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3 Retailers Poised to Outmaneuver Tariff and Recession Concerns
MarketBeat· 2025-07-20 12:25
Core Viewpoint - The current tariff program under the Trump administration creates uncertainty for investors, particularly as inflation rises and a potential recession looms, impacting companies reliant on consumer spending [1]. Retail Industry Overview - The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) has partially recovered from the initial tariff shock but remains down over 1% year-to-date [2]. - Some retailers are struggling, while others may thrive due to unique business models [3]. Company-Specific Insights TJX Companies - TJX Companies, known for discount retailers like T.J. Maxx, has a 12-month stock price forecast of $141.06, indicating a 15.45% upside potential [4]. - The company has outperformed the XRT slightly and maintains brick-and-mortar strength through a unique model focusing on discounted finds [4][5]. - TJX reported over 5% year-over-year revenue growth and offers a dividend yield of 1.41%, with management recently increasing the dividend payout [5]. - Analysts are bullish on TJX, with 19 out of 20 rating it as a Buy, predicting a stock rise of over 17% [6]. Global-e Online - Global-e Online has a 12-month stock price forecast of $48.08, suggesting a 43.73% upside potential [7]. - The company facilitates international retail transactions for high-end brands and has seen a quarterly revenue growth of 30% year-over-year [9]. - Analysts are optimistic, with 12 out of 13 rating Global-e shares as a Buy, indicating a consensus price target of $48 per share [10]. Boot Barn - Boot Barn has a 12-month stock price forecast of $173.67, indicating a 1.68% upside potential [11]. - The company reported a 5% year-over-year same-store sales growth and plans to increase its store count by 14% [11]. - Despite tariff uncertainties, Boot Barn projects a 13% growth in total net sales and has seen its stock rise nearly 9% year-to-date [12]. - Analysts remain positive, with a consensus price target close to $174, suggesting over 5% upside potential [13].
Walking Comfort Accelerates Ecommerce Growth with Descartes Sellercloud™
Globenewswire· 2025-06-24 10:45
Core Insights - Descartes Systems Group announced that Walking Comfort is utilizing Descartes Sellercloud™ to enhance ecommerce growth by centralizing and synchronizing product listings, inventory, orders, and fulfillment across various online sales channels [1][2] Company Overview - Walking Comfort is a Utah-based retailer specializing in footwear, including running shoes, slippers, sandals, and accessories like insoles. The company was founded in 2008 and operates two brick-and-mortar locations with a workforce of 35 employees [4] Product and Service Details - Descartes Sellercloud is a cloud-based ecommerce platform designed for small and mid-market retailers, distributors, wholesalers, and manufacturers. It centralizes the management of catalog, inventory, orders, purchasing, fulfillment, and shipping, featuring over 350 integrations with various marketplaces and logistics partners [2][3] - The platform has enabled Walking Comfort to save hundreds of hours weekly by automating data consolidation across sales channels, reducing shipping costs by over 55%, and allowing for dropshipping directly from retail locations when convenient [2] Operational Benefits - The use of Descartes Sellercloud has allowed Walking Comfort to reduce operational complexity by updating inventory and orders in real-time, preventing underselling and overselling, and maintaining compliance with marketplace requirements [3]
INVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Designer Brands Inc. - DBI
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-06-18 16:48
NEW YORK, June 18, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Pomerantz LLP is investigating claims on behalf of investors of  Designer Brands Inc. (“Designer Brands” or the “Company”) (NYSE: DBI). Such investors are advised to contact Danielle Peyton at newaction@pomlaw.com or 646-581-9980, ext. 7980. The investigation concerns whether Designer Brands and certain of its officers and/or directors have engaged in securities fraud or other unlawful business practices.  [Click here for information about joining the class action ...
INVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Designer Brands Inc. - DBI
Prnewswire· 2025-06-17 22:53
NEW YORK, June 17, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Pomerantz LLP is investigating claims on behalf of investors of Designer Brands Inc. ("Designer Brands" or the "Company") (NYSE: DBI). Such investors are advised to contact Danielle Peyton at [email protected] or 646-581-9980, ext. 7980.The investigation concerns whether Designer Brands and certain of its officers and/or directors have engaged in securities fraud or other unlawful business practices. [Click here for information about joining the class action]On June 1 ...
