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雅江超级工程核心受益标的建材ETF(159745)继续狂飙,“反内卷”双重利好,资金持续布局
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-22 01:46
另外,近期中央城市工作会议召开,指出我国城镇化从快速增长期转向稳定发展期,以推进城市更新为重要抓手,稳步推进城中村和危旧房改造、老旧管线 改造升级等。 随着城市更新政策的不断推进,将拉动管材、防水、涂料等消费建材需求,建材企业基本面有望迎来较大改善。 受"雅江"1.2万亿超级工程利好催化,建材ETF(159745)今日开盘再度大涨近3%,昨日收盘也同样涨停,昨日净流入超4.4亿元,当前规模超11亿元位居同 类第一。 同样受益于利好的标的基建ETF(159619)开盘涨近1%,昨日涨超6.5%,净流入超1.5亿元。 "雅江"超级工程落地,建材需求强劲 7月19日,雅鲁藏布江下游(以下简称雅下)水电工程宣布开工,是目前全球规划中最大的水电站项目。本次雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程总投资约1.2万亿元, 据中信证券测算,此前三峡水电站动态所需总投资2039亿元,总装机容量2250万千瓦。预计雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程各环节需求量为三峡水电站的4~5倍。 重大水利水电工程将催生巨大的工程、建材需求。 国资央企援藏再升级,重要会议强调城市更新 7月20日,国务院国资委在拉萨召开推进会,正式签约项目并启动援藏协议。共有16家中央企业 ...
7月18日晚间重要公告一览
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-07-18 10:12
Group 1 - Senyuan Electric signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Xuchang Digital Supply Chain Management Co., aiming for annual business cooperation not exceeding 500 million yuan over 36 months [1] - CICC's subsidiary, CICC Wealth, reported a net profit of 987 million yuan for the first half of the year, with total assets of 193.37 billion yuan [2] - Shuangjie Electric expects a net profit of 100 million to 120 million yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.03% to 39.23% [3][4] - Shentong Technology reported a net profit of 64.28 million yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 111.09% [5] - Suqian Nongfa's net profit for the first half of the year decreased by 27.72% to 213 million yuan [6] Group 2 - Fuan Pharmaceutical expects a net profit decline of 39.95% to 53.81% for the first half of the year, estimating between 100 million to 130 million yuan [8] - Xingwang Yuda anticipates a net loss of 11 million to 21 million yuan for the first half of the year [9] - Pulaike received a new veterinary drug registration certificate for a vaccine aimed at preventing chicken diseases [10] - Yuandong Biological's ephedrine injection received a drug registration certificate for treating low blood pressure during anesthesia [11] - Suqian Liansheng's subsidiary obtained two invention patent certificates [12] Group 3 - Oke Technology signed a 176 million yuan equipment order with Jiangxi Tianhong New Materials [13] - Publishing Media announced the resignation of its chief accountant due to work changes [15] - Zhongxin Co. plans to use 40 million yuan of idle funds for cash management [16] - Huiyun Titanium plans to use up to 58 million yuan of idle convertible bond funds for cash management [18] - Haineng Technology intends to apply for a credit facility of up to 200 million yuan from a bank [20] Group 4 - Jiabiou expects a net profit increase of 57.61% for the first half of the year, estimating around 107 million yuan [21] - Nanjing Gaoke reported a 1185% year-on-year increase in contract sales area for the second quarter [22] - Shuguang Co. received approval for a specific stock issuance application [23] - Huadong Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received approval for a clinical trial of a new drug targeting advanced solid tumors [23] - Quicheng Co. plans to invest 900 million yuan in two new projects [25] Group 5 - Shenlian Biological's vaccine for avian adenovirus received a new veterinary drug registration certificate [26] - Rike Chemical signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Dongming Petrochemical [28] - Jincheng Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received a renewed tobacco production license [29] - Magmi Te's stock issuance application was accepted by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [29] - Zhongyin Securities received approval to issue bonds totaling up to 14 billion yuan [29] Group 6 - Hewei Electric's executives plan to reduce their holdings by a total of 2.24% of the company's shares [44] - Guo Wang Xintong reported a net profit of 266 million yuan for the first half of the year, a decrease of 10.82% [45] - Guo Wang Xintong's subsidiary won a 966 million yuan tender from the State Grid [46] - Jicheng Electronics won contracts worth approximately 83.79 million yuan from the State Grid [48] - Helen Piano is planning a change of control, leading to a temporary stock suspension [48]
汇通集团录得6天4板
