Tariff policy impact

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供应增加预期高悬 沪锌继续负重而行?
Wen Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-25 09:36
由于全球锌矿产量增加较为确定,市场对于锌价走势的预期普遍偏空,叠加贸易争端一度激化拖累,今 年以来沪锌重心震荡下移。不过前期冶炼厂利润不足且二季度检修较多,国内精炼锌产量并未出现大幅 增加一幕,社会库存持续低位,现实表现不算弱势,可以看到期价几次触及21600一线附近后都有反 弹。然而进入6月份冶炼厂产量将有明显提升,沪锌会继续向下寻找支撑吗? 贸易争端整体缓和 地缘风险扰动增加 4月美国超预期的对等关税落地,叠加其他国家纷纷反制,工业品一度重挫,不过美国对外关税政策显 然是雷声大雨点小,历经谈判过后对多国的关税税率都出现明显下调,市场情绪随之缓和。当前时间仍 处于美国关税缓冲期当中,目前市场仍在衡量关税对于美国经济的冲击,由于对关税政策可能推高通胀 的担忧存在,美联储6月议息会议传递偏鹰态度,后续仍需关注关税缓冲期过后特朗普政府的态度变化 和年内美联储降息节奏。 最近中东地缘政治局势一度紧张,一定程度推升市场避险情绪,原油系和贵金属都出现剧烈波动,对其 余金属的影响相对有限,但对锌市则带来两个方面的担忧。一方面,近几年伊朗锌矿对华都有出口, 2024年全年进口量在8万吨附近,占国内总进口的2%附近,冲突的加 ...
FS KKR Capital (FSK) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-08 14:00
FS KKR Capital (FSK) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 08, 2025 09:00 AM ET Speaker0 Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to FS KKR Capital Corp. First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. Your lines will be in a listen only mode during the remarks by FSK's management. At the conclusion of the company's remarks, we will begin the question and answer session, at which time I will give you instructions on entering the queue. Please note that this conference is being recorded. At this time, Anna ...
Blue Bird(BLBD) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-07 21:32
Blue Bird (BLBD) Q2 2025 Earnings Call May 07, 2025 04:30 PM ET Company Participants Mark Benfield - Executive Director of Profitability & Investor RelationsJohn Wyskiel - President, CEO & DirectorRazvan Radulescu - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Michael Shlisky - Managing Director & Senior Equity Research AnalystEric Stine - Senior Research AnalystTyler DiMatteo - Equity Research AnalystCraig Irwin - Managing Director, Senior Research AnalystChris Pierce - Senior Analyst Operator This ...
Accuray(ARAY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-30 20:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q3 FY 2025 was $113 million, up 12% year-over-year and up 14% on a constant currency basis [16] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $6 million, compared to $1.1 million in the prior year, driven by higher volume, pricing, and operational improvements [8][19] - Operating income for the quarter was $1 million, compared to an operating loss of $4.6 million from the prior year [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Product revenue for Q3 was $57 million, up 16% year-over-year, reflecting a 23% increase in unit volume [17] - Service revenue for the quarter was $56 million, up 9% year-over-year [17] - The service business represented approximately 49% of total revenue and 59% of gross margin for the quarter [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Book to bill ratio was over 1.2, indicating healthy customer demand across both developed and emerging markets [9] - Approximately 35% of order growth was driven by the replacement of aged equipment [9] - The company reported a backlog of approximately $452 million, with zero order cancellations in the quarter [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to be the most reliable global partner in radiation therapy treatment technology, focusing on operational efficiency and customer partnerships [6][7] - Investments in ERP and talent are expected to enhance adaptability and capabilities in a rapidly changing global market [7] - The service business is anticipated to be a growth engine and primary catalyst for expanding margins [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted lower visibility on near-term growth in revenues and earnings due to global trade circumstances [5] - Despite challenges, management expressed confidence in emerging stronger and more resilient from the current environment [6] - The company expects a potential negative impact of $10 million to $15 million in Q4 revenue due to tariffs, primarily affecting product sales in China [12][21] Other Important Information - The company is exploring various mitigation actions to offset tariff impacts, including establishing a foreign trade zone and developing secondary domestic sources [11] - Total cash and cash equivalents amounted to $79 million, up from $64 million at the end of the last quarter [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of deferred China adjusted EBITDA - Management confirmed that product margins were affected by higher margin deferral on China, with product margins at 22.7% for the quarter [26][27] Question: Potential impact in markets like India and South America - Management indicated that while the China impact is significant, they see strength in other regions, including India and non-China APAC markets [28][29] Question: Scenarios regarding tariff exemptions for medical products in China - Management is working closely with their China JV to seek a tariff exemption but noted uncertainty regarding the timeline and probability of success [31][34] Question: Future activity in China and potential impacts - Management stated that they are conducting internal scenario planning and will provide more clarity in future calls [38] Question: Focus on emerging markets - Management confirmed a strategic focus on both developed and emerging markets, leveraging opportunities in regions like the UK and non-China APAC [39][41]