Designer Brands(DBI) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-10 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the first quarter of fiscal 2025, net sales were $687 million, down 8% year-over-year, with comparable sales down 7.8% [28] - Consolidated gross margin decreased by nearly 120 basis points to 43%, primarily due to increased markdowns [30] - Adjusted operating income was essentially breakeven compared to $14.7 million last year, with an adjusted net loss of $12.5 million versus a gain of $4.8 million last year [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. Retail segment sales were down 7.7%, with comparable sales down 7.3%, affected by lower traffic [28][9] - Canadian Retail segment sales declined 2.9%, with comparable sales down 9.2%, reflecting similar consumer sentiment challenges as in the U.S. [10][28] - Brand Portfolio segment sales were down 7.9%, but operating income grew by over 30% due to expense efficiency measures [30][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The first quarter saw a decline in consumer sentiment, with February being the weakest month due to unfavorable weather [6] - DSW gained 10 basis points in athleisure footwear market share during Q1, indicating some market resilience [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on enhancing customer value, optimizing product assortments, and diversifying sourcing strategies to mitigate tariff impacts [20][21] - Plans to reestablish private label brands as margin drivers and invest in growth brands like Topo and Keds are ongoing [20][22] - The company is adapting to a volatile environment by implementing cost-cutting measures expected to save $20 million to $30 million in 2025 [8][31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the current macroeconomic challenges while acknowledging increased uncertainty in consumer behavior [6][25] - The decision to withdraw forward-looking guidance was made due to the unpredictable environment and cautious consumer sentiment [25][34] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with total inventories up 0.5% year-over-year, maintaining flexibility to respond to demand [33] - Total debt outstanding was $522.9 million, with total liquidity at $171.5 million [33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the $20 million to $30 million in savings related to SG&A? - Management explained that the savings are due to a lack of bonus accrual this year and additional cuts implemented, resulting in a projected reduction in SG&A for the full year [36][38] Question: What are the expectations for the Canadian and brand portfolio performance? - Management noted that Canadian consumer sentiment mirrors that of the U.S., with Topo performing exceptionally well, growing 84% in the quarter [39][43] Question: What trends are observed in Q2 and the impact of tariffs? - Management indicated that Q2 trends are similar to Q1, with ongoing concerns about the indirect impact of tariffs on consumer sentiment [47][48] Question: How is the company planning for back-to-school and holiday inventory? - Management expressed cautious optimism for back-to-school, highlighting strong inventory management and a diversified sourcing strategy [58][60]
Designer Brands(DBI) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-10 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the first quarter of fiscal 2025, net sales were $687 million, down 8% year-over-year, with comparable sales down 7.8% [26] - Consolidated gross margin decreased by nearly 120 basis points to 43%, primarily due to increased markdowns [28] - Adjusted operating income was essentially breakeven compared to $14.7 million last year, with an adjusted net loss of $12.5 million versus a gain of $4.8 million last year [30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. Retail segment sales were down 7.7%, with comparable sales down 7.3%, affected by lower traffic [26] - Canadian Retail segment sales declined 2.9%, with comparable sales down 9.2%, reflecting similar consumer sentiment challenges as in the U.S. [27] - Brand Portfolio segment sales were down 7.9%, but operating income grew by over 30% due to expense efficiency measures [28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The first quarter saw a decline in consumer sentiment, with February being the weakest month due to unfavorable weather [5] - DSW gained 10 basis points in athleisure footwear market share during Q1, indicating some market resilience [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on enhancing customer value, optimizing product assortments, and diversifying sourcing strategies to mitigate tariff impacts [11][18] - Plans include scaling private label offerings and investing in strategic brands like Topo and Keds to drive growth [10][20] - The company has withdrawn its forward-looking guidance due to the volatile macro environment and consumer sentiment [23][32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged increased uncertainty in consumer behavior and a softer start to the year, leading to a decline in comparable sales [5][25] - The company is committed to disciplined execution and adapting to the current environment while focusing on long-term value creation [24][32] Other Important Information - The company is implementing expense cuts expected to deliver $20 million to $30 million in savings for fiscal 2025 [6][29] - Inventory levels were up 0.5% year-over-year, with a focus on delivering products ahead of tariff increases [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you speak to the relationship between the $20 million to $30 million in savings and the anticipated increase in SG&A? - Management explained that the absence of a bonus accrual this year provided about $10 million in favorability in expenses for Q1, but a headwind of approximately $10 million is expected in Q3 due to last year's bonus reversal [35][36] Question: Can you elaborate on the performance in Canada and the brand portfolio? - Management noted that Canadian consumer sentiment mirrors that of the U.S., with Topo performing strongly, growing 84% in the quarter, while Keds faced some headwinds [38][40] Question: What are the expectations for Q2 and the impact of tariffs? - Management indicated that trends in Q2 are similar to Q1, with concerns about indirect impacts of tariffs on consumer sentiment [45][46] Question: How is the company planning for back-to-school and holiday inventory? - Management expressed cautious optimism for back-to-school, highlighting strong past performance and effective inventory management [55][57] Question: How is the company navigating tariff mitigation strategies? - Management confirmed ongoing efforts to diversify sourcing outside of China and manage pricing increases in collaboration with brand partners [61][62]
Genesco: Strong Buy Initiation On Journeys' Transformational Sales Surge
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-09 05:59
Core Insights - Moretus Research provides high-quality equity research focused on U.S. public markets, aiming to deliver clarity, conviction, and alpha for serious investors [1] - The research methodology emphasizes a structured, repeatable framework to identify companies with durable business models and mispriced cash flow potential [1] - Valuation practices are based on sector-relevant multiples tailored to each company's business model, emphasizing comparability and simplicity [1] Research Focus - Moretus Research targets underappreciated companies that are undergoing structural changes or temporary dislocations, where disciplined analysis can yield asymmetric returns [1] - The research combines rigorous fundamental analysis with a judgment-driven process, avoiding noise and overly complex forecasting [1] - The firm aims to elevate the standard for independent investment research by providing actionable insights and a strong filter for relevant information in equity analysis [1]
INVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Caleres, Inc. - CAL
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-06-06 16:46
Core Viewpoint - Pomerantz LLP is investigating potential securities fraud and unlawful business practices involving Caleres, Inc. and its officers or directors, following disappointing financial results and a significant stock price drop [1][3]. Financial Performance - Caleres reported first-quarter 2025 sales of $614.2 million, marking a 6.8% decline year-over-year, which was acknowledged by the CFO as below expectations [3]. - The company suspended its guidance for 2025 due to uncertainty in the market environment [3]. - Following the financial report, Caleres's stock price decreased by $3.00 per share, or 18.32%, closing at $13.38 per share on May 29, 2025 [3]. Legal Investigation - Pomerantz LLP is actively investigating claims on behalf of investors regarding potential securities fraud by Caleres [1]. - The firm has a long history in corporate and securities class litigation, having recovered significant damages for victims of securities fraud and corporate misconduct [4].
Genesco(GCO) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-04 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenue of $474 million for the first quarter, an increase of approximately 4% year-over-year, driven by a 5% growth in comparable sales, marking the third consecutive quarter of positive comps [34][35] - Adjusted gross margin for the quarter was 46.7%, a decline of 90 basis points compared to the previous year, primarily due to a shift towards higher price point but lower margin products [35] - Adjusted earnings per share loss improved by $0.05 year-over-year, with an adjusted diluted loss per share of $2.05 for the quarter compared to a loss of $2.10 last year [38][42] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Journeys led the business with comparable sales up 8%, while Schuh saw a 1% increase, and Johnston and Murphy experienced a 2% decline in comps [34][35] - The company noted that all channels posted positive growth, with store comps improving by 5% and direct comps increasing by 7% [34][36] - Schuh's digital capabilities and e-commerce business remained a key channel, with digital sales growth outpacing store sales in Q1 [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The consumer environment was described as choppy, with consumers showing a willingness to shop during specific events like Valentine's Day and Easter, but retreating during quieter periods [5][6] - The UK consumer remains selective, impacting the footwear category and overall purchases [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on diversifying its product offerings and strengthening its leadership in premium athletic footwear, with a significant increase in athletic sales contributing to overall growth [25][26] - The strategic growth plan for Journeys includes enhancing product assortments, improving customer experience through store remodels, and leveraging brand partnerships [24][29] - The company is actively mitigating tariff impacts by diversifying suppliers and sourcing from countries with lower tariffs, aiming to reduce dependence on China [12][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the current trade environment and emphasized the importance of compelling footwear and freshness to motivate consumer purchases [8][9] - The company reaffirmed its full-year EPS guidance range of $1.30 to $1.70, despite acknowledging increased uncertainty in the external consumer environment [42][43] - Management highlighted the importance of the back-to-school and holiday shopping periods for driving sales and expressed optimism about the second half of