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Andrew Hill Investment Advisors Q4 2025 Client Letter
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-06 07:45
Core Insights - The year 2025 saw client portfolios achieving double-digit gains for the third consecutive year, reflecting resilience in corporations and consumers despite economic challenges [2] - The Federal Reserve's rate cuts aimed at achieving a "soft landing" for the economy contributed to a favorable environment for both stocks and bonds [2] - Gold emerged as a standout performer, rising 70%, while cryptocurrencies struggled, with Bitcoin experiencing significant volatility [11][12] Equities Performance - Equities experienced volatility in 2025, with initial sell-offs due to tariff announcements, particularly affecting companies with exposure to China and Vietnam [3] - Strong corporate earnings in the latter half of the year led to a rebound in stock prices, although some stocks, like Oracle, faced corrections after initial surges [4] - The technology sector, while still dominant, is showing signs of waning momentum, with a shift in focus from AI producers to users [26][28] Fixed Income - Bond yields declined throughout 2025, with the 10-year Treasury falling from 4.57% to 4.11%, benefiting client portfolios [8] - The investment strategy includes a focus on high-grade bonds and tax-free municipal debt, which are viewed as attractive in the current market [9][23] Commodities - Commodities had a strong year, with gold significantly outperforming the stock market, while cryptocurrencies faced declines [11][40] - The demand for energy is increasing, driven by factors such as data centers and electric vehicles, with companies like GE Vernova and Constellation Energy positioned to benefit [33][37] Economic Outlook - The economy is projected to grow by 2% in 2026, with consumer spending expected to increase by 2% and private investment by 2.3%, largely driven by AI-related developments [17] - Concerns about a "K-shaped economy" highlight disparities in asset appreciation, with wealth concentration among asset holders [12][13] Investment Strategy - The investment strategy for 2026 is less aggressive, with a focus on underweighting stocks and overweighting fixed income due to premium valuations and peaking earnings growth [20] - The portfolio includes a mix of traditional and alternative investments, with gold remaining a core holding as a hedge against market volatility [40]
微软(MSFT.US)收购AI数据工程平台Osmos,深度强化Fabric平台生态
智通财经网· 2026-01-06 07:32
Osmos首席执行官基拉特·潘迪亚(Kirat Pandya)表示,其产品是原生构建于微软 Fabric 平台,所以此次收 购交易对于现有客户而言推进过程十分顺畅。 目前,此次收购的具体财务细节尚未对外披露。不过可以明确的是,Osmos将被全面整合进微软Fabric 平台。微软Fabric作为一款由人工智能驱动的云分析平台,能够将数据集成、数据工程、数据仓库以及 数据科学等多项功能,高度集成于一个统一的平台之中。 潘迪亚表示:"把 Osmos 的技术与团队引入微软,我们迎来了加速推进一直着力构建项目的绝佳契机。 如此一来,这些项目能够直接在客户现有的数据平台运营环境中,交付给更为广泛的受众群体。" 微软公司负责 Azure 数据分析的副总裁博格丹·克里瓦特(Bogdan Crivat)表示:"收购 Osmos,标志着我 们朝着一个全新未来又迈进了一步。在这个未来里,自主人工智能代理将与人类携手共事,它们不仅能 助力企业降低运营成本,还能让客户更便捷地在组织内部实现数据的连接、准备、分析以及共享。" 智通财经APP获悉,当地时间1月5日,微软(MSFT.US)宣布已完成对Osmos的收购。Osmos是一款专注 ...
Adobe(ADBE.US)AI故事遇冷 杰富瑞下调评级至“持有”:促销难换盈利 2030年前增速或难提振
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 07:20
KeyBanc分析指出:"谷歌(GOOGL.US)、Meta(META.US)以及OpenAI等企业正在大力开发内容生成模 型,这些模型所覆盖的应用场景,要么是上述公司当前已占据的市场领域,要么(以OpenAI为例)是其未 来有望布局的赛道。我们认为,面对来自科技巨头与新兴企业的双线竞争,再加上Figma(FIG.US)、 Canva等传统竞争对手的夹击,2026年Adobe仍难以借助AI业务实现基本面的实质性改善。" 智通财经APP获悉,杰富瑞发表研报,将Adobe(ADBE.US)评级从"买入"下调至"持有",理由是该机构 尚未观察到人工智能(AI)业务为公司带来任何显著的增长动力。 截至周一收盘,这家创意软件巨头的股价在过去一年中累计跌幅已超20%。 以Brent Thill为首的杰富瑞分析师团队在一份投资者报告中指出:"自2023年初推出Firefly生成式AI工具 以来,Adobe在AI功能开发方面已取得重大进展。第三财季,其生成式AI服务的信用额度使用量环比增 长2倍,AI驱动的年度经常性收入(ARR)占公司整体业务的比重已超三分之一。" Thill进一步补充道:"尽管重度AI用户需订阅付费计划, ...
