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Latest CNBC Fed Survey shows growing concern about market valuation
CNBC Television· 2025-07-29 15:17
>> With the one. >> CNBC out with its latest fed survey showing some growing concern about the market's valuation. Let's get over to Steve Liesman.He's got details for us Steve. >> Hey, David. Yeah.Respondents to the CNBC fed survey expressing as much concern about overvaluation in the stock market as they have in at least a year. S&P seen pretty much flat, even down according to the average respondent, 37 respondents. This time 6344 was 6133 in June.So it's up from there. But below where the market is righ ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-24 03:00
TCS market valuation erodes by $43 billion this year, setting the stock on course for its worst performance since 2008. Read for free with your email on what could move markets today https://t.co/yYryJ7YZje ...
International investors are skiddish and concerned on U.S. market valuations: RBC's Lori Calvasina
CNBC Television· 2025-07-16 19:57
thank you. Good to see you. Roger Altman thank you very much for weighing in.Let's bring in RBC Capital Markets. Head of U.S. Equity strategy Lori Calvasina. On the market pricing in all of this, are they underpricing a risk or is it just okay that he continues to jawbone the fed.Well, look, you know, every time some, you know, something along these lines comes up. >> On this topic, I go to my rate strategist and, you know, say, what do you think. What are you hearing from bond investors.And he comes back t ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-11 12:08
Nvidia became the first company in history to achieve a $4 trillion market valuation, cementing its status as a kingpin in the global financial market.@TomMackenzieTV unpacks Nvidia's climb and what lies ahead https://t.co/ETJCeoM0On https://t.co/FtPfhR8Z0E ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-10 23:10
Which company became the first in history to reach a $4 trillion market valuation?Place your bets in the latest edition of Pointed, Bloomberg’s weekly news quiz for risk-takers ⤵️ https://t.co/r8PBxuKKsm ...
摩根士丹利:2025 年上半年全球动态回顾
摩根· 2025-07-03 02:41
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The first half of 2025 saw a volatile market, but equity markets rebounded significantly after April 2, with the S&P 500 returning 6.2%, MSCI Europe returning 23.7%, and KOSPI leading with a return of 40.9% [2] - The US dollar experienced its worst first half since 1973, while Brent crude oil prices rallied by 9.4% [5][2] - Credit markets showed resilience, with US high yield (HY) total returns at 4.6% and EUR HY at 2.7% [2] Performance Summary - Global equities saw significant returns, with the S&P 500 at 6.2%, MSCI Europe at 23.7%, and KOSPI at 40.9% [12] - Fixed income performance included US IG total returns at 4.2% and US HY at 4.6% [12] - The US dollar depreciated, with notable currency appreciation against it, including EUR by 13.9% and JPY by 11.1% [12] Technicals - Gross issuance in developed markets (DM) for high yield (HY) and investment grade (IG) fell by 8% and 10% respectively compared to the 2024 run rate [3] - There were outflows from US equities and inflows into fixed income assets, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [3] Sentiment Analysis - The Market Sentiment Indicator (MSI) signaled a risk-off approach in mid-June but returned to neutral by the end of the month [4] - Volatility, as measured by the VIX, decreased to four-month lows after a spike due to geopolitical tensions [4] Market Review & Trends - The report highlights a mixed performance across sectors, with technology leading global equity sectors while consumer staples lagged [2] - The report also notes a significant decline in US equity demand, benefiting European stocks [14] Valuations - Current P/E ratios for major indices include S&P 500 at 24.4 and MSCI Europe at 15.9, indicating varying levels of valuation across regions [24] - The report provides insights into forward P/E ratios, with communication services at 20.1 for ACWI and 20.6 for the US [26] Fixed Income Markets - US 10Y yields are at 4.23%, with high yield spreads at 290 basis points, reflecting the current credit market conditions [29] - The report indicates that US HY total returns are at 4.6%, while EUR HY is at 2.7% [29] FX & Commodity Markets - The report notes significant appreciation of various currencies against the USD, with EUR up 13.9% and JPY up 11.1% [32] - Commodity performance includes Brent crude oil rising by 9.4% and gold prices showing a notable increase [32]
Market Valuation Warning Signs: S&P 500 Analysis + Insider Trading Signals
GuruFocus· 2025-06-06 22:27
I'll be glad to share with you know that the market has not been very smooth although it was getting better. It it has been getting better last since last week lots of volatility. Let's review the market valuation that I always do and uh then I'll go to the things that uh we uh that's important to us.Okay, let me share my screen with you here. This is mascaran and uh this is the homepage of guru focus. What you see on your homepage on the homepage might be different from what I see because this page is full ...
