空中 客车首席执行官表示，市场对被称为A220-500的加长版A220有需求。 ...

Airbus Q4 2025 Pre-Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Airbus (OTCPK:EADS.F) - **Call Date**: January 27, 2026 - **New Head of Investor Relations**: Jean-Christophe Henoux, appointed December 1, 2025 Key Points Financial Performance - **Aircraft Deliveries**: Delivered 286 aircraft in Q4 2025, an increase of 17 aircraft compared to 269 in Q4 2024, including: - +1 A220 - +9 A320 - +3 A350 - +4 A330 [3] - **Fixed Costs**: Anticipated mechanical under assumption of fixed costs due to shortfall against initially planned delivery volume [3]. - **Foreign Exchange Impact**: Stable average blended rate at 1.21 for Q4 2025, expected to have a neutral financial impact compared to Q4 2024 [3]. - **Recruitment**: Continued hiring in 2025, but at a slower pace than in 2024 [3]. Cost and Inflation - **Inflation Impact**: Expected low triple-digit negative impact in 2025, slightly less than EUR 200 million negative impact recorded in 2024 [4]. - **R&D Expenses**: Anticipated to be slightly lower than in 2024 [4]. - **Tariffs**: Financial impact for 2025 expected to be between EUR 100 million and EUR 200 million, with most recorded in Q4 [4]. Division Performance - **Airbus Helicopters**: Similar volume of helicopters delivered in Q4 2025 compared to Q4 2024, with solid performance expected in services [5]. - **Airbus Defence and Space**: A charge of EUR 0.3 billion recorded in Q4 2024 for contract updates; only two-thirds of this charge is expected to normalize [5]. - **Free Cash Flow**: Expected to reflect higher volume of commercial aircraft deliveries, despite updates to delivery targets impacting inventory levels [6]. Market Outlook - **Order Momentum**: Strong momentum observed in all divisions for both civil and military markets in Q4 2025 [6]. Communication and Guidance - **Quiet Period**: Quiet period begins January 29, 2026, with full year 2025 earnings release scheduled for February 19, 2026, at 7:30 A.M. CET [2][7].

Core Insights - The new CEO of Airbus' jet-making division has committed to increasing production, particularly of the A350 wide-body jet, and supports the idea of a larger version of the regional A220 [1] Group 1 - The focus on increasing production indicates a strategic shift towards meeting growing demand in the aviation market [1] - The emphasis on the A350 suggests that Airbus is prioritizing its wide-body segment, which may enhance its competitive position against rivals [1] - Supporting a larger version of the A220 reflects Airbus' intention to expand its regional aircraft offerings, potentially capturing a broader market share [1]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of timely and professional information interpretation in investment, focusing on extracting investment value from significant events and analyzing industry chain companies [1] - It highlights the collaboration between major aircraft manufacturers like COMAC's C919 and C909, Airbus A220, and Tesla, indicating a supply relationship where Tesla provides components to companies like XPeng Huitian [1] - The article discusses advancements in NPU (Neural Processing Unit) and space computing, noting that a company is supporting autonomous satellite computing for deep space exploration, which has passed acceptance tests for a major project by the Ministry of Science and Technology [1]

