J P M O R G A N Global FX Strategy 20 August 2025 Alt FX Positioning & Flows Taking stock of the USD flow narrative Global FX Strategy Patrick R Locke AC (1-212) 834-4254 patrick.r.locke@jpmchase.com J.P. Morgan Securities LLC Octavia Popescu AC (44-20) 3493-5654 octavia.popescu@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities plc Quarterly net long-term asset inflows by foreign investors. USD bns Source: J.P. Morgan, US TIC, Haver Figure 2: ...but this failed to preclude USD depreciation in May/June LHS: 6m sum of net ...

Core Viewpoint - Palantir Technologies has been the top-performing stock in the S&P 500 for two consecutive years, with a year-to-date increase of 147% as of August 12, raising concerns about a potential sell-off due to its high valuation [1][2]. Valuation Concerns - Palantir's current market capitalization is nearly $444 billion, significantly larger than established companies like Salesforce, SAP, and Adobe, with a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 137, which is considered extremely high compared to its software-as-a-service (SaaS) peers [5][4]. - Traditional valuation metrics may not fully capture Palantir's potential, leading some to suggest alternative metrics like the Rule of 40, although this perspective is viewed as flawed [8]. Institutional Investor Dynamics - There has been a notable pattern of buying and selling among institutional investors since Palantir's IPO, with initial strong buying in early 2021 followed by significant selling later that year [12]. - The convergence of institutional buying and selling indicates a tightening net demand, which could lead to a sharp decline in share price if selling pressure increases [13]. - Institutional investors often rebalance their portfolios, which may lead to trimming exposure to Palantir as it becomes an unusually high weight in their portfolios [14]. Historical Context - Historical patterns suggest that stocks with similar high valuations have experienced significant corrections, raising the possibility that Palantir may face a valuation reset [16][17].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cannae's stock closed at $19.88, trading at a 26.6% discount to NAV per share, which is the narrowest discount in over three years, compared to a near 40% discount when the strategic plan was announced [7][8] - Total operating revenue for the first quarter was $110,000,000, a 6.6% decrease from the prior year [27] - Alight reported total revenue of $528,000,000 for 2025, a 2% decrease from 2024, with a net loss of $1,000,000,000 primarily due to a non-cash impairment of goodwill [24][25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cannae repurchased 7,600,000 shares, approximately 12% of outstanding shares, returning $150,000,000 to shareholders at an average price of $19.71 per share, which is a 30% discount to NAV [12] - Alight's adjusted EBITDA was $127,000,000 for 2025, a 21% increase compared to the prior year quarter [24] - Walk-ins delivered mid single-digit growth in net sales and high single-digit growth in EBITDA compared to the first six months of 2024 [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - AFC Bournemouth finished ninth in the Premier League with 56 points, a club record, and saw match day and commercial revenue increase by 81% since acquisition [16][17] - BKFC completed a $130,000,000 capital raise, with Cannae committing $50,000,000, and plans to renovate the Vitality Stadium, increasing capacity from over 11,000 to approximately 17,000 [15][20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Cannae's strategic plan focuses on rebalancing the portfolio away from public company investments, investing in attractive companies, and returning capital to shareholders [7][11] - The company aims to close the stock price to NAV gap and deliver long-term NAV growth through share buybacks and dividends [12][13] - Cannae plans to acquire an additional 30% stake in JANNA for $67,500,000, bringing total ownership to 50% [13][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the long-term value of the JANNA franchise and the potential for proprietary investment opportunities [39][40] - The company acknowledged challenges in the restaurant segment, particularly with O'Charley's, and is actively working on improvements [28][59] - Management remains committed to executing the strategic plan and believes there is significant upside as they position Cannae as a permanent capital vehicle [63] Other Important Information - Cannae has returned approximately $414,000,000 in total share buybacks and dividends since announcing the strategic plan [13] - The company expects to close the D&B transaction in the third quarter, which will provide significant capital for shareholder returns [9][30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Any decision on capital return related to D&B? - Management is considering options for capital return, including share buybacks and potential tender offers, with $150,000,000 already allocated for buybacks [32][33] Question: Update on public portfolio monetizations? - Management indicated that they have sold about $1,100,000,000 in public securities and are not in a rush to sell remaining public stakes [36] Question: Update on JANNA partnership and investment opportunities? - Management is optimistic about potential investment opportunities arising from the JANNA partnership and is exploring various avenues for capital deployment [39][40] Question: Motivation for continued participation in BKFC capital raises? - Cannae views BKFC as an important investment and plans to continue participating in future capital raises to maintain a significant ownership stake [42][43] Question: Any updates on the annual shareholders meeting? - The date for the upcoming annual shareholders meeting will be announced after the D&B transaction closes, expected later in the fall [45][46]

Market Overview - Stocks are hitting record highs, but economic warning signs suggest portfolio reassessment and rebalancing is needed [1] - The current state of the stock market, consumer sentiment, and recession warning signs are key discussion points [1] Investment Strategy - Expanding portfolios to markets abroad is a recommended strategy [1] - Stocks In Translation aims to cut through market noise to provide information for making informed trades [1] Resources - Yahoo Finance provides free stock ticker data, up-to-date news, and portfolio management resources [1] - Yahoo Finance offers comprehensive market data and advanced tools for financial management [1]