投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 l数据日报 国贸期货研究院 农产品研究中心 黄向岚 投资咨询号: Z0021658 从业资格号:F03110419 2026/2/5 | 指标 | | 2月4日 | 涨跌 | | 豆粕主力合约基差 (张家港) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 大连 | 457 | -16 | 2500 | ==== 16/17 ===== 21/22 | ====== 17/18 == | == == | ==== 19/20 - 24/25 | == 25/26 | | 43%豆粕现货基差 | | | | 2000 1000 | | | | | | | | 天津 | 457 | | 1.900 | | | | | | | | 日照 | 337 | -16 | | | | | | | | (对主力合约) | 张家港 | 377 | | -500 | 05/21 06/21 07/22 08/22 09/22 10/23 11/23 12/24 01 ...

Europe is forecast for unseasonably warm weather through much of December, curbing heating demand and weighing on natural gas prices https://t.co/5in6Nn2K0G ...

Thanksgiving week is forecast to be colder and snowier than usual across large swaths of the U.S., according to the National Weather Service (NWS), while AAA is projecting record road traffic over the holiday period.Read the full story: https://t.co/qtbX9hKI8f https://t.co/Ihk0pQgLah ...

Weather Forecast - The Los Angeles area is expected to see as much as 1 inch (25.4 millimeters) of rain per hour in some areas [1] - Rain is forecast to taper off and end on Tuesday [1]

Weather Update - Tropical Storm Imelda has formed over the Bahamas [1] - The storm is expected to strengthen off the US Southeast coast [1] - There's a significant change in Imelda's forecasted path [1]

Weather Conditions and Warnings - Red flags are flying along the Maryland Eastern Shore through Delaware, the Jersey Shore, and Long Island, indicating hazardous conditions [1] - Coastal flood warnings are in effect for much of the Jersey Shore and the south shore of Long Island, with the possibility of 1 to 3 feet of inundation in normally dry areas [3][4] - Wave conditions are expected to persist through the night and into the next day, making it unsafe to enter the water [3] Impacted Locations and Restrictions - Swimming will be restricted in areas from Atlantic City down through Cape May and Wildwood, as well as Jones Beach, Robert Moses, and Montauk [6] - Popular vacation destinations along the Jersey coast are expected to be impacted [5] Water Temperatures and Hurricane Activity - Beach water temperatures have been in the middle to upper 70s (degrees Fahrenheit) over the past week, with the Jersey Shore currently at 75 degrees (degrees Fahrenheit) [8] - A hurricane thrives on 85 to 90 degree (degrees Fahrenheit) water [7] - There is a 70% chance of a storm developing into Fernand near the northern Leeward Islands, and two other potential storms are developing in the Atlantic [8][9] - The current hurricane season is expected to be busier than normal [9]

Hurricane Aaron Overview - Hurricane Aaron upgraded from tropical storm with winds at 75 miles/hour (approximately 120 km/hour) [1] - Expected to pass near Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands as a potential Category 3 hurricane [2] - Hurricane could intensify rapidly, potentially reaching Category 4 with 140 miles/hour (approximately 225 km/hour) winds [5][6] Potential US Impacts - Rip current warnings issued along the US East Coast [2] - Direct wind and rain impacts on the US mainland unlikely, based on current forecasts [8] - Indirect consequences include rip currents, waves, and beach erosion, especially midweek for the Mid-Atlantic and early next week for the Southeast [9] Forecast Uncertainty - Cone of uncertainty indicates potential for varied paths, initially considered a "fish storm" [7] - Computer models generally agree on keeping the storm well off the US coast by at least 500-600 miles (approximately 800-965 kilometers) [8]

Weather Forecast - China's weather agency forecasts heavy rain in parts of the country over the next three days [1] Affected Regions - Regions include Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, eastern Fujian, and Shanghai [1]

Weather Forecasting Concerns - Federal funding cuts to national climate organizations are expected to impact weather forecasting nationwide [1] - Reduced or suspended weather balloon launches at key sites are impacting severe weather forecasting [1] - The National Weather Service has experienced a reduction of almost 600 workers due to layoffs and buyouts [1] - Concerns exist that understaffed weather forecast offices could lead to needless loss of life [1] - A new bill in Congress aims to protect weather service workers from future federal budget cuts and classify them as critical to public safety [3] Agency Response - The National Weather Service states it is hiring over 100 people to stabilize operations across the country [2] - The Trump administration claims the agency will have enough resources despite criticism [2] - The agency asserts it is fully staffed with forecasters and scientists and will not compromise public safety or forecasting [3] Extreme Weather Events - Hurricane Milton rapidly intensified from a weak tropical storm to a Category 5 hurricane in just 24 hours [4] - Erratic weather patterns from climate change are posing a threat to the forecasting industry [5]