the fiscal year [30][42] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with 1,256 total stores, having closed 26 stores and opened 4, resulting in a net reduction of 65 stores year-over-year [40] - Free cash flow for the quarter was negative $120 million, impacted by higher capital spending and inventory growth to meet consumer demand [39][40] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the impacts of new athletic brand relationships on Q1 comps? - Management noted that existing brands drove the comp, but new brands like HOKA and Saucony had a positive impact, validating Journeys' position in lifestyle running [50][51] Question: How did the vulcanized product category perform? - Management acknowledged pressure on vulcanized products but stated that strength in other brands offset this pressure [53][54] Question: What are the expectations for Journeys in the back half of the year? - Management indicated that while they are lapping more difficult comparisons, they are optimistic about serving a broader market and continuing to strengthen product leadership [67][70] Question: How does the company view recent M&A activity in the footwear landscape? - Management expressed confidence in their positioning, focusing on lifestyle-driven offerings for the teen market, which differs from the performance-focused M&A activity [78][79] Question: What are the expectations regarding gross margins and price increases? - Management discussed the shift towards athletic products impacting margins but emphasized that they do not expect to absorb gross margin reductions due to tariffs [80][81]
Genesco(GCO) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-04 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenue of $474 million for Q1 2026, an increase of approximately 4% year-over-year, driven by a 5% growth in comparable sales, marking the third consecutive quarter of positive comps [30][31] - Adjusted gross margin for the quarter was 46.7%, a decline of 90 basis points compared to the previous year, primarily due to a shift towards higher price point but lower margin products [32] - SG&A expenses were 52.5% of sales, improving by 170 basis points year-over-year, driven by reduced occupancy and bonus expenses along with cost-saving initiatives [33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Journeys led the business with comparable sales up 8%, while Schuh saw a 1% increase, and Johnston and Murphy experienced a 2% decline in comps [30][31] - Journeys' strong performance was attributed to a strategic focus on product assortment and brand partnerships, resulting in double-digit gains across several brands [14][23] - Schuh's comps increased due to improved brand access and digital capabilities, with over 40% of sales coming from e-commerce [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The consumer environment remains choppy, with consumers showing willingness to shop during key events but retreating during quieter periods [5][28] - The UK consumer market is under pressure, impacting Schuh's performance, while Johnston and Murphy faced challenges in factory store traffic [19][28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on diversifying its product offerings and strengthening its brand partnerships, particularly in the athletic category, to capture a broader teen market [22][23] - The strategic growth plan for Journeys includes enhancing product assortment, elevating customer experience through new store designs, and increasing brand awareness through marketing initiatives [26][68] - The company is actively mitigating tariff impacts by diversifying suppliers and adjusting inventory strategies [12][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the current trade environment and emphasized the importance of compelling footwear and freshness to drive consumer purchases [7][10] - The company reiterated its full-year EPS guidance of $1.3 to $1.7, acknowledging ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and the impact of tariffs [38][39] - Management expects positive comps for Journeys in Q2, despite challenges in other business segments [56][58] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with a negative free cash flow of $120 million, attributed to higher capital spending and inventory growth to meet consumer demand [36][37] - The company repurchased approximately 605,000 shares during the quarter, representing about 5% of its outstanding shares [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the impacts of new athletic brand relationships on Q1 comp? - Management noted that existing brands drove the comp, but new brands like HOKA and Saucony had a positive impact, validating Journeys' position in lifestyle running [46][48] Question: How did vulcanized product trends compare to expectations? - Management acknowledged pressure on vulcanized products but stated that strength in other brands offset this pressure [50][51] Question: What is the guidance for Journeys in Q2? - Management indicated that Journeys is tracking similarly to Q1, with expectations for a positive comp, despite challenges in other segments [56][58] Question: What are the drivers for Journeys in the back half of the year? - Management highlighted the focus on product assortment, store remodels, and marketing initiatives as key drivers for growth [60][68] Question: How does the company view recent M&A activity in the footwear landscape? - Management stated that the company is positioned differently from competitors focused on performance athletic, emphasizing lifestyle and style-driven strategies [77][78] Question: What are the impacts on gross margin and balancing price increases? - Management explained that the shift to athletic products has affected margins, but they are working with brand partners to manage costs and maintain profitability [79][80]