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Gold and silver drop after biggest selloff in years
BusinessLine· 2025-10-22 03:15
Core Viewpoint - Gold and silver prices have experienced significant declines after reaching high levels, as investors took profits amid concerns of overvaluation following recent surges in precious metals [1][2][3]. Price Movements - Spot gold traded near $4,090 per ounce, having dropped as much as 6.3% in the previous session, marking the largest intraday decline in over a dozen years [2][9]. - Silver prices also fell, with a peak decline of 8.7% noted on Tuesday [2][9]. - As of the latest report, spot gold fell 0.9% to $4,091.63 per ounce, while silver dropped 0.4% to $48.5377 per ounce [9]. Market Dynamics - The recent pullback halted a rapid price increase that began in mid-August, driven by the "debasement trade" where investors sought alternatives to sovereign debt and currencies due to concerns over budget deficits [3][5]. - Gold prices have increased nearly 60% this year, influenced by geopolitical uncertainties and central banks diversifying away from the US dollar [3][5]. Investor Behavior - Investors are taking profits as many are long on gold at favorable averages, indicating a strategic decision to realize gains [4]. - Citigroup Inc has adjusted its gold recommendation from overweight to a more cautious stance, anticipating further consolidation around $4,000 per ounce [6]. Technical Analysis - The current decline in gold is viewed as a significant correction, with potential for further drops if prices break below $4,000 [8]. - Silver has shown even more volatility, with a historic squeeze in the London market driving prices to record levels, prompting significant outflows from stockpiles [8].
Gold, silver extend losses as equity rally stalls
The Economic Times· 2025-10-22 01:14
Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in gold and silver prices is attributed to profit-taking after significant gains this year, raising concerns that the rallies may have entered bubble territory [1][10]. Precious Metals Market - Gold fell 2.9% to $4,004.26 per ounce, marking its largest intraday decline in over a dozen years, while silver dropped more than 2% to around $47.6 after a previous 7.1% fall [1][10]. - Analysts suggest that the selloff was triggered by substantial positioning in gold and silver futures, which had built up prior to the declines [6][10]. - Despite the pullback, long-term drivers such as central bank buying and expectations of monetary easing are expected to support prices [6][10]. Stock Market Dynamics - Global macro hedge funds and long-only strategies maintain the highest stock exposure in over a year, despite recent de-risking amid trade and credit concerns [5][10]. - The US government shutdown has created an economic data vacuum, yet investors view equity drawdowns as opportunities to add risk to their portfolios [5][10]. - The S&P 500 closed little changed, with US share futures edging lower, indicating a mixed sentiment in the stock market [2][10]. Broader Economic Context - A confluence of factors, including positive trade talks between China and the US, a stronger dollar, and the end of a seasonal buying spree in India, contributed to the decline in precious metals [8][10]. - The 30-year Treasury yield reached its lowest since early April, reflecting the impact of the ongoing US government shutdown [6][10]. - Oil prices rose following comments from President Trump regarding India's oil purchases from Russia and a decline in US inventories [7][10].
Jim Cramer: Strong earnings from ‘actual businesses' are driving the ‘real economy'
Youtube· 2025-10-22 00:03
Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of various companies outside the tech sector indicates a robust real economy, which contrasts with the perception of a market dominated by a few major tech firms. This has led to a rally in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, suggesting that there is strength in the broader economy despite concerns about speculative stocks and potential market risks [2][21]. Company Performance - Wells Fargo reported strong credit quality, while Bank of America highlighted robust consumer spending and saving rates [7][11]. - American Express showed significant spending among younger demographics, indicating solid credit metrics [8]. - RTX (Raytheon Technologies) delivered impressive earnings due to increased demand for military systems and aircraft services, rallying 7% [12][21]. - 3M launched 70 new products in the third quarter, leading to a stock increase of 7.66% as the company returns to innovation [14][15]. - GE Aerospace reported strong numbers in commercial jet engines and aircraft services, with expectations for continued strong performance [16]. - General Motors experienced strong demand for trucks, benefiting from a favorable regulatory environment under the current administration [17]. - Danaher provided a promising quarter, suggesting potential for stronger performance in the upcoming year, resulting in a nearly 6% stock increase [19]. - Coca-Cola's CEO reported larger profits through market share gains and successful new product launches, demonstrating resilience in the face of economic slowdown [20]. Market Dynamics - The concentration of major tech companies in the S&P 500, which accounts for about 35% of the index, raises concerns about market stability and the potential for speculative bubbles [4]. - The perception of a dual economy, with a divide between high-growth tech firms and traditional industries, is prevalent, but recent earnings suggest a more balanced economic landscape [3][5]. - The overall market rally led by companies in the real economy, such as RTX, GE Aerospace, and 3M, indicates positive momentum outside the tech sector [21].