银河证券:看好AI应用底部反弹 重视左侧布局机会
智通财经网· 2026-01-06 07:13
智通财经APP获悉,银河证券发布研报称,12月人工智能板块维持震荡走势,小幅微跌,成交量萎缩, 12月受到国内外多重因素影响,市场整体呈现出一定分歧,以短期内题材交易机会为主导,该行认为市 场目前对日本央行加息、美联储降息预期已经充分演绎,当前仍然在政策、业绩披露空窗期,资金仍然 相对集中在业绩有望持续兑现的AI硬件如光模块、PCB等领域,科技板块内部呈现分化结构,当然该行 也看到部分AI应用公司三季报业绩出现边际好转,当前节点该行仍然建议左侧布局人工智能板块中有 业绩支撑细分领域及龙头公司。 银河证券主要观点如下: 英伟达H200获批对华销售,国产算力产业链迎变局时刻 美国当地时间12月8日,特朗普表示将允许英伟达向中国"获批客户"出售H200芯片,销售收入的25%将上 缴美国政府。该行认为,短期来看国产算力芯片将受到一定冲击,当然具体各个大厂能拿到多少配额仍 然是个未知数,采购一定数量的H200有助于国产大模型提升训练环节效率。长期来看,对国产算力芯 片冲击有限甚至倒逼国产算力芯片加速突破,该行仍然坚定看好国产算力产业链,长期逻辑将是训练端 暂缓替代节奏但不改自主可控路线,通过短期配套H200加速国产大模 ...
22款APP及SDK存在侵害用户权益行为 被工信部通报
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2026-01-06 06:59
22款APP及SDK存在侵害用户权益行为 被工信部通报 中新网1月6日电 据"工信微报"微信公众号消息,工业和信息化部信息通信管理局6日发布《关于侵害用 户权益行为的APP(SDK)通报》。 通报中提到,工业和信息化部高度重视用户权益保护工作,依据《个人信息保护法》《网络安全法》 《电信条例》《电信和互联网用户个人信息保护规定》等法律法规,持续整治APP侵害用户权益的违规 行为。近期,工业和信息化部组织第三方检测机构进行抽查,共发现22款APP及SDK存在侵害用户权益 行为,现予以通报。 来源:中国新闻网 编辑:王永乐 广告等商务合作,请点击这里 | 序号 | 应用名称 | 应用开发者 | 应用来源 | 应用版本 | 所涉问题 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 妹聊 | 北京织星科技有 | 荣耀应用 | 3.1.3 | 违规收集个人信息 超范围收集个人信息 | | | | 限公司 | 市场 | | | | | | | | | 违规使用个人信息 | | 2 | Sinzar | 海南芯智海科技 | | | 违规收集个人信息 | | | | 有限公司 | ...
告别惨淡2025!Piper Sandler:安全与基础设施软件股估值已至“黄金买点”,GenAI长期赢家浮现
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 06:53
投行Piper Sandler发布了对安全与基础设施软件股的2026年展望。以罗伯.欧文斯为首的分析师表 示:"2025年被证明是我们所覆盖的相关股票艰难的一年,个股平均表现负面,仅有四只股票表现优于 纳斯达克指数(为五年多来最少)。我们对2026年行情改善持谨慎乐观态度,许多股票在进入新年时估值 水平颇具吸引力,为成为长期的生成式人工智能(GenAI)赢家奠定了良好基础,尽管软件层面的货币化 尚未大规模发生。" 对于2026年的安全与基础设施软件股,Piper Sandler的首选股包括:Palo Alto Networks(PANW.US)、 Atlassian(TEAM.US)、Check Point Software Technologies(CHKP.US)、Netskope(NTSK.US)和 ServiceNow(NOW.US)。该行还将Varonis Systems(VRNS.US)的评级上调至"增持",同时将 SentinelOne(S.US)的评级下调至"中性"。 2026年首选股 Piper Sandler分析师认为,鉴于软件整体需求环境预计将相对稳定,而"不祥的GenAI颠覆性叙事"尚 ...
