智通财经APP获悉，国泰海通发布研报称，25Q3权益市场整体向好，叠加保险公司优化资产结构提升 权益资产配置，预计投资收益显著提振，预测25年前三季度上市险企净利润在2024年同期高增长基础上 继续同比大幅增长，且较25年半年度的利润增长进一步提速。25年1-8月寿险保费增长景气，预计得益 于上市险企把握定价利率下调前窗口期推动新单集中销售，银保渠道日益成为价值增长的重要贡献来 源。财险方面，预计车险综改持续深化以及非车险"报行合一"导向下行业保费增长逐步由追求规模、速 度向追求质量、效益转变。 国泰海通主要观点如下： 预计财险保费缓慢增长，巨灾赔付提升不改COR改善趋势 预计车险综改持续深化以及非车险"报行合一"导向下行业保费增长逐步由追求规模、速度向追求质量、 效益转变。受制于25Q3台风等自然灾害仍然频发，预计赔付率仍有一定压力，得益于风险减量持续显 效预计对COR负面影响相对有限；另一方面，得益于上市险企严格落实监管"报行合一"强化费用管控， 预计费用率持续改善。预计25年前三季度上市险企COR延续改善态势，分别为：中国财险(96.1%，同 比-2.1pt)、平安财险(96.6%，同比-1.2pt)、 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the insurance sector, highlighting significant profit growth driven by investment returns and robust performance in both life and non-life insurance segments [6]. Core Insights - Profit growth for listed insurance companies is substantial, with net profit growth rates for 2024 projected as follows: Xinhua (+201.1%), China Life (+131.6%), ZhongAn (+105.4%), PICC (+88.2%), Taiping (+64.9%), Ping An (+47.8%), and China Pacific Insurance (+30.9%) [1][13]. - The report emphasizes that the strong performance is primarily due to favorable capital market conditions, which have positively impacted the asset side of the companies [1][13]. - The report also notes a decline in the dividend payout ratio under new standards, although the absolute value of dividends has increased significantly [2][23]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Net profit for five listed insurance companies increased by 82% year-on-year, driven by improved investment returns from both equity and bond markets [13]. - The operating profit for major companies like Ping An and China Life showed positive growth, with Ping An's profit increasing by 9.1% and China Life's by 131.6% [14][13]. - The report highlights a mixed performance in contract service margins, with most companies achieving positive growth [20]. Life Insurance - New Business Value (NBV) growth is robust, with notable increases for companies such as PICC (+127.0%) and Xinhua (+106.8%) [3]. - The margin improvements are attributed to better payment structures and a unified approach in bancassurance channels [3][4]. - The report indicates that the economic assumptions adjustments have led to a generally positive outlook for Embedded Value (EV) growth across most companies, with China Life and Sunshine showing impressive growth rates of 11.2% [36]. Non-Life Insurance - The report notes a divergence in growth rates for non-auto insurance, with companies like ZhongAn (+13.4%) and Sunshine (+8.1%) performing well [5]. - The combined ratio (COR) performance varies, with ZhongAn at 96.9% and Ping An at 98.3%, reflecting the impact of natural disasters on claims [5][39]. - The report suggests that the non-auto insurance segment is driven by health and liability insurance products [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on two main lines for insurance stocks: the non-life insurance sector, which is expected to see high profit growth due to dual improvements in underwriting and investment, and the life insurance sector, particularly Xinhua and China Taiping, which are noted for their high beta and strong new business quality [6].