SCHD ETF: REIT Dividends Too Attractive To Exclude
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-21 19:46
Join for a 100% Risk-Free trial and see if our proven method can help you too. You do not need to pay for the costly lessons from the market itself.Sensor Unlimited contributes to the investing group Envision Early Retirement which is led by Sensor Unlimited. They offer proven solutions to generate both high income and high growth with isolated risks through dynamic asset allocation. Features include: two model portfolios - one for short-term survival/withdrawal and one for aggressive long-term growth, dire ...
Gold Prices Fall Most Since 2013—Here's Why Metals Are Plunging
Forbes· 2025-10-21 19:45
Core Insights - The value of gold experienced a significant drop of over 5%, marking the largest single-day decline in more than a decade, as investors retreat from a recent buying frenzy [1] - Silver and platinum also saw declines after substantial gains earlier in the year, indicating a broader sell-off in precious metals [2] Gold Market Analysis - Gold futures fell by 5.2% to approximately $4,130, with earlier losses reaching 6.3%, the largest intraday drop since June 2013 [1] - Analysts suggest that the market is undergoing a "technical correction" after a rapid expansion of investors seeking safer assets [2] Silver and Platinum Market Analysis - Silver and platinum futures have risen 60% and 66% respectively this year, but have recently declined by 6.7% and 7.2% [2] - Analysts warn of potential volatility in silver prices due to increasing liquidity and falling demand, despite its continued favor among investors [5] Economic Influences - The strengthening U.S. dollar, which rose by 0.4% on Tuesday, typically leads to lower gold prices as it makes bullion more expensive for overseas investors [3] - Economic and policy uncertainties, including tariffs and inflation, have driven metals' prices higher this year [6] Future Price Predictions - Bank of America has set a bullish price target for gold at $5,000 per ounce by 2026, while HSBC raised its 2025 target to $3,950 [4] - For silver, Bank of America increased its target to $65 per ounce, with expectations of continued price rises amid potential government shutdowns and interest rate cuts [5] Market Sentiment - Analysts expect more volatility and downside risk for silver compared to gold, which benefits from central bank demand [7] - Platinum's rise is attributed to strong demand from jewelers and automakers, indicating a diverse interest in precious metals [7]
Top U.S. Regulator Dismisses Stablecoin ‘Bank Run’ Threat as Market Soars Past $300B
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-21 19:17
Core Viewpoint - The head of the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has downplayed fears regarding stablecoins potentially triggering a banking crisis, asserting that the risk of a deposit run is overstated and unlikely to occur suddenly [1][5]. Group 1: Market Expansion and Regulation - The stablecoin market has seen significant growth, increasing from $205 billion in January to over $307 billion [2]. - Tether's USDT dominates the market with approximately 59% share, followed by Circle's USDC [2]. - The rapid market expansion has led to increased calls from the banking sector for stricter regulatory oversight [2]. Group 2: Concerns Over the GENIUS Act - The American Bankers Association and over 50 state banking groups have urged Congress to address perceived "loopholes" in the GENIUS Act, which could allow stablecoin issuers to indirectly pay yields through affiliates [3]. - These groups warn that such practices could result in significant deposit outflows from traditional banks [3]. Group 3: Potential Impact on Traditional Banking - A joint letter from various banking associations estimates that yield-bearing stablecoins could drain up to $6.6 trillion from traditional banks, based on U.S. Treasury estimates [4]. - The potential outflows could lead to increased interest rates, reduced loan availability, and higher borrowing costs for households and businesses [4]. Group 4: Opportunities for Smaller Banks - Jonathan Gould suggests that stablecoin adoption could present opportunities for smaller banks to enhance their competitiveness in digital payments [5]. - He emphasized that the OCC is closely monitoring stablecoin activities and would take action if there were a significant flight from the banking system [6].