Core Insights - Boeing Company reported a significant increase in aircraft deliveries for Q4 2025 and the full year, indicating strong performance in both commercial and defense sectors [1][2][4] Commercial Deliveries - In Q4 2025, Boeing delivered 160 commercial airplanes, a substantial rise from 57 aircraft delivered in the same quarter of the previous year [1] - For the entire year, Boeing delivered 600 commercial jets, up from 348 in 2024, with the majority of Q4 deliveries coming from the 737 program (117 aircraft) [2][9] Defense Deliveries - Boeing's Defense, Space and Security segment delivered 37 aircraft in Q4 2025, slightly higher than 36 units in the same period last year [3] - Total defense deliveries for the year reached 131 aircraft, an increase from 112 units delivered in the prior year, showcasing the segment's contribution to Boeing's diversified aerospace portfolio [4][9] Operational Efficiency - The increase in deliveries is expected to enhance Boeing's ability to convert production into revenues and improve overall cash flow, reflecting better operational control and customer confidence [5] Industry Comparison - In comparison, Airbus delivered 793 commercial aircraft in 2025, surpassing Boeing's 600 deliveries, indicating a competitive landscape in the aerospace industry [6] - Embraer delivered 148 aircraft in the first nine months of 2025, showing steady demand in its market segment, although on a smaller scale than Boeing and Airbus [7] Stock Performance - Boeing's shares have increased by 47.2% over the past year, outperforming the industry's growth of 35.4% [8] - The company's shares are currently trading at a relative discount, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 1.96X compared to the industry's average of 2.76X [10]

Core Insights - Airbus SE has completed the acquisition of industrial assets from Spirit AeroSystems, enhancing its control over essential components for its commercial aircraft programs [1][3][10] - The company received $439 million in compensation as part of the transaction, which includes adjustments and liability settlements [2] - The acquisition aims to improve supply-chain resilience, production efficiency, and quality control, positioning Airbus to meet rising global aircraft demand [3][4][10] Company Overview - The acquisition includes former Spirit AeroSystems sites in Kinston, NC; Saint-Nazaire, France; and Casablanca, Morocco, which are dedicated to A350, A220, and A321 components [1][10] - Airbus projects a demand for 43,420 new aircraft deliveries over the next 20 years, driven by rising air passenger traffic and the need for modern, fuel-efficient aircraft [5][6] Industry Context - Other aerospace companies, such as Boeing and TransDigm Group, are also engaging in acquisitions to strengthen their aircraft programs, indicating a trend in the industry [7][9] - Boeing's acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems covers operations related to its commercial programs, while TransDigm's acquisition aligns with its strategy of acquiring proprietary aerospace components [7][9] Financial Performance - Airbus shares have increased by 20.6% over the past six months, outperforming the industry growth of 6.7% [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Airbus indicates strong long-term revenue growth potential, supported by the projected demand for new aircraft [6]

Core Insights - Airbus has lowered its A220 production target from 14 to 12 jets per month, which is seen as the break-even rate for the aircraft [1][4] - The company reported a nearly 40% increase in core operating profit for Q3, reaching €1.94 billion [1] - The CEO emphasized the challenges in ramping up production and integrating work packages from Spirit AeroSystems, which is expected to close by the end of the year [2][3] Production and Delivery Challenges - Airbus aims to deliver around 820 planes this year, having delivered 507 so far, indicating a need to deliver 300 planes in the last quarter [6][7] - The company is experiencing a backlog, particularly with fully assembled planes that lack engines, although the number of such planes has decreased to 32 [7] - The production ramp-up for the A220 is considered a significant challenge, with the target of 12 jets per month viewed as a success if achieved [3] Geopolitical and Tariff Impacts - The company is navigating complex geopolitical dynamics, particularly between the US and China, which affects its operations [8][10] - Recent agreements have alleviated some tariff pressures between the US and EU, which is beneficial for Airbus [9][11] - The company is monitoring the impact of China's restrictions on rare earth exports but currently does not foresee significant disruptions [13][15] Joint Venture Announcement - Airbus announced a joint satellite venture with Talis and Leonardo, targeting annual revenues of approximately €6.5 billion [18] - The new joint venture will be based in Toulouse and employ 25,000 people, with Airbus holding the largest stake [18][19] - This initiative is seen as a strategic move to consolidate the fragmented defense and space industry in Europe, with operational goals set for 2027 [19]

Core Viewpoint - Airbus has lowered its production target for the A220 jetliner to 12 jets per month by 2026, down from a previous target of 14 jets, due to supply concerns and airlines awaiting upgraded engines [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - Airbus reported a 38% increase in adjusted operating profit to €1.94 billion ($2.26 billion) in Q3, with revenues rising 14% to €17.83 billion, surpassing analyst expectations [5]. - The company reaffirmed its financial forecasts, which now account for the impact of tariffs [5]. Production and Delivery Targets - Airbus aims to maintain a production rate of 75 A320neos per month by 2027, despite industry estimates suggesting around 60 [6]. - The company has set a target of approximately 820 commercial jet deliveries for 2025, following improvements in engine supply concerns [6]. - Deliveries for 2025 are expected to be "very backloaded," with ongoing delays from main suppliers for the A320neo family [7].

