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A Short Covering Secret Contrarians Should Know
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2026-01-13 16:20
Subscribers to Chart of the Week received this commentary on Sunday, January, 11. We’ve spent a lot of oxygen lately on how great 2025 was for stocks. That’s not very contrarian of us. Luckily, Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White has provided contrarians with the perfect table to start out 2026 with. Rocky had a theory that stocks down big in a year and highly shorted would have a good chance of a short-term rally after the New Year, because short sellers with a significant profit will wait until just a ...
Rocket Lab Stock Looks Ready to Roar Higher in 2026
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2026-01-09 20:37
Rocket Lab Corp (NASDAQ:RKLB) pulled back from an all-time highs last month to its mid-October closing high just above $69. The shares subsequently rallied from this low on Friday; an area that’s seven times its opening SPAC level in 2020. Last quarter, short sellers began covering after all-time peaks in short interest. But with 8% of the stock’s total available float, continued short covering could occur in the first few months of 2026. With February implied volatility (IV) just below the stock's 63-day h ...
Energy Drink Stock Ready to Make Its Next Move
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2026-01-08 20:43
Core Insights - Celsius Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:CELH) has seen a 12.5% increase in stock price in 2026, currently trading at $51.41, indicating a bullish trend [1] - The stock has crossed its 80-day moving average, historically leading to a 53% chance of being higher one month later, with an average gain of 8.2% [2] - Over the past year, Celsius stock has increased by 77.4%, with short interest rising by 20.2%, indicating potential for further upward movement [4] Technical Analysis - The stock's 320-day moving average has supported pullbacks to $39, suggesting a strong support level [4] - A similar price movement from the current level could help recover the 24.8% decline experienced post-earnings on November 6 [2] - Options trading indicates low volatility expectations, with the Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) at 48%, ranking in the low 13th percentile of its annual range [5]
Factors Behind Silver & Gold's Volatile Trade, Fed Chair Talks
Youtube· 2025-12-30 14:30
to Kevin Hanks live at the CBOE. Our pre-bell playbook begins there and uh we'll start with this metals bounceback. You and I were talking yesterday.I mean I think I said $200 or something for gold being down. It was crazy. It's been crazy, right.What's going on now with the metals. >> Well, here here's what it is, Nicole. And it it's indicative of the um intricate nature of the futures markets.The rumors are out there that that the CME raised margin rates on futures for the for some of the metals and that' ...
Analyst: Ollie's Bargain Outlet is a "Buy"
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-12-22 15:46
Group 1 - Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc shares increased by 2% to $110.11 following an upgrade from Loop Capital to "buy" and a price target increase to $135 from $130, citing underestimated sales potential and strategic advantages for the discount retailer [1] - The stock has been on a downward trend since mid-September, recently falling below its 200-day moving average and experiencing five consecutive weeks of negative performance, currently hovering around breakeven for 2025 [2] - Short interest represents 7.5% of the stock's available float, indicating over four days' worth of pent-up buying power, which could lead to a potential lift in shares, alongside an oversold relative strength index (RSI) of 25 suggesting a short-term bounce [3] Group 2 - The options market for Ollie's Bargain Outlet is showing reasonably priced premiums, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 32% ranking in the low 6th percentile of its annual range, indicating low volatility expectations among options traders [4]
SanDisk Stock Pulls Back From Gains After S&P 500 Debut
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-11-28 15:19
SanDisk Corp (NASDAQ:SNDK) enters the S&P 500 Index (SPX) today. The shares are surged as high as $237.77 in response, but have since pulled back, last seen flat to trade at $215.24. The 30-day moving average moved in as support last week, with the stock now eyeing a 13.5% November gain.Some of today's bounce could be attributed to short covering. Short interest has been building, and now represents 5.5% of the stock's available float.Over in the options pits, call traders are targeting SanDisk stock straig ...
Susquehanna's Chris Murphy: Recent market patterns resemble past meme cycles
CNBC Television· 2025-10-23 18:39
Welcome back. Beyond Meat's wild meme stock ride continues. Shares lower today, down as much as 22% pre-market, but up nearly 400% so far this week.And while volatility is the name of the meme trade game, there are signs some options traders are actually banking on a bit of stability in a few of these names. I'm nervous to even say that. Joining me now to discuss is Esuana's Chris Murphy.Okay, I think we're all still trying to understand meme stocks. How the retail trader ends up glomming on to one. Is it s ...
Strength in Crude Oil Sparks Short Covering in Sugar
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-23 18:26
Core Insights - Sugar prices have shown a recovery after early losses, influenced by a rise in crude oil prices, which may lead to reduced sugar supplies as mills shift towards ethanol production [1] - A significant global sugar surplus is projected for the 2025/26 season, contrasting with a previous deficit, indicating a bearish outlook for sugar prices [2] - Increased sugar output in Brazil and potential sugar diversion to ethanol production in India are contributing to the negative price outlook [3][4] Group 1: Sugar Price Movements - October NY world sugar 11 closed up +2.69%, while December London ICE white sugar 5 closed up +2.62% [1] - Sugar prices initially hit a 4.25-year low in New York and a 4-year low in London, reflecting a declining trend over the past six months due to abundant global supply [2] Group 2: Global Sugar Supply and Demand - StoneX projects a global sugar surplus of +2.8 million metric tons (MMT) for the 2025/26 season, a shift from a deficit of -4.7 MMT in the 2024/25 season [2] - The International Sugar Organization (ISO) forecasts a global sugar deficit of -231,000 metric tons for the 2025/26 season, improving from a -4.88 MMT shortfall in 2024/25 [5] Group 3: Regional Production Insights - Brazil's sugar output in the second half of August increased by +18% year-on-year to 3.872 million tons, with a higher percentage of sugarcane crushed for sugar [3] - India's potential diversion of 4 MMT of sugar to ethanol production may not alleviate its sugar surplus, leading to increased exports [4]
Celsius Stock Hits 52-Week Highs After Pepsi Increases Stake
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-08-29 15:00
Group 1 - Celsius Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:CELH) stock is trading at 52-week highs following PepsiCo's $585 million stake increase in the company [1] - CELH stock has risen 140% since the beginning of the year, with a notable post-earnings bull gap of 17.3% on August 7 [1] - The stock is on track for its fourth consecutive weekly gain, with a current trading price of $62.72, peaking at $63.49 earlier [1] Group 2 - Options trading activity has surged, with 23,000 CELH calls exchanged, which is double the average volume, compared to 7,426 puts [2] - The most popular option is the weekly 8/29 64-strike call, with new positions being opened [2] - CELH's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) is at 42%, indicating low volatility expectations among options traders [2] Group 3 - There is significant short covering potential for CELH, with short interest representing 12.5% of the stock's available float, equating to three days' worth of buying power [3]
Wayfair Stock Marks 52-Week Highs After Stellar Report
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-08-04 15:03
Group 1 - Wayfair Inc's stock increased by 7.3% to $69.96, reaching a 52-week high of $73.79 [1] - The company's second-quarter earnings and revenue exceeded estimates, with revenue growth at its highest since 2021, marking the quarter as a "resounding success" according to CEO Niraj Shah [1] - Year-to-date, Wayfair's stock is up 56.8%, having more than doubled in price from May to July [2] Group 2 - The stock has shown significant upward momentum since early April, with close support at the 20-day moving average since late April [2] - Short interest in Wayfair has increased, now representing 23.8% of the stock's available float, which may have contributed to today's gains [2] - Trading activity has surged, with 13,000 calls and 8,124 puts exchanged, indicating a higher than usual interest in options [3]