May Members Engagement Meeting: Market Trends and Buying the Dip
GuruFocus· 2025-05-08 07:04
Market Valuation & Insider Trends - The market was overvalued at the beginning of the year, crashed to near bear market territory (down almost 20% for the S&P 500), recovered 10%, and is now slightly overvalued [5] - Insider buying activity tends to increase during market downturns, as seen in 2008-2009, 2012, and 2020 [8] - Currently, the insider buy-to-sell ratio is around 05%, above the historical average of 04%, suggesting insiders view it as a reasonably good time to buy [9] - GuruFocus provides an insider trend chart that displays insider buying and selling activities, with each bar representing monthly cumulative data [10] Investment Strategies & Tools - Gold is considered as an insurance against potential US government debt issues, with interest payments nearing 20% of government income [16][17] - GuruFocus's screener can be used to find gold mining companies, filtering for those with high profitability, financial strength, and quality ranks [18][20] - GuruFocus offers a GF Value model, which correlates stock prices with revenue, earnings, cash flow, and book value to estimate fair multiple and current valuation [38][39] - GuruFocus has an AI function that uses Open AI and GuruFocus data to answer questions about stocks, such as fair value and future revenue growth [41][42][43] - GuruFocus supports backtesting using price to GF Value, allowing users to evaluate investment strategies [44][45][46] Website Updates & Features - GuruFocus is adding mode rank and tariff resilience rank for stocks, which will be available for filtering [50][51][52] - GuruFocus is considering adding GF Valuation charts for ETFs [60][61] - GuruFocus is considering adding a feature to screen for stocks below their lowest analyst price forecast [27][28]
February Member Engagement Meeting: Brokerage Account Portfolio Links
GuruFocus· 2025-02-06 08:12
Market Valuation and Trends - The market valuation is near its highest point, only 2-3% down from its peak [1] - The Buffet Indicator, which is the ratio of total market cap over GDP, is at its highest point ever, indicating significant overvaluation [1] - Shiller PE ratio is also at its highest level, suggesting the market is expensive and future returns may be low [1] GuruFocus Platform Updates - GuruFocus has released new features for screeners, including technical-related filters like 20-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and SMA (Simple Moving Average) [2] - Users can create custom filters for fundamental data and filter stocks based on historical data, such as revenue growth from 2022 year-over-year [2] - A new valuation tab has been added for every stock, showing valuation and correlation analysis between price and various parameters like revenue, book value, earnings, and cash flow [4] - GuruFocus has released brokerage account integration for premium members, allowing users to upload their brokerage account and analyze their portfolios using GuruFocus tools [5] Stock Analysis and Commentary - Alphabet's stock is down 8% due to not very good earnings [1] - Apple's revenue in China is declining, indicating a loss of competitive edge [3][4] - Dollar General's stock has declined almost 60% since 2022 due to competition from cheap online retailers, and its operating margin has decreased from 10% to less than 6% [4] - PDD's P/S ratio is 89, with a P/E ratio of more than 500, indicating extremely high market expectations [5] - Mesa Air Group is not a good investment because the airline business has generally been losing money [7] - Novo Nordisk's stock has come down almost 41% from its peak, presenting an interesting opportunity [7]