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X @Nick Szabo
Nick Szabo· 2025-10-12 20:16
Economic Comparison - Poland's standard of living is now comparable to the UK's [1] - Poland's standard of living continues to rise [1] Quality of Life - Poland is considered safer and cleaner than the UK [1] Infrastructure - Poland has faster mobile and internet infrastructure [1]
X @Joe Consorti ⚡️
Joe Consorti ⚡️· 2025-09-28 16:41
Economic Commentary - BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) is perceived as masking economic pain rather than reporting reality [1] - GDP (Gross Domestic Product) as a primary metric atomizes humans into economic units, neglecting the standard of living and individual flourishing [1] - The share of young adults living with parents has reached levels not seen since the Great Depression [2]
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman, Dynamic Pricing and Labor, Brazil’s Rare Earths Bet
Bloomberg Television· 2025-09-14 07:04
Trade and Tariffs - Trump administration's tariffs are negatively impacting the standard of living by increasing costs and reducing productivity [6][7] - While consistent tariffs are bad, the uncertainty and volatility of tariff rates are causing significant disruption to businesses and investments [9][10] - Tariffs are being absorbed by U S businesses and consumers, not significantly by foreign exporters [11][12] - Tariffs on inputs into U S manufacturing are raising costs for U S businesses [14] - Trump's tariffs may generate revenue like a sales tax, but are unlikely to yield the $300 billion claimed [21][22] - The U S has violated international trade agreements, potentially damaging its credibility [24][25] Dynamic Pricing - Dynamic pricing is being used by companies to charge different prices based on customer willingness to pay and market conditions [26] - Dynamic pricing can benefit sellers by optimizing revenue, but may face consumer backlash if not perceived as beneficial [27] - Dynamic pricing can lead to intense competition and potentially erode industry profitability, as seen in the airline industry [28] - Implementing dynamic discounting, rather than simply raising prices, may be a more effective strategy [29] Rare Earth Minerals - China dominates the rare earth mineral market, controlling around 60% of the overall market and nearly 100% of heavy rare earths [29] - The U S imports 95% of its rare earths from China, creating a vulnerability in defense systems [29] - Brazil is attracting miners to its mineral reserves, aiming to become a reliable non-China rare earth supplier [30] Housing Market - The U S is experiencing a housing crisis with rapidly rising housing prices due to land use restrictions and construction costs [30][31] - Trump administration policies, such as tariffs on Canadian lumber and restrictions on immigration, are negatively impacting housing supply and affordability [32] - Politicizing the Federal Reserve could lead to higher mortgage rates and reduced housing affordability [35]
Paul Krugman Says Trump's Tariffs Make America More Like Denmark
Youtube· 2025-09-13 12:00
Economic Impact of Tariffs - The implementation of tariffs is raising costs for U.S. businesses, which could lead to a reduction in GDP by approximately 0.5% in the long run [6][13] - The unpredictability of tariff rates creates chaos for businesses, making investments riskier and potentially leading to poor financial outcomes [7][8] - Tariffs are primarily affecting inputs into U.S. manufacturing, thereby increasing operational costs for companies [12][13] Labor Market and Immigration - The reduction of immigrant labor due to immigration policies is negatively impacting productivity and living standards for native-born workers [5][4] - The construction industry, heavily reliant on immigrant labor, is facing challenges that could further drive up housing costs [2][4] Auto Industry Dynamics - The North American auto industry is highly integrated, and tariffs on steel and aluminum are increasing production costs without effectively bringing manufacturing jobs back to the U.S. [15][16] - The pressure on manufacturers to automate due to rising costs may not translate into job creation for U.S. workers [16][17] Revenue Generation and Fiscal Policy - Tariffs function as a sales tax on imported goods, which could theoretically help reduce the deficit, but the actual revenue generated may not be substantial [19][20] - The potential increase in tariff rates could lead to higher revenue, but the effectiveness of this approach in addressing the deficit remains uncertain [21] Long-term Trade Relations - The current administration's approach to tariffs is likely to damage U.S. credibility in international trade agreements, making future negotiations more challenging [22][23] - The violation of established trade agreements could have lasting repercussions on the U.S.'s role in the global trading system [22][23]
Paul Krugman Says Trump’s Tariffs Make America More Like Denmark
Bloomberg Television· 2025-09-13 12:00
Trade & Tariffs - Tariffs negatively impact the standard of living by increasing costs and reducing productivity [3][4] - Trump's tariffs, while potentially reducing GDP by approximately 0.5% in the long run, pose a greater threat due to uncertainty and volatility, disrupting business investments [6][7][8] - US businesses, rather than exporters, are absorbing a significant amount of tariff costs, partly due to front-running and uncertainty about the tariffs' permanence [10] - Many tariffs are levied on inputs into US manufacturing, raising costs for US businesses [12] - The auto industry is particularly vulnerable to tariffs due to its integrated North American supply chain, where parts cross borders multiple times [15] - Tariffs function as a sales tax on imported goods, potentially increasing revenue and reducing the deficit, but the amount is unlikely to reach Secretary Besson's estimate of $300 billion [18][19][20] - The US is violating international trade agreements, damaging its credibility and potentially dismantling a system built over 90 years [22][23] Immigration & Labor - Immigrant workers are concentrated in specific industries and occupations that complement native-born American workers, and driving them out reduces productivity and living standards [4][5] - Industries that might return to the US are likely to be capital-intensive, creating more jobs for robots than for US workers [18] Economic Policy & Impact - The stated goal of bringing back manufacturing jobs may not be achieved due to automation and the integrated nature of industries like the auto industry [14][16]