Summary of British American Tobacco (NYSE:BTI) Conference Call - December 09, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: British American Tobacco (BAT) - **Date**: December 09, 2025 - **Key Speakers**: Victoria Buxton (Group Head of Investor Relations), Tadeu Marocco (Chief Executive), Javed Iqbal (Interim Chief Financial Officer) Key Industry Insights - **Industry**: Global nicotine industry, particularly focusing on combustibles, modern oral products, and vapor categories - **Market Dynamics**: The industry is experiencing a transformation with adult smokers increasingly switching to new categories, particularly modern oral products and vapor Core Points and Arguments 1. **Revenue and Profit Growth**: BAT expects around 2% revenue and adjusted operating profit growth for the full year 2025, with positive momentum in the U.S. business driven by combustibles and VLO Plus performance [2][3] 2. **New Category Growth**: Anticipated acceleration in new category revenue growth to double digits in the second half of 2025, with mid-single-digit growth expected for the full year [2][3] 3. **Modern Oral Products**: Modern Oral is the fastest-growing category, with VLO gaining volume share up 590 basis points to 31.8% in key markets. The category is positioned as a lower-risk alternative to traditional cigarettes [4][5] 4. **FDA Support**: The FDA is recognized for its role in tobacco harm reduction, with a commitment to provide science-based information about nicotine products, which is expected to facilitate consumer transitions to reduced harm products [5][6] 5. **Velo Plus Performance**: Velo Plus has achieved significant growth, reaching a 21.9% volume share in October, up from 6.9% prior to its launch, and is driving triple-digit revenue growth in the U.S. [6][7] 6. **Heated Products**: The heated products segment is undergoing a transitional phase, with a new product, glo Halo, launched in Japan, aimed at capturing the premium segment [9][10] 7. **Vapor Category Recovery**: Vuse has regained volume and revenue growth in the U.S. after 18 months of decline, with a 50.4% value share, supported by increased federal enforcement against illicit products [11][12] 8. **Combustibles Performance**: The U.S. combustibles business is expected to deliver revenue and profit growth for the first time since 2022, with a decline in industry volume improving compared to previous years [15][16] 9. **Regulatory Challenges**: Significant regulatory headwinds in markets like Bangladesh and Australia are expected to impact overall revenue growth, with illicit trade accounting for over 85% of nicotine usage in these regions [16][17] 10. **Financial Discipline**: BAT maintains a strong cash generation profile, with operating cash conversion expected to exceed 95% in 2025 and a commitment to deleveraging [17][18] Additional Important Insights - **Market Exit Strategy**: BAT plans to exit underperforming markets like Mozambique and Cuba, which will impact organic growth figures [28][37] - **Investment in Innovation**: Continued investment in premium products and innovation is prioritized, with a focus on maintaining competitive advantages in the market [30][31] - **Future Guidance**: For 2026, BAT expects to achieve revenue growth at the lower end of its mid-term algorithm, with a focus on sustainable financial delivery and transformation [19][35] Conclusion - BAT is optimistic about its growth trajectory, particularly in the U.S. market, and is committed to delivering sustainable shareholder value through dividends and share buybacks while navigating regulatory challenges and market dynamics [18][47]

Core Insights - The company has achieved significant balance sheet improvement, becoming debt-free and receiving $9.5 million in non-dilutive cash from an insurance settlement [4][6][11] - The third quarter marks a strategic pivot towards a branded products strategy, with an increasing store count and new distribution agreements for VLN® products [2][4] - The company aims to lead the Tobacco Harm Reduction Movement by offering low nicotine products, aligning with FDA mandates [3][4] Financial Performance - Net revenues for Q3 2025 decreased slightly to $4.0 million from $4.1 million in Q2 2025, while gross profit showed a loss of $(1.1) million compared to $(0.6) million [6][12] - Operating expenses decreased to $2.2 million from $2.3 million, but operating loss increased to $3.2 million from $3.0 million [6][12] - Consolidated net income increased to $5.5 million, reflecting the $9.5 million insurance settlement, compared to a net loss of $3.4 million in the previous quarter [6][12] Product Line and Market Expansion - Cigarette net revenues were $2.5 million, down from $2.7 million, while VLN® cigarette revenues increased by $0.2 million due to initial stocking orders [7][12] - The company has expanded market access for VLN® and Partner VLN® brand launches, with state authorizations now including 45 states for 22nd Century VLN® and 38 states for Smoker Friendly VLN® [11][12] - The company is advancing plans for new product formats and international offerings, including a 100mm format for VLN® cigarettes [11][12] Balance Sheet and Cash Position - The company ended Q3 2025 with cash of $4.8 million and no outstanding debt, having extinguished $3.9 million of senior secured debt [6][12] - The recent insurance settlement has significantly improved the company's cash position, providing a solid foundation for future growth [4][6][12]

