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J&J Up Around 17% in 3 Months: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-25 13:26
Core Insights - Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ) stock has increased by 16.7% over the past three months, primarily driven by strong third-quarter 2025 results that exceeded expectations in both revenue and earnings, along with an upward revision of sales guidance for the year [1][9]. Group 1: Company Performance - J&J's Innovative Medicine unit has shown consistent growth, with sales rising 3.4% in the first nine months of 2025 despite the loss of exclusivity for its product Stelara, which previously accounted for around 18% of the unit's sales [5][16]. - The Innovative Medicine segment achieved over $15 billion in sales for the second consecutive quarter, supported by key drugs such as Darzalex, Erleada, and Tremfya, as well as new products like Carvykti and Tecvayli [5][8]. - J&J anticipates accelerated growth in the Innovative Medicine segment in 2026, driven by both existing and newly launched products [6]. Group 2: Pipeline and Regulatory Developments - J&J has made significant progress in its pipeline, achieving key clinical and regulatory milestones, including approvals for new treatments like Inlexzo and Imaavy [7]. - The company believes that ten of its new products in the Innovative Medicine segment have the potential to generate peak sales of $5 billion [11]. Group 3: MedTech Segment and Strategic Moves - J&J's MedTech business has shown improvement, particularly due to acquisitions in the cardiovascular sector, and plans to separate its Orthopaedics franchise into a standalone company to focus on high-growth markets [12][13]. - The company expects better growth in the MedTech segment in 2026, driven by the adoption of new products and a focus on higher-growth markets [14]. Group 4: Challenges and Legal Issues - J&J faces challenges in China due to the volume-based procurement (VBP) program, which is impacting sales [15]. - The company is dealing with over 73,000 lawsuits related to its talc-based products, which allege health risks, and has recently shifted back to the traditional tort system after a failed bankruptcy strategy [19][20]. Group 5: Stock Performance and Valuation - J&J's stock has outperformed the industry, rising 42.5% year-to-date compared to a 16.0% increase in the industry [22]. - The stock is currently trading at a price/earnings ratio of 18.04, which is higher than the industry average of 17.04 and above its five-year mean of 15.65 [26]. Group 6: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for J&J's 2025 earnings has increased slightly from $10.86 to $10.87 per share, while the estimate for 2026 has risen from $11.37 to $11.48 [29].
Lilly Up 10% in a Month: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-23 15:40
Core Insights - Eli Lilly and Company's stock has increased by 9.5% in a month, driven by a recovery in the pharma sector, with major players like Pfizer and AstraZeneca entering drug pricing agreements with the Trump administration [1][2][11] Company Performance - Lilly's top line is significantly supported by the strong growth of its diabetes and obesity treatments, particularly the GLP-1 therapies Mounjaro and Zepbound, which together account for approximately 50% of the company's total revenues [4][5][11] - The company has committed over $50 billion for domestic manufacturing expansion, positioning itself for potential agreements with the U.S. government similar to those signed by Pfizer and AstraZeneca [2][11] Product Pipeline - Lilly is actively investing in its obesity pipeline, with several new molecules in clinical development, including orforglipron and retatrutide, which are expected to enhance its market position [7][8][9] - The company has received approvals for multiple new therapies, including Omvoh, Jaypirca, Ebglyss, and Kisunla, contributing to revenue growth [12][13] Market Dynamics - The obesity market is projected to reach $100 billion by 2030, leading to increased competition, particularly from Novo Nordisk, which poses a challenge for Lilly's Mounjaro and Zepbound [14][18] - U.S. President Trump's indication of potential price cuts for GLP-1 drugs raises concerns about pricing pressures on Lilly's products, although formal negotiations have not yet begun [15][16] Financial Outlook - Lilly's stock is currently trading at a price/earnings ratio of 27.72, higher than the industry average of 15.54, but below its five-year mean of 34.54 [23][29] - The company anticipates revenues between $60 billion and $62 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth of over 30% [29]
AbbVie Up More Than 30% in 6 Months: How to Play the Stock
ZACKS· 2025-10-22 15:30
Core Insights - AbbVie (ABBV) stock has increased by 30.7% over the past six months, outperforming the industry (8.9%), sector, and S&P 500 index [1][7]. Stock Performance - The stock has been trading above its 50 and 200-day moving averages since July [2]. - AbbVie has successfully navigated the loss of exclusivity of its blockbuster drug, Humira, by launching new immunology medicines, Skyrizi and Rinvoq, which are driving growth [8][10]. Drug Performance - Skyrizi and Rinvoq generated combined sales of $11.6 billion in the first half of 2025, with annualizing sales expected to reach almost $18 billion for Skyrizi and over $8 billion for Rinvoq [10][11]. - AbbVie anticipates combined sales of Skyrizi and Rinvoq to exceed $25 billion in 2025 and $31 billion by 2027, driven by strong market growth and new indications [11]. Oncology and Neuroscience Contributions - AbbVie's oncology segment generated revenues of $3.3 billion in the first half of 2025, up 4.2% year over year, supported by new drugs like Elahere and Epkinly [13]. - Sales of AbbVie's neuroscience drugs increased by 20.3% to nearly $5 billion in the first half of 2025, driven by products like Botox Therapeutic and Vraylar [14]. Acquisition Strategy - AbbVie has executed over 30 M&A transactions since early 2024 to enhance its early-stage pipeline, including the acquisition of Gilgamesh Pharmaceuticals [15]. Challenges - Humira's sales have declined over 50% in the first half of 2025 due to biosimilar erosion, with expectations of continued decline [17]. - Sales of Juvederm fillers have decreased by 22.2% in the first half of 2025 due to macroeconomic challenges and weakened consumer sentiment [18]. Valuation and Estimates - AbbVie shares currently trade at a price/earnings ratio of 16.72, higher than the industry average of 15.64 [19]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has decreased from $12.03 to $11.12 per share, while the estimate for 2026 has slightly increased [22]. Future Outlook - AbbVie is expected to return to mid-single-digit revenue growth in 2025, driven by the performance of Skyrizi and Rinvoq, with no significant loss of exclusivity events anticipated for the rest of the decade [25].