]