Core Insights - Airbus reported higher than expected third-quarter profits and revenues, driven by commercial jetliner deliveries and gains in helicopters and defense [1] Financial Performance - The company experienced significant growth in profits and revenues compared to previous quarters, indicating strong operational performance [1] Business Segments - The increase in revenues was primarily led by the delivery of commercial jetliners, alongside improvements in the helicopter and defense sectors [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported GAAP net income of $1.2 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $6.98 for Q3 2025, driven by strong gains on sale and insurance recoveries [5][17] - Adjusted net income was $865 million, with a record adjusted EPS of $4.97, leading to an increase in full-year EPS guidance to $13.70 [5][21] - The company generated significant excess capital, resulting in a leverage ratio of 2.1 to 1 and a strong liquidity position with total sources of liquidity at approximately $22 billion [20][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The aircraft leasing segment saw utilization rates exceeding 99%, with a healthy extension rate of approximately 85% for used aircraft transactions [5][6] - The company sold 32 owned assets for total sales revenue of $1.5 billion, resulting in a gain on sale of $332 million and an unlevered gain on sale margin of 28% [17][18] - The engine business continues to deepen relationships with OEMs and airlines, highlighted by a seven-year agreement with GE Aerospace for lease pool management services [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The demand for widebody aircraft remains high, with a 100% extension rate for widebody transactions, indicating robust market conditions [6][8] - The company is taking back 27 aircraft from Spirit Airlines, which will incur downtime and engine shop visit costs, impacting fourth-quarter guidance [8][19] - The overall market environment for aircraft leasing and sales continues to be strong, with expectations for over $3 billion in sales for the full year [18][22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes disciplined capital deployment, focusing on accretive opportunities and maintaining a strong balance sheet [12][68] - AerCap is actively participating in M&A discussions and is open to consolidation in the industry, viewing it as a positive for shareholders [33][34] - The company has negotiated over 200 aircraft acquisitions since 2021, indicating a proactive approach to fleet management and market positioning [54][68] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains confident about the business outlook, citing strong demand for both new and used aircraft driven by the need to retire older models [25][26] - The company expects continued strong performance in the aircraft leasing market, with a favorable supply-demand imbalance projected to last through the end of the decade [36][39] - Management acknowledged potential challenges from geopolitical factors but believes long-term fleet planning by airlines will mitigate short-term impacts [76] Other Important Information - The company has committed approximately $10 billion to engines through its two engine divisions since closing the GECAS transaction [10] - The company returned $981 million to shareholders through share repurchases in Q3, marking a quarterly record for open market purchases [14][20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on U.S. industry consolidation - Management sees limited room for further consolidation in the U.S. market but acknowledges strong demand for new technology aircraft as older models are retired [25][26] Question: Margin progression and yield improvement - Management indicated that net spread increased to 8%, the highest since 2019, with expectations for continued positive impacts from new deliveries [27][28] Question: Comments on Air Lease proxy and strategic bidding - Management supports industry consolidation and emphasizes discipline in M&A discussions to avoid diluting shareholder value [32][34] Question: Outlook for A220 market - Management noted challenges with the A220's engine durability but remains optimistic about its future if improvements are made [61][62] Question: Capital allocation and sale-leaseback opportunities - Management highlighted the importance of pursuing accretive transactions and maintaining a focus on shareholder returns [68][69]