Group 1 - Walmart and Target are negotiating with suppliers regarding price hikes due to tariffs, which will influence product pricing and inventory decisions [1][2] - Retailers express concerns that raising prices could lead to loss of market share and customers, complicating negotiations with suppliers facing increased costs from tariffs [2][3] - Nordic Ware, a cookware manufacturer, reports a 10% to 15% increase in costs due to aluminum tariffs, complicating their pricing strategy for the holiday season [3] Group 2 - Walmart emphasizes collaboration with suppliers to navigate pricing challenges during uncertain times [4] - Target indicates it is too early to assess specific price changes but is taking a comprehensive approach to pricing analysis [5] - Research indicates that 60% of middle-market CFOs believe tariffs will exacerbate economic uncertainty and planning difficulties [6] Group 3 - Nearly 70% of CFOs anticipate supply shortages or delays, with many expecting increased raw material costs and complications from retaliatory tariffs [7] - Most smaller businesses foresee negative impacts from tariffs, such as product shortages and declining product quality [7]

Group 1 - Nvidia reported a record revenue of $130.5 billion for Fiscal 2025, representing a 114% year-over-year increase [2] - Analysts have frequently suggested buying Nvidia during dips, citing its strong financials and growth potential [4][5] - Despite positive analyst sentiment, macroeconomic factors such as tariffs, geopolitical stress, and rising costs pose risks to Nvidia's performance [3] Group 2 - The stock has shown bearish divergence, with the 200-day moving average (DMA) above the 50-DMA, indicating underperformance compared to benchmarks [8] - There is no clear reversal pattern observed, and potential support levels around $90 could lead to significant losses for investors who bought at higher prices [9] - The narrative surrounding Nvidia's long-term potential may not alleviate short-term price pressures, emphasizing that price movements dictate market sentiment [10]

Core Insights - Walmart is requesting Chinese suppliers to reduce prices by up to 10% due to tariff-related pressures, but few suppliers are willing to comply [1] - Suppliers are already operating on thin margins, and further price cuts could lead to losses, prompting some to consider sourcing from Vietnam [2] - Both Walmart and Amazon expressed caution in their first-quarter earnings due to concerns about the impact of tariffs on consumer spending [3] Industry Concerns - Retailers are nervous about policy uncertainties, particularly tariffs, which could affect costs and consumer spending [4] - A significant majority of consumers (78%) expect tariffs to increase prices, and 75% are concerned about product shortages [4] - CFOs in the retail sector are worried that higher supply costs and potential shortages will negatively impact their financial performance, with 80% expressing concern [5]

Core Viewpoint - Campbell's Co. is refraining from providing specific earnings or revenue forecasts that account for the impact of tariffs, joining other major consumer-facing companies in this trend [1] Group 1: Company Impact - Wall Street investors are reacting negatively to the uncertainty surrounding Campbell's and other retailers, leading to a decline in their share prices [1]

Core Insights - Best Buy and Target are facing challenges due to new tariffs impacting their sourcing from China and Mexico, which could affect their margins [1][2] Best Buy - Best Buy is significantly affected by tariff uncertainty, sourcing 60% of its goods from China and 20% from Mexico, despite reporting its first positive comparable sales since Q3 2021 [2] - Analyst Christopher Horvers has reduced Best Buy's stock price target from $115 to $110, while still believing in its long-term potential due to self-help measures like advertising growth and a new marketplace [3] - Year-to-date, Best Buy's stock has declined by 12.7%, trading below key moving averages, indicating further downside risk [6] Target - Target has reduced its reliance on China from 60% in 2017 to 30% currently, with plans to decrease it to 25% next year, aiming to mitigate tariff impacts [4] - Target is exploring alternative profit streams, such as its Roundel advertising business and marketplace expansion, to cushion the effects of tariffs, but the near-term outlook remains cautious with a price target reduction from $146 to $140 [5] - Year-to-date, Target's stock has declined by 14.6%, also trading below key moving averages, suggesting potential further downside [6]

Market Performance - Market indexes are struggling despite positive Q4 earnings, with the Dow down -193 points (-0.45%), S&P 500 down -94 points (-1.59%), Nasdaq down -530 points (-2.78%), and Russell 2000 down -34 points (-1.59%) [2] - Over the last five trading days, all major indexes have declined, with the Nasdaq experiencing the largest drop at -6.8% [2] Housing Market - January Pending Home Sales decreased by -4.6%, significantly worse than the expected -1.0%, although it shows slight improvement from December's -5.5% [3] - High mortgage rates continue to hinder the housing market, alongside cold winter weather [3] Q4 Earnings Highlights - AutoDesk (ADSK) reported Q4 earnings of $2.29 per share, exceeding expectations of $2.13 and last year's $2.09, with revenues of $1.64 billion surpassing the $1.63 billion consensus [4] - SoundHound (SOUN) reduced its loss per share to -$0.05 from an estimated -$0.11, with revenues of $34.54 million reflecting +101% year-over-year growth [5] - Rocket Mortgage (RKT) beat earnings estimates by a penny at 4 cents per share, with revenues of $1.2 billion exceeding the $1.16 billion forecast [6] - Duolingo (DUOL) reported a +51% year-over-year increase in Daily Active Users (DAU) to 40.5 million, with revenues surpassing expectations, although shares fell -4% in late trading [7]