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心动公司(02400):业绩超预期,游戏表现亮眼,TapTap稳步增长
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-07 14:49
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has exceeded market expectations with its 2025H1 performance, forecasting revenue of at least 30.50 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 37%, and a net profit of at least 7.90 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 215% [8] - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the strong performance of self-developed games and the steady growth of the TapTap platform, with improvements in game gross margins and user engagement [8] - The company has revised its profit forecasts upwards, expecting net profits of 1.69 billion yuan, 1.94 billion yuan, and 2.05 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively, reflecting a positive outlook on new game releases and the TapTap platform's value [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 5,012 million yuan in 2024 to 7,800 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 2.87% [1] - The net profit is expected to increase significantly from 811.53 million yuan in 2024 to 2,047.56 million yuan in 2027, indicating a strong growth trajectory [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.65 yuan in 2024 to 4.15 yuan in 2027, reflecting improved profitability [1] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 40.94 in 2024 to 16.23 in 2027, suggesting an attractive valuation as earnings grow [1]