Financial Performance - For the third quarter, adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 3.6%, and for the first nine months, it grew by 5.9% [5][20] - Adjusted operating companies income (OCI) for the smokeable products segment grew by 0.7% to nearly $3 billion in the third quarter and by 2.5% to $8.4 billion for the first nine months [20] - Adjusted OCI margins expanded to 64.4% for both the third quarter and first nine months, representing margin growth of 1.3 percentage points and 2.7 percentage points, respectively [20] Business Segment Performance - Domestic cigarette volumes declined by 8.2% in the third quarter and 10.6% for the first nine months when adjusted for trade inventory movements and calendar differences [21][22] - Marlboro expanded its share of the premium segment by 0.3 to 59.6% in the third quarter, while the discount segment of the industry expanded by 2.4 share points year over year, with Basic capturing over half of that growth [22][23] - In the oral tobacco products segment, adjusted OCI declined by less than 1% in the third quarter, but adjusted OCI margin expanded by 2.4 percentage points to 69.2% for the first nine months [24][25] Market Data - The nicotine pouch category saw an estimated 14.5% increase in industry volume over the past six months, with ON's retail share of the total oral tobacco category at 8.7% for the third quarter [6][8] - The e-vapor category included approximately 21 million vapers at the end of the third quarter, up nearly 2 million from a year ago, with flavored disposable e-vapor products representing over 60% of the category [13][15] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - The company announced a collaboration with KT&G to explore opportunities in international innovative smoke-free products and non-nicotine products [5][18] - The FDA's pilot program to streamline PMTA reviews for oral nicotine pouches is seen as a positive development, with ON+ applications included in the program [16][17] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumers are under pressure but are seeing some consistency in gas prices and inflation, which may influence purchasing behavior [33] - The company raised the lower end of its 2025 guidance range, now expecting adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $5.37 to $5.45, representing a growth rate of 3.5% to 5% from a base of $5.19 in 2024 [26][27] Other Important Information - The company returned nearly $6 billion to shareholders in the first nine months, including $5.2 billion in dividends and $712 million in share repurchases [27] - The board authorized the expansion of the share repurchase program from $1 billion to $2 billion, which now expires on December 31, 2026 [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on fourth quarter earnings growth and smokeable OCI - Management acknowledged the impact of share repurchase and MSA legal fund expiration on earnings growth, emphasizing the need to monitor consumer spending in a dynamic marketplace [30][31] Question: Drivers behind moderation in cigarette industry decline - Management indicated that consistency in consumer pressures, such as gas prices and inflation, may be contributing to the moderation observed [32][33] Question: Performance and initiatives for the nicotine pouch category - Management expressed satisfaction with ON's performance despite competitive pressures and highlighted the importance of retail takeaway volume as a measure of consumer demand [36][38] Question: KT&G partnership and operational efficiencies - Management outlined three prongs of the partnership: expanding ON and ON+ internationally, exploring non-nicotine opportunities, and improving operational efficiencies [39][41] Question: ON+ pricing strategy and controllable costs - Management confirmed ON+ is positioned as a premium product and discussed the importance of long-term cost management strategies in the smokeable category [46][49]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 3.6% in Q3 and by 5.9% for the first nine months [18] - Adjusted operating companies income (OCI) for smokeable products grew by 0.7% to nearly $3 billion in Q3 and by 2.5% to $8.4 billion for the first nine months [18] - Adjusted OCI margins expanded to 64.4% for both Q3 and the first nine months, representing margin growth of 1.3 percentage points and 2.7 percentage points respectively [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Domestic