Group 1 - The stock of Huitong Group has experienced a significant increase, with 4 limit-up days recorded in 6 trading days, resulting in a cumulative increase of 24.02% and a turnover rate of 56.77% [2] - As of 14:05, the stock's trading volume reached 67.2037 million shares, with a transaction amount of 395 million yuan and a turnover rate of 14.55% [2] - The latest total market capitalization of A-shares is 2.988 billion yuan, with a circulating market capitalization of 2.909 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - The stock has appeared on the Dragon and Tiger list 4 times due to a cumulative deviation in the increase of 20% over three consecutive trading days, a daily decline deviation of 7%, a daily increase deviation of 7%, and a daily amplitude of 15% [2] - The net selling amount from the leading brokerage firms on the buy and sell side totaled 38.7631 million yuan [2] - The company's Q1 report indicated a total operating revenue of 265 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.49%, and a net profit of -42 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.10% [2] Group 3 - Recent stock performance shows fluctuations, with notable daily changes including a drop of 10.05% on July 17, 2025, and a rise of 10.08% on July 15, 2025 [2] - The turnover rates on various days ranged from 1.09% to 19.35%, indicating varying levels of trading activity [2] - The net inflow of main funds has shown both positive and negative trends, with a net outflow of 15.76 million yuan on July 10, 2025, and a net inflow of 5.83566 million yuan on July 11, 2025 [2]
汇通集团龙虎榜:营业部净卖出4694.30万元
Group 1 - The stock of Huitong Group (603176) fell by 5.91% with a turnover rate of 19.35% and a trading volume of 587 million yuan, showing a fluctuation of 19.77% throughout the day [1][2] - The stock was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange due to a daily fluctuation value of 19.78%, with a net selling amount of 46.943 million yuan from brokerage seats [2] - The main buying brokerage was Huatai Securities with a purchase amount of 13.1027 million yuan, while the largest selling brokerage was Kaiyuan Securities with a selling amount of 23.7828 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - In the first quarter, Huitong Group reported a revenue of 265 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.49%, and a net loss of 42.1423 million yuan [3] - Over the past five days, the main funds have seen a net inflow of 27.9564 million yuan, despite a net outflow of 69.7227 million yuan on the day of the report [2][3]
朝闻国盛:右尾弹性下的小盘基金投资机遇分析
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-07-16 00:18
Group 1: Small-cap Fund Investment Opportunities - The long-term returns of small-cap stocks primarily stem from valuation improvements rather than dividends or buybacks, indicating a persistent pricing error in the market that provides alpha opportunities [8] - Small-cap stocks exhibit a longer right tail in excess return distribution compared to large-cap stocks, suggesting higher potential for extreme positive returns during bullish market cycles [8] - In a credit expansion phase, small-cap stocks tend to perform better due to a favorable monetary environment and recovering credit conditions [8] Group 2: Economic Insights - The second quarter GDP growth rate was reported at 5.2%, indicating resilience in the economy, particularly in industrial output, despite a decline in fixed asset investment growth [13] - Economic data for June showed a mixed trend, with external demand and production rebounding while consumption and investment weakened [9] - The overall economic outlook suggests a potential GDP growth rate of around 5% for the year, with ongoing challenges in domestic demand and export pressures [9] Group 3: Industry Performance - The coal industry is experiencing a decline in imports while thermal power generation continues to grow, leading to price increases as demand rises [22] - The antimony market is showing signs of recovery with potential upward price adjustments due to easing export policies and a focus on quality resource companies [23][24] - The textile and apparel sector, particularly companies like Anta Sports and 361 Degrees, is demonstrating strong sales growth, supported by effective multi-brand strategies [28][38]
7月15日晚间重要公告一览
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-07-15 10:11
卫星化学:上半年净利润预增31.32%-53.20% 7月15日晚,卫星化学(002648)发布2025年半年度业绩预告,公司预计上半年实现归属于上市公司股 东的净利润27亿元至31.5亿元,同比增长31.32%-53.20%;预计实现扣除非经常性损益后的净利润28.52 亿元至33.02亿元,同比增长27.65%-47.79%。 资料显示,卫星化学成立于2005年8月,主营业务是(聚)丙烯、丙烯酸及酯、乙二醇、环氧乙烷、环氧 丙烷和聚乙烯等产品的生产和销售。 所属行业:基础化工–化学原料–其他化学原料 中国核建:累计新签合同871.49亿元 7月15日晚,中国核建(601611)发布公告称,截至2025年6月,公司累计实现新签合同871.49亿元,累 计实现营业收入531.84亿元。 资料显示,中国核建成立于2010年12月,主营业务是核电工程建设及工业与民用工程建设。 所属行业:建筑装饰–基础建设–基建市政工程 资料显示,怡球资源成立于2001年3月,主营业务是利用所回收的各种废旧铝资源,进行分选、加工、 熔炼等工序,生产出再生铝合金产品。 所属行业:有色金属–工业金属–铝 光库科技:上半年净利润预增60 ...
