SSD控制器市场
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国泰海通 · 晨报1105|宏观、海外策略、海外科技、食饮
国泰海通证券研究· 2025-11-04 12:09
Group 1: Core Views on Consumer Spending - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes a significant increase in the resident consumption rate, aiming for around 50% in the next five years, reflecting a more pragmatic and achievable target compared to previous plans [3] - Various policy efforts will drive the evolution of the resident consumption rate, with projections suggesting it could rise to a range of 42%-47% by 2030, contributing an additional 2.9-3.9 percentage points to nominal GDP growth [5] Group 2: Analysis of Factors Affecting Consumption Rate - Since 1995, the resident consumption rate in China has decreased by 8 percentage points, with key contributing factors including ineffective redistribution effects (2.2 percentage points), limited channels for property income (1.4 percentage points), and fluctuations in average consumption propensity (3.9 percentage points) [7] - The importance of structural reforms in income distribution and consumer expectations is highlighted, indicating that achieving consumption targets requires a coordinated approach rather than merely setting goals [7] Group 3: Market Performance and Economic Indicators - Global indices mostly rose, with MSCI Global up by 0.6%, and emerging markets showing a 0.9% increase, while the U.S. 10Y Treasury yield saw a significant rise [8] - The earnings expectations for U.S. tech and consumer discretionary sectors were notably revised upwards, with the S&P 500's 2025 EPS forecast increasing to 270 [9] Group 4: Semiconductor Storage Controller Market Insights - The global SSD controller market is projected to grow rapidly, with an estimated size of approximately $24.965 billion in 2024, expected to reach $27.763 billion in 2025, and a compound annual growth rate of about 14.4% from 2025 to 2032 [14] - The competitive landscape features both independent manufacturers and IDM firms, with the former excelling in customer diversity and technical services, while the latter focuses on product integration for their SSD offerings [15] Group 5: Investment Recommendations in Consumer Goods - The beverage, snack, and food raw material sectors continue to show performance advantages, while the liquor sector is experiencing a significant downward adjustment, with Q3 2025 liquor revenue down by 18% year-on-year [16] - The consumer goods sector shows a mixed performance, with beer and soft drinks experiencing growth, while other segments like traditional liquor and prepared foods face challenges [17]