Scaling Law(规模律)

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VLA是特斯拉V13的对手吗?
36氪· 2025-04-08 11:05
Core Viewpoint - The entry of Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology into the Chinese market has created a sense of urgency and anxiety among domestic autonomous driving companies, as they fear the potential competitive threat posed by Tesla's advanced AI capabilities [1][5][24]. Summary by Sections Tesla FSD Performance - Tesla's FSD has shown a mixed performance in China, with instances of both impressive driving capabilities and significant errors, highlighting the challenges of adapting to the complex driving environment in China [2][4]. - The underlying AI technology of Tesla is robust, allowing for smooth driving experiences in regular conditions, but it struggles with unique Chinese traffic scenarios due to a lack of localized data training [4][5]. VLA Model Introduction - The VLA model has emerged as a promising solution to the shortcomings of the end-to-end model, integrating visual, linguistic, and action capabilities to enhance vehicle understanding of complex driving situations [8][9]. - VLA's ability to interpret traffic signs and pedestrian intentions positions it as a potential game-changer in the autonomous driving landscape, especially if it can effectively address the unique challenges of Chinese roads [8][12]. Competitive Landscape - Four key players in the domestic market are actively developing VLA technology: Li Auto, Chery, Geely, and Yuanrong Qixing, each with distinct strategies and timelines for implementation [15][16]. - Li Auto's "MindVLA" aims for high accuracy in complex scenarios but faces challenges in managing dual systems, while Chery collaborates with major tech firms to enhance its capabilities [18][19]. - Yuanrong Qixing stands out for its aggressive development and production of VLA technology, positioning itself ahead of competitors in the market [19][21]. Future Outlook - The competition in the autonomous driving sector is shifting from engineering capabilities to the foundational AI model capabilities, with the upcoming deployment of VLA-equipped vehicles expected to provide clarity on the competitive dynamics between Tesla's FSD and domestic technologies [24][25].