四川路桥(600039):25Q2订单大增25%,业绩稳健释放+高股息确定性强
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-07-15 06:52
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company has seen a significant increase in orders, with a 25% year-on-year growth in new contracts amounting to 37.6 billion yuan in Q2 2025, indicating strong performance and a robust order backlog [1] - The demand for transportation infrastructure in Sichuan is strong, driven by national strategic initiatives, with plans to double the highway network by 2035 [2] - The company is expected to maintain high dividend payouts, with a projected minimum cash dividend rate of 60% from 2025 to 2027, enhancing its attractiveness as a high-dividend investment [3] Summary by Sections Orders and Performance - In Q2 2025, the company secured new contracts worth 37.6 billion yuan, a 25% increase year-on-year, with infrastructure and housing construction contracts growing by 24% and 34% respectively [1] - Cumulative new contracts for H1 2025 reached 72.2 billion yuan, a 22% increase year-on-year, with infrastructure orders growing by 26% [1] - The company has a substantial order backlog of over 500 billion yuan, ensuring stable performance in the upcoming periods [1] Market Demand and Strategic Positioning - Sichuan is identified as a national strategic hinterland, with significant infrastructure development expected, including a planned highway network expansion [2] - The company is positioned to benefit from high-margin projects through its partnership with the Shudao Group, which is expected to drive profitability [2] Financial Outlook and Dividend Policy - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 8 billion yuan, 9 billion yuan, and 10 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.2%, 12.3%, and 11.5% [3] - The expected dividend yields for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 6.4%, 7.2%, and 8.1% respectively, indicating strong dividend potential [3]
7月15日早间重要公告一览
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-07-15 03:54
Group 1 - CITIC Construction Investment expects a net profit of 4.43 billion to 4.57 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 55%-60% [1] - New Hope anticipates a net profit of 680 million to 780 million yuan for the first half of 2025, recovering from a loss of 1.217 billion yuan in the same period last year [2] - Foton Motor forecasts a net profit of approximately 777 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking an increase of about 87.5% year-on-year [7] Group 2 - North New Road and Bridge expects a net loss of 70 million to 85 million yuan for the first half of 2025 [2] - Nanwei Co. anticipates a net loss of 12 million to 16 million yuan for the first half of 2025 [3] - Hanhua Technology projects a net loss of 45 million to 60 million yuan for the first half of 2025, widening the loss by 11.42%-18.10% compared to the previous year [6] Group 3 - Songlin Technology expects a net profit of 90 million to 95 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 57.06%-59.32% year-on-year [4] - Fuchun Environmental Protection anticipates a net profit of 178 million to 207 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 80%-110% [18] - Ansteel Group forecasts a net loss of 1.144 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a reduction in loss of approximately 57.46% compared to the previous year [20][22] Group 4 - China Wuyi expects a net loss of 80 million to 104 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a significant decline compared to the previous year [28] - Meikailong anticipates a net loss of 1.59 billion to 1.92 billion yuan for the first half of 2025 [26] - Aijian Group projects a net profit of 140 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 33.26% year-on-year [27]
券商研报:投资机会来了
Shen Zhen Shang Bao· 2025-07-14 23:24
Group 1 - The A-share market has recently experienced a "anti-involution" theme rally, with sectors such as steel, polysilicon, and glass seeing significant growth. The "anti-involution" theme is expected to become one of the main investment lines in the near future as it spreads across various industries [1] - Securities firms have shown considerable interest in the "anti-involution" theme, with dozens of firms publishing over a hundred reports and articles related to it since July. The most covered industries include building materials, steel, photovoltaics, and coal [1] - Analysts suggest that the implementation of "anti-involution" policies is likely to accelerate the exit of outdated production capacity, improving the net asset return rates in related industries, which would be a significant benefit for the stock market [1] Group 2 - "Expectation management" is the primary method of the current "anti-involution" policy. Traditional cyclical industries like coal and steel have largely cleared their outdated production capacity, and the concentration of industries has significantly increased [2] - The impact of the "anti-involution" policy may vary by industry. Some sectors, such as photovoltaics and lithium batteries, still have growth potential, making direct capacity clearance less likely, while traditional industries with higher capacity utilization and low product prices may see more significant effects on profitability [2] - A report from Huachuang Securities identified potential beneficiary industries of the "anti-involution" measures, with coal mining, coke, and ordinary steel being the most frequently mentioned. Other industries like passenger vehicles and wind power equipment were also highlighted as potential beneficiaries [2]
中国资产重估,首选低PB策略
Huafu Securities· 2025-07-14 11:34
Long-term Logic - The global restructuring and economic transformation in China are highlighted as key drivers for investment strategies, with a shift from a US-dominated global division of labor to a more balanced approach favoring China [2][11]. - China's economy is transitioning from high-speed growth to high-quality development, with a notable decline in real estate and infrastructure investment, leading to improved cash flow and asset quality [12][16]. Mid-term Logic - The current economic cycle is at a low point, with weak demand and low inflation suppressing corporate investment, prompting companies to reduce capital expenditures [17][21]. - As companies focus on asset quality and cash flow, the market is expected to shift its valuation anchor from earnings to net assets, making price-to-book (PB) ratios more relevant [17][21]. Short-term Catalysts - External factors, such as the US's reverse globalization policies, are creating favorable conditions for Chinese assets, with a passive appreciation of the RMB and increased capital inflow [22][28]. - Domestic policies emphasizing "de-involution" are leading to expectations of capacity reduction in traditional industries, further supporting asset revaluation [28]. Industry Selection - The report identifies Hong Kong's financial, real estate, construction, and energy sectors as having better value propositions, with many industries exhibiting low PB ratios [6][37]. - Specific stocks with PB ratios below 2 and market capitalizations above 500 billion yuan are highlighted, indicating potential investment opportunities in these sectors [40][41].