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The next 3 phases of the AI cycle for 2026, plus why Trump's Nvidia announcement didn't move markets
Youtube· 2025-12-09 21:59
Economic Outlook and Market Sentiment - The US economy is expected to support stock performance in early 2026 due to monetary and fiscal stimulus, as well as ongoing AI capital expenditures [1][2] - The AI capital expenditure cycle is anticipated to evolve through three phases: expansion, implementation, and realization, with various companies positioned to benefit at each stage [1][2] AI and Technology Sector - Companies like Nvidia are currently leading the AI buildout, but there is a need for broader participation from other firms to drive the next phase of AI development [1] - The H200 AI chips from Nvidia are expected to be more powerful than existing Chinese alternatives, although there are concerns about actual demand from China [2][3][4] Small Cap Stocks - A shift is expected in small cap stocks from low-quality rallies to a focus on companies with high return on invested capital (ROIC) and consistent profitability [1][2] - Companies like Mueller Industries are highlighted as undervalued opportunities within the industrial sector, benefiting from the ongoing economic buildout [1] Consumer Discretionary vs. Staples - A preference for consumer discretionary stocks over staples is noted, driven by anticipated improvements in consumer spending, particularly among lower-end consumers [2] - Home Depot is identified as a particularly attractive investment opportunity within the consumer discretionary space, especially as housing markets recover [2] Oracle's Earnings Expectations - Oracle's AI cloud business is projected to see significant revenue growth, with expectations of a 68% increase in cloud infrastructure revenue [6][7] - Analysts are closely monitoring Oracle's capital expenditures and free cash flow implications as the company invests heavily in AI data center infrastructure [9][10] Regulatory and Political Landscape - The Supreme Court's potential ruling on Trump tariffs could significantly impact various sectors, with implications for companies like Nike and Walmart if tariffs are lifted [11][12] - The likelihood of extending ACA subsidies has decreased, which may affect healthcare companies and the broader market as affordability concerns rise [24][25]
CoreWeave (CRWV) Gets $100 Target as Analysts Call Recent Stock Plunge Fear-Driven
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-09 21:58
CoreWeave, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWV) is one of the AI Stocks on the Market’s Radar. On December 4, Freedom Capital Markets initiated coverage on the stock with a “Buy” rating and a price target of $100.00. Firm analysts believe that CoreWeave’s stock plunge is largely fear-driven rather than based on fundamental deterioration. The firm elaborated how CoreWeave has been down -28% since its F25Q3 results were announced on November 10. This disappointment has been largely due to a 3% cut in prior guidance to full-y ...
Earnings Watch: Will Oracle Stock Regain Its Bullish Momentum?
ZACKS· 2025-12-09 21:46
Transforming from a legacy database company into a major AI compute provider, Oracle (ORCL) stock has spiked over +30% in 2025 due to surging demand for its cloud and AI infrastructure services, massive new partnerships, and sharply upgraded revenue forecasts.With Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) and Oracle Cloud Applications (OCA) riding the AI boom, it’s certainly a worthy topic of whether it's time to buy ORCL as the company's fiscal second quarter results approach after-market hours on Wednesday, Nov ...
The Smartest Tech ETF to Buy With $500 Right Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-09 21:30
Core Viewpoint - The "Magnificent Seven" companies are pivotal in the tech and AI revolution, representing a solid investment opportunity due to their consistent track records of success [