Exchange Bank Welcomes Karen Serpa as Assistant Vice President, Marketing Communications Manager
Businesswire· 2025-10-21 19:00
Oct 21, 2025 3:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time Exchange Bank Welcomes Karen Serpa as Assistant Vice President, Marketing Communications Manager Share Karen Serpa, AVP, Marketing Communications Manager SANTA ROSA, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Exchange Bank (OTC: EXSR) is pleased to announce the addition of Karen Serpa to its Marketing team as Assistant Vice President, Marketing Communications Manager. Karen brings more than 15 years of marketing and communications experience, with a strong background in both the fin ...
Fed rate cut outlook for 2025, cracks in the economy, and Coca-Cola CFO talks earnings
Youtube· 2025-10-21 17:45
分组1: General Motors (GM) - General Motors raised its full-year outlook, forecasting EBIT in the range of $12 to $13 billion, adjusted automotive free cash flow of $10 to $11 billion, and diluted adjusted EPS of 9.75% to 10.5% [1][2] - GM narrowed its full-year tariff costs estimate to $3.5 to $4.5 billion, down from $4 to $5 billion, and reported a $1.1 billion hit from tariffs in the latest quarter [1][2] - The company is restructuring its EV business, having taken a charge of approximately $1.6 billion to address factory overcapacity and supplier payments, while expecting a natural demand for EVs to emerge next year [1][2][3] 分组2: Coca-Cola - Coca-Cola reported higher-than-expected earnings per share and total sales, driven largely by price increases, indicating strong demand from higher-income consumers [41][42] - The company is focusing on maintaining engagement with lower-income consumers through various packaging options and price points, while also investing in brand appeal [46][48] - Coca-Cola is rolling out a variant with real cane sugar and is optimistic about its performance in the market, alongside a strong pipeline for its Fairlife dairy products [52][58] 分组3: Market Overview - The U.S. stock market is showing a mixed picture during earnings season, with the Dow up by about 44 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are slightly down [1] - Earnings season is characterized by individual stock movements rather than broad market trends, with notable performances from companies like Coca-Cola and 3M [1][2] - Analysts are observing a rotation into more defensive names in the market, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment [60][62]
OpenAI Looks to Replace Banking Grunt Work
Bloomberg Technology· 2025-10-21 16:52
What is Project Mercury. What is it that open air is working on here. Oh, good question.Ed, according to our reporting, the reporters in Dubai spoke to sources at Open Air, got their hands on some document. And the so-called project Mercury is effectively open air hiring investment bankers as contractors, people who can help with the modeling tasks, who can help the air with training it on how to write prompts, how to execute models, and how to make sure that they could get into a position where they can do ...
10 Investment Must Reads for This Week (Oct. 21, 2025)
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-21 16:20
Group 1 - The article discusses the inefficacy of most active managers in adding value to investments, even in favorable market conditions, highlighting the unpredictability of market climates that may benefit active management [1] - JP Morgan is launching a new wrap-fee advisory platform named J.P. Morgan Managed Services, which will provide access to managed portfolios from both JP Morgan and third-party investment managers [2] - Business Development Companies (BDCs) are facing scrutiny as their stock prices have fallen to multi-year lows, and bond spreads have widened significantly, indicating potential challenges in the private credit market [3] Group 2 - The article explores the implications of ETF share classes for mutual funds, noting the operational challenges and potential outcomes for mutual fund companies that have not yet adopted ETF offerings [4] - Swap financing costs for certain funds have risen significantly, accounting for 6.40% to 8.60% of average daily net assets, with annual costs from spread components ranging from 3.00% to over 4.10% [5] - Private credit is projected to anchor $119 billion in alternative flows by 2026, with a year-over-year growth rate of around 6%, reflecting a substantial increase in fundraising since 2020 [6] Group 3 - Asset managers are increasing efforts to encourage the use of artificial intelligence tools among employees, with some tracking usage and incorporating it into performance evaluations [7] - A new GOP bill aims to codify a previous executive order by President Trump, facilitating retirement plans' investments in private markets [8] - The number of private equity and venture capital funds has surpassed the number of McDonald's franchises, indicating a significant rise in alternative investments, which now account for approximately 12% of US investments [9] Group 4 - The wealth management sector is experiencing a deal boom, driven by an increase in high-net-worth investors, who collectively hold an estimated $140 trillion in global private assets [10]