In Episode 3 of The Sixth Bureau, a series from The Big Take, we follow a Chinese spy to the Paris Air Show, and watch how, despite his meddling bosses, he develops a source. https://t.co/pejf6fThLw ...

Core Viewpoint - BofAmerica Securities analyst Andrew Obin maintains a Buy rating on Honeywell International and raises the price target from $250 to $275, anticipating a strong second-quarter 2025 earnings report that could drive the stock higher [1] Group 1: Earnings Expectations - Honeywell is expected to report second-quarter earnings of $2.65 per share, reflecting a 1.7% organic growth and a slight margin contraction of 10 basis points year-over-year due to CAES integration in Aerospace [5] - For the third quarter, earnings are estimated at $2.50 per share, slightly below the consensus of $2.53, but management is not expected to guide in a way that lowers consensus [6] Group 2: Market Position and Valuation - Honeywell shares are trading at a discount of approximately 12% on an EV/EBITDA basis compared to peers, indicating potential for further re-rating [1] - The company has a record backlog of $35.8 billion at the start of 2025, up 11% year-over-year, which increased to $36.1 billion in the first quarter, suggesting strong revenue visibility [9] Group 3: Management Insights and Strategic Moves - Recent management discussions and macro indicators suggest resilience in key end markets, countering the anticipated short-cycle collapse [2][3] - Honeywell has implemented price increases tied to inflation, which could support margins in upcoming quarters [4] - The company has made several acquisitions while divesting its Safety/PP&E business, which is expected to add structural growth to Honeywell's total and Automation segments [8] Group 4: Future Outlook - The combination of conservative guidance, stronger pricing, improving volumes, and strategic M&A positions Honeywell for positive estimate revisions and multiple expansion in the latter half of 2025 [10] - The upcoming second-quarter earnings report is viewed as a key moment for Honeywell to reaffirm its position among industrial leaders [10]

Group 1 - Airbus shares rose by up to 3.1% following the Paris Air Show, where the company announced $21 billion in orders [1][3] - Boeing scaled down its participation at the air show and did not announce new orders due to a recent crash involving a Boeing 787 Dreamliner [2] - Airbus announced $14.2 billion in firm orders and an additional $6.7 billion under memoranda of understanding (MoUs) [3] Group 2 - Among the firm orders, LOT Polish Airlines made its first-ever order for 40 A220 aircraft, while All Nippon Airways ordered 27 A321 airplanes [4] - Riyadh Air ordered 25 A350 wide-body aircraft, marking it as the first Saudi airline to operate the A350 [4] - VietJet signed an MoU for 100 Airbus A321neo aircraft, indicating strong demand for Airbus products [4] Group 3 - The strength in A350 and A321 orders reflects a positive trend for Airbus, especially as it competes with Boeing [6] - The 40 A220 orders signify a recovery for a model that had seen limited deals in the past year [6] - Overall, the air show was a success for Airbus, positively impacting its stock price [6]

Industry Impact of Events - The Air India crash is expected to cast a long shadow over the Paris Air Show, potentially pausing significant announcements [2][3] - Ongoing conflict in the Middle East may lead to some Middle Eastern carriers pulling out of planned deal announcements [3] Boeing's Situation - Boeing's CEO will not attend the Paris Air Show, focusing on the Air India crash investigation [4] - The industry is facing challenges in sorting out its supply chain and meeting aircraft demand since COVID [6] Economic Factors - Tariffs, specifically the 10% tariffs on aircraft entering the United States, pose a significant headwind for Airbus [7] - A significant decline in the value of the dollar could significantly expose Airbus, with a potential impact of 350 euros on the share price for every cent of currency fluctuation [8] - GE may be considering raising prices [7]

Core Points - Boeing's CEO Kelly Ortberg's first Paris Air Show was expected to be positive, highlighting the company's recovery from past manufacturing and safety issues [2] - Under Ortberg's leadership, Boeing has increased production of the 737 Max jets and improved cash-generating deliveries, with shares rising over 13% this year, outperforming the S&P 500 [2] - Following a tragic crash of a Boeing 787-8 Dreamliner operated by Air India, which resulted in the loss of 241 lives, Ortberg canceled his attendance at the air show to focus on the investigation and support his team [3][5][6] Company Developments - The Paris Air Show is a significant event for the aerospace industry, featuring major companies like Boeing and Airbus showcasing their latest aircraft and signing deals [4] - The crash of Air India Flight 171, which occurred shortly after takeoff, raises concerns about the safety of Boeing's Dreamliner model, with investigations expected to take weeks or months to determine the cause [6][7]

Group 1 - Boeing's gross orders for new airplanes reached 303 in May 2025, the highest since December 2023, indicating a competitive edge over Airbus and efforts to stabilize production [1] - The company delivered 45 aircraft in May 2025, consistent with the previous month and significantly higher than the 24 delivered in May 2024 [1] - Year-to-date through May 2025, Boeing has delivered 220 airplanes, while Airbus has delivered 243, highlighting the importance of deliveries for cash generation [2] Group 2 - Boeing has netted orders for 512 planes in 2025, significantly outpacing Airbus's 215 orders, showcasing strong demand for its aircraft [3] - The upcoming Paris Air Show is expected to provide opportunities for Boeing to secure additional orders and showcase new technology [3]