Palantir Involved in the Capture of Nicolás Maduro? Markets Think Peter Thiel-Linked Company 'Heavily Involved,' Says This Industry Commentator - Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ:PLTR)
Benzinga· 2026-01-06 06:13
Shares of Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:PLTR) rallied 3.68% on Monday, as speculations continued to swirl regarding the company’s possible role in the U.S. operation that led to the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro over the weekend.Did Palantir Aid ‘Seamless’ US Operation In Venezuela?On Monday, in a post on X, The Kobeissi Letter asked, “Was Palantir Involved?” while pointing to the stock’s 5% overnight rally, which it attributed to the “initial reaction to this weekend's events in Venez ...
强制自动续费、窗口乱跳转……这22款APP及SDK被通报
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 06:02
本文转自【人民日报客户端】; 工信微报公号6日发布通报,内容如下: 关于侵害用户权益行为的APP(SDK)通报 (2026年第1批,总第54批) 工业和信息化部高度重视用户权益保护工作,依据《个人信息保护法》《网络安全法》《电信条例》《电信和互联网用户个人信息保护规定》等法律法 规,持续整治APP侵害用户权益的违规行为。近期,我部组织第三方检测机构进行抽查,共发现22款APP及SDK存在侵害用户权益行为(详见附件),现 予以通报。 上述APP及SDK应按有关规定进行整改,整改落实不到位的,我部将依法依规组织开展相关处置工作。 | 序号 | 应用名称 | 应用开发者 | 应用来源 | 应用版本 | 所涉问题 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 妹聊 | 北京织星科技有 | 荣耀应用 | | 违规收集个人信息 | | | | 限公司 | 市场 | 3.1.3 | 超范围收集个人信息 | | | | | | | 违规使用个人信息 | | 2 | Sinzar | 海南芯智海科技 | | | 违规收集个人信息 | | | | 有限公司 | 应用宝 | 1.9.2 ...
Windows7定时关机命令详解
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-06 05:55
Windows7内置定时关机指令方法 1、 按下Win键加R键,打开运行框,输入CMD后点击确定。 3、 输入at并回车,即可查看已设置的关机命令。 4、 取消定时关机只需执行命令 at ID /delete,按回车即 可。其中ID为对应任务编号,例如输入 at 11 /delete 即可 删除该定时关机任务。 5、 可使用秒数倒计时关机功能,例如设置10分钟即600秒,只需输入 shutdown -s -t 600 后按回车确认 执行,注意命令间保留空格。 6、 输入 shutdown -a 后按回车,即可取消关机操作。 2、 在电脑上设置23:30自动关机,只需打开CMD命令提示符,输入 at 23:30 shutdown -s 后按回车即可 完成定时关机设置,操作简单方便。 3、 输入at并回车,即可查看已设置的关机命令。 1、 按下Win键加R键,打开运行框,输入CMD后点击确 定。 2、 在电脑上设置23:30自动关机,只需打开CMD命令提 示符,输入 at 23:30 shutdown -s 后按回车即可完成定时 关机设置,操作简单方便。 Windows7内置定时关机指令方法 6、 输入 shut ...
AI 美妆 ARR 一年增 14 倍达 5500 万美金;另一 Newsletter 阅读 App 融了 600 万美金
投资实习所· 2026-01-06 05:42
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a new newsletter aggregation app called Perch, which has raised $6 million in funding and aims to enhance content discovery and accessibility for users while supporting creators [1][5][8]. Group 1: Product Features - Perch aggregates various newsletters, blogs, and news sites into one app, featuring voice reading and AI summarization capabilities [1][5]. - The app includes a recommendation mechanism similar to social media platforms, allowing users to discover popular and trending content based on user interactions [2][5]. - The app's "Inbox" section displays only the newsletters or blogs that users have followed, while the "For You" section offers personalized content recommendations [5]. Group 2: Mission and Goals - Perch's long-term mission is to make quality writing more accessible, believing that easier access to great works accelerates societal progress [8]. - The platform aims to lower user acquisition costs while ensuring creators receive fair compensation, starting with high-quality free content before expanding to paid creators [8][9]. - Perch seeks to improve content discovery by presenting users with relevant articles before they even realize they want to read them [9]. Group 3: Founder Background - The founder of Perch, Michael McGuiness, also runs a successful newsletter called Startup Archive, which shares insights from notable investors and entrepreneurs [10].