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3 Stocks to Watch From Thriving Mortgage & Related Services Industry
ZACKS· 2026-01-12 18:41
Industry Overview - The Zacks Mortgage & Related Services industry is experiencing growth due to declining mortgage rates, influenced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in 2025 and expectations for further easing this year [1][4] - The industry consists of providers of mortgage-related loans, refinancing, and loan-servicing facilities, with non-banks gaining market share as banks retreat from the mortgage business due to higher compliance and capital requirements [3] Current Trends - The 30-year fixed mortgage rate has stabilized around a low-6% range since mid-September 2025, providing relief for homebuyers and improving purchase demand [4][5] - Refinancing activity is recovering as homeowners seek to refinance into lower-rate loans, which is expected to drive higher loan origination volumes and improve fee income for industry players [6] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with mortgage servicers facing pressure to cut prices, leading to reduced sales margins [2][7] Performance Metrics - The Zacks Mortgage & Related Services industry has outperformed the broader Zacks Finance sector and the S&P 500, gaining 54.7% over the past year compared to 23.2% and 23.4% for the sector and S&P 500, respectively [11] - The industry currently trades at a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 6.27X, lower than the S&P 500's 8.67X, indicating a premium compared to the broader finance sector's P/B of 4.36X [14][17] Company Highlights - **PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. (PFSI)**: A specialty financial services firm benefiting from a strong servicing business and a strategic transaction with Annaly Capital Management. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PFSI's 2025 earnings is $11.71 per share, a 1.7% increase from the previous year [20][21] - **Federal Agricultural Mortgage (AGM)**: Known as Farmer Mac, it focuses on creating a secondary market for loans to rural borrowers. AGM's 2025 earnings estimate is $17.53 per share, reflecting a 12.1% rise from the prior year [24][25] - **LendingTree, Inc. (TREE)**: An online marketplace enhancing its product offerings and focusing on improving purchase conversion rates. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TREE's 2025 earnings is $4.79 per share, indicating a 50.2% increase from the previous year [27][30]
Citi Is Worth the Sum of Its Parts for First Time in Seven Years
MINT· 2025-12-05 21:39
(Bloomberg) -- For the first time since September 2018, investors consider Citigroup Inc. to be worth at least the sum of its parts.In a boost for Chief Executive Officer Jane Fraser as she pushes her turnaround plan, the bank’s market value relative to the value of its assets, known as price-to-book ratio, equalized Friday in a sign that the bank is making a comeback from its laggard status on Wall Street.The ratio is a valuation metric that bank investors pay close attention to. Since regulators focus hea ...
Should You Buy Progressive Stock Right Now?
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-15 08:59
Core Viewpoint - Long-term investors may find an opportunity in the share price weakness of Progressive, particularly as the stock has underperformed compared to the overall S&P 500 index and the insurance sector [1][10]. Company Overview - Progressive operates in the property and casualty (P&C) insurance segment, providing coverage for vehicles and homes, and has a strong brand presence [3]. - The company has historically excelled in underwriting, effectively pricing policies for the risks it assumes [3]. Underwriting Performance - Progressive's combined ratio, a measure of underwriting profitability, was 83.4 in 2023 and 84.1 in 2024, indicating profitability as values below 100 signify profit [4]. - The company's underwriting profitability is significantly better than the overall P&C insurance industry, which had a combined ratio ranging from 97.3 to 103.9 from 2014 to 2023 [5]. Policy Growth - In 2024, Progressive's written premiums increased to approximately $6 billion, reflecting a 22% rise from the previous year [7]. Recent Concerns - Despite the growth in net premiums written, which rose 9% to $6.8 billion, the combined ratio increased to 100.4 in the third quarter, raising concerns among investors [8]. - The increase in the combined ratio was influenced by a Florida law requiring insurers to return excess profits, leading to a $950 million policyholder credit expense [9]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Progressive's share price has decreased by 9.3% this year, underperforming the S&P 500 and the insurance sector, particularly in the second half of the year [10]. - The current price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 3.6, down from over 6 earlier this year, although it remains higher than the S&P 500 Financials' P/B of 2.4 as of October 31 [12]. - The price weakness may present a buying opportunity for long-term investors, given Progressive's strong operational management in the P&C insurance space [13].