cigarette volumes declined by 8.2% in Q3 and 10.6% for the first nine months when adjusted for trade inventory movements [18] - Marlboro expanded its share of the premium segment by 0.3 to 59.6% in Q3 [19] - The oral tobacco products segment saw adjusted OCI decline by less than 1% in Q3, but adjusted OCI margin expanded by 2.4 percentage points to 69.2% for the first nine months [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The nicotine pouch category grew to 55.7 share points, an increase of 11.1 share points year over year [5] - The e-vapor category included approximately 21 million vapers, up nearly 2 million versus a year ago [11] - Retail share for oral tobacco products was 31.1% for Q3 and 32.9% for the first nine months [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its smoke-free portfolio and exploring international opportunities in innovative smoke-free products [4][15] - A collaboration with KT&G was announced to explore opportunities in international innovative smoke-free products and non-nicotine products [4][16] - The company aims to maintain profitability in the premium segment while also investing in the discount segment to capture price-sensitive consumers [20][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumer spending remains under pressure due to macroeconomic factors, but they are optimistic about maintaining profitability [30] - The company raised the lower end of its 2025 guidance range, expecting adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $5.37 to $5.45 [24] - Management emphasized the importance of a functioning regulatory system and the need for accelerated product authorizations from the FDA [14][54] Other Important Information - The company returned nearly $6 billion to shareholders, including $5.2 billion in dividends and $712 million in share repurchases [25] - The board authorized the expansion of the share repurchase program from $1 billion to $2 billion, which now expires on December 31, 2026 [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on fourth quarter earnings growth deceleration - Management acknowledged the impact of share repurchase and MSA legal fund expiration on earnings growth, while monitoring consumer spending [29][30] Question: Drivers behind the moderation in cigarette industry decline - Management indicated that consistency in gas prices and inflation may have contributed to the moderation in decline [31][32] Question: Performance and positioning of ON in the nicotine pouch category - Management expressed satisfaction with ON's performance despite competitive pressures and highlighted the importance of retail takeaway volume [33][34] Question: Opportunities from the KT&G partnership - Management discussed three pronged opportunities: expanding ON internationally, exploring non-nicotine products, and improving operational efficiencies [36][39] Question: Clarification on duty drawbacks and EPS growth - Management stated that duty drawbacks are an additional benefit but emphasized the need for a functioning regulatory system for long-term decisions [52][54] Question: Impact of FDA pilot program on ON+ launch - Management clarified that decisions will be based on long-term interests and the functioning of the regulatory system [53][54]

Core Viewpoint - The proposed FDA standard for nicotine yield in tobacco products could prevent 4.3 million deaths and save $600 billion annually in economic damages related to smoking [1][3]. Company Position - 22nd Century Group supports the FDA's proposed rule, emphasizing that it could lead to the complete replacement of conventional high-nicotine products with Very Low Nicotine Content (VLNC) products within two years [1][3]. - The company has developed proprietary non-GMO reduced nicotine tobacco plants, which contain 95% less nicotine than traditional tobacco, enabling the production of consumer-acceptable combusted tobacco products [8][9]. Health Impact - The FDA's population health model suggests that adopting the proposed rule could prevent smoking initiation in approximately 48 million youth and young adults and avert 1.8 million tobacco-related deaths by 2060 [3][4]. - Clinical evidence supports that limiting nicotine in combusted tobacco products leads to reduced cigarette consumption, decreased dependence on tobacco, and increased cessation attempts [3][4]. Industry Support - Over 75 health care organizations, including the American Medical Association and the American College of Cardiology, endorse the proposed rule, citing the urgent need for such a standard [4]. - Some organizations argue that the rule should extend to limit nicotine in Heated Tobacco Products (HTPs) as well [4]. Opposition - Major legacy tobacco producers oppose the proposed standard, citing concerns over economic disruption and potential illicit trade [5]. - The company argues that the opposition from these producers contradicts their stated goals of transitioning smokers to less harmful products [5].

Core Viewpoint - 22nd Century Group, Inc. is leading the tobacco harm reduction movement with its VLN products, which are designed to significantly reduce nicotine consumption and help smokers manage their addiction [1][14]. Group 1: Product Development and Market Adoption - The company has successfully launched VLN cigarettes, which contain 95% less nicotine than traditional cigarettes, and have been proven to reduce nicotine consumption [14][15]. - Early adoption of VLN products has been seen with partner brands Smoker Friendly and Pinnacle, with initial stocking orders shipped in August 2025 [2][7]. - The company is expanding its product offerings to include 100mm cigarettes and international versions tailored to consumer preferences [9]. Group 2: Regulatory Landscape - The FDA has proposed a new Tobacco Product Standard for Nicotine Yield, setting a maximum nicotine content of 0.7mg/g, which is supported by clinical documentation and real-world testing of VLN products [4][5]. - The proposed regulation has garnered strong support from public health advocates, emphasizing the importance of reducing nicotine levels in tobacco products [6]. Group 3: Research and Development - Ongoing research is investigating the link between non-GMO low nicotine tobacco genetics and lower levels of harmful Tobacco-Specific Nitrosamines (TSNAs), which are potent carcinogens [11]. - The company is committed to expanding its intellectual property portfolio in low nicotine genetics, enhancing its leadership in tobacco harm reduction [12]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company aims to continue its mission of providing low nicotine technology and products that can improve public health and potentially save lives [13].

Core Insights - 22nd Century Group, Inc. is leading the fight against smoking-related health harms through its VLN reduced nicotine content products, which are the first and only combustible cigarettes authorized by the FDA to reduce health risks associated with smoking [1][2][4] Product Overview - VLN cigarettes contain 95% less nicotine than conventional cigarettes, supported by decades of independent clinical research demonstrating their effectiveness in reducing nicotine consumption, smoking rates, and increasing quit attempts [2][4] - The VLN product line is designed to provide smokers with non-addictive alternatives, allowing them to control their nicotine intake and potentially reduce tobacco use [2][4] Regulatory Status - The VLN product was originally authorized in December 2021, with a renewal process due in December 2026, and the company expects full FDA support for this renewal based on its compliance with the FDA's low nicotine mandate issued in January 2025 [2][4] Research and Development - The company is committed to ongoing R&D programs aimed at advancing reduced nicotine content in tobacco and introducing additional VLN-based products to offer more health-oriented alternatives to traditional tobacco products [2][4] Company Mission - 22nd Century Group aims to empower smokers to make informed choices regarding their nicotine consumption, promoting a healthier lifestyle by providing options that help avoid addictive levels of nicotine altogether [4][5]

Summary of Philip Morris International (PM) 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Philip Morris International (PM) - **Date**: June 03, 2025 - **Key Speaker**: Emmanuel Babeau, CFO Core Industry Insights - **Industry**: Tobacco and Smoke-Free Products - **Market Trends**: Strong growth in smoke-free product categories, particularly IQOS and ZYN, with expectations for continued expansion in various global markets. Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - PM is on track for strong growth in revenue, operating income, and adjusted EPS before foreign exchange (Forex) impacts, primarily driven by the smoke-free portfolio [5][18] - In Q1 2025, PM reported nearly 10% adjusted market sales growth in Japan and over 7% in Europe, despite challenges such as flavor bans [6] - The company anticipates a significant impact from the flavor ban in Europe, estimating a loss of approximately 1 billion sticks in 2025 [6] Product Performance - **IQOS**: Continued strong growth, with a focus on expanding market share in various regions, including the Gulf countries, Indonesia, and Mexico [6][10] - **ZYN**: Exceptional performance in Q1 2025, with growth exceeding 50% in the US. The company expects to resolve out-of-stock issues by Q3 2025, leading to further consumer uptake [7][8][49] - **Vive**: The vaping product is being developed more tactically, with a focus on profitability and market presence in key EU markets [12][13] Multi-Category Strategy - PM is adopting a multi-category approach, integrating IQOS, ZYN, and Vive to enhance brand loyalty and consumer experience. This strategy is showing positive results in markets like Poland, Greece, and Romania [14][26] - The company emphasizes that these products do not cannibalize each other but rather strengthen the overall brand portfolio [14] Market Outlook - PM targets organic revenue growth of 6% to 8% and adjusted EPS growth of 10.5% to 12.5% for 2025, with a strong focus on smoke-free products [18][19] - The company aims for two-thirds of its revenue to come from smoke-free products by 2030, supported by ongoing market expansion and product innovation [20][22] Regulatory Environment - PM acknowledges the challenges posed by varying regulations across markets, with some countries still imposing bans on smoke-free products. However, there is optimism regarding tobacco harm reduction policies in the US and several European countries [66][68] - The new head of the FDA's Center for Tobacco Products (CTP) is expected to support tobacco harm reduction initiatives, which could positively impact PM's market strategies [70] Competitive Landscape - The US market for nicotine pouches is becoming increasingly competitive, with many brands aggressively discounting prices. PM maintains a premium positioning for ZYN, which is currently priced higher than many competitors [51][52] - Despite competition, PM remains the only brand with Premarket Tobacco Product Applications (PMTAs) approved for its full range of ZYN products, reinforcing its market leadership [54][55] Consumer Insights - The company notes a shift in consumer perception of nicotine, particularly with ZYN being viewed as a lifestyle product rather than just a nicotine source. This change is expected to facilitate broader acceptance of nicotine pouches in new markets [32][33][57] Additional Important Insights - PM's smoke-free products are associated with superior financial metrics, including higher revenue per unit and gross margin rates compared to combustible products [15][16] - The company is focused on long-term profit growth, with a commitment to progressive dividend policies and potential share buybacks once debt targets are met [63][64] This summary encapsulates the key insights and strategic directions discussed during the conference call, highlighting PM's robust growth trajectory and commitment to innovation in the tobacco industry.

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net revenue for Q1 2025 was $6 million, a 50% increase sequentially from $4 million in Q4 2024 [28] - Gross margin loss improved by 50% to a loss of $600,000 from the previous quarter [28] - Net loss from continuing operations improved to $3.3 million from $4.2 million in the preceding quarter [31] - Adjusted EBITDA loss significantly improved to $2.3 million from $3.9 million in Q4 2024 [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total cartons sold were 476,000, an increase of 41% compared to 338,000 in Q4 2024 [29] - The company is focusing on two main segments: reduced nicotine premium products and value-focused CMO brands [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The combustible cigarette market is valued at $85 billion, facing increasing price pressures and regulatory scrutiny [6] - The company aims to serve consumers transitioning from high nicotine products to lower nicotine options, capitalizing on market dynamics [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is transitioning into a growth phase, focusing on expanding distribution and launching targeted marketing campaigns [12][20] - New product introductions include Smoker Friendly Black Label and additional SKUs for existing brands, aimed at increasing market share [14][15] - The company is not waiting for FDA regulations to finalize its strategy and has developed technology for low nicotine products already approved by the FDA [22][23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about achieving breakeven EBITDA by Q4 2025, supported by improved pricing structures and volume growth [34][36] - The company is focused on restoring fiscal responsibility and improving balance sheet ratios through debt reduction and working capital improvements [27] Other Important Information - The company has reduced its outstanding debt to $3.9 million and executed a capital raise of approximately $5.4 million [31][32] - A lawsuit against Dorchester Insurance Company for $9 million in business interruption insurance is ongoing, with a trial date set for November 2025 [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Do you still foresee a breakeven of EBITDA for the fourth quarter of this year? - Management confirmed they are on track to achieve breakeven in the latter half of the year [34] Question: Will CMO continue to grow from its first quarter level and will VLN kick in over the course of the year? - Management indicated that both Smoker Friendly and Pinnacle franchises are on a growth path, with state approvals expected to drive distribution [36] Question: Does the increase in accounts receivable indicate a need for additional financial capital? - Management stated they are comfortable with their cash runway following recent financing and attributed the increase in receivables to new customer agreements [38][39] Question: What is the expected timeline for collecting the accounts receivable balance? - Management noted that collections occur upon product delivery, following typical shipment terms [40] Question: What has been the share issuance dilution from the warrants? - Current shares outstanding include approximately 7 million shares issued under the recent warrant inducement offering, with additional warrants expected to be exercised [42] Question: Are there any implications for twenty second Century Group from competitors' earnings results? - Management highlighted that trends in the market, particularly the migration from Tier one to Tier four brands, present opportunities for the company [46][48] Question: Have we seen the worst of it in 2024 past, and are we now on a growth trajectory? - Management confirmed that they are now on a growth trajectory in terms of cartons, price, and revenue [49]