Time Decay

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X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-04 13:30
My Top Time Based Trades Right now.Gemini 3.0 to be released by Oct 31- They just released Nano Banana, likelihood of another model is slim before October, with this still being only a week old.- At 60c for the No, you still have a 40c return, which is a 66% gain if you hold to expire.- I think you will break 80c here sooner than later, and personally Ill start scaling outWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by...?- September 10th is already at a near guarantee for No- September 15th is sitting at a NO for 80 ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-04 13:05
Nothing. Ever. Happens.(The Best Bet on Prediction Markets)There's an edge to have when it comes to just being patient on Prediction Markets.&& what I mean by this is the ability to hold a position early, and sit on your hands.Time Decay is a VERY real thing, and with that comes a premium for event based contracts.(an event Based Contract is a Market that resolves to No if an event does not occur by a given date, and vice versa for Yes)Now, I'm not saying take the above Prediction Market, but if you can sit ...