Marketing technology specialist Zeta Global Holdings Corp (NYSE:ZETA) ranks among Monday's top-performing securities, gaining around 8% during the afternoon session. It's just difficult to figure out exactly why. While Zeta did ramp up its forward guidance when it released third-quarter earnings results, the disclosure occurred in November. In the absence of specific headlines, it appears ZETA stock is simply moving on exuberant speculation.That's not to say that this fervor is divorced from rationality bec ...

Core Viewpoint - MARA Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:MARA) has experienced significant volatility, with a notable rally in the second half of 2025 followed by a sharp decline of approximately 60% from mid-October onward, making it an intriguing candidate for contrarian investment strategies [1]. Group 1: Market Conditions and Performance - The blockchain market is currently struggling, impacting crypto-adjacent enterprises like MARA, which are facing challenges amid fears of a bubble in artificial intelligence [5]. - In the last 10 weeks, MARA stock has only recorded three weeks of gains, indicating a downward trend [6]. - Historical data shows that during similar patterns, MARA stock tends to exhibit reflexive behavior, potentially leading to a perception of undervaluation among investors [6]. Group 2: Quantitative Analysis - An analysis of MARA's historical performance reveals a quant pattern labeled as 3-7-D (three up weeks, seven down weeks), which could indicate a structural arbitrage opportunity [7]. - Typically, MARA stock has ranged between $9.02 and $9.62 over most 10-week periods since January 2019, with a probability density peak around $9.32, suggesting a negative bias [8]. - The current quantitative signal suggests that forward 10-week returns could range between $8.50 and $10.50, with a peak probability density at approximately $9.65, indicating a potential mispricing compared to Wall Street's expectations [9]. Group 3: Trading Strategy - The expected terminal value of MARA stock is around $9.65, but there is a potential for it to close a 3.63% gap to the $10 price point, which is statistically significant given the stock's volatility [10][15]. - A proposed trading strategy involves a 9/10 bull call spread expiring on February 20, 2026, with a net debit of $50, allowing for speculation on MARA stock rising above the $10 strike price at expiration, potentially yielding a 100% profit [17].

Among tech companies, Microchip Technology (MCHP) is one of the more difficult names to decipher. As a developer and manufacturer of microcontrollers, memory and interface products for embedded control systems, Microchip represents one of the important cogs in the broader semiconductor industry. At the same time, investors haven’t exactly been thrilled with MCHP stock and its performance. It’s not that the return is bad, per se. Since the start of the year, MCHP stock has gained over 13%. With a trailing ...

At the core, the options arena operates as a market within a market — and with the contracts representing 100 shares of the underlying asset, they may offer tremendous upside potential. Of course, there’s no such thing as a free lunch, especially on Wall Street. While it’s true that, say a 3% move in the open market can sometimes yield a 100% payout in the options market or more, that upside doesn’t come free. Obviously, such trades need to go according to plan for you to collect your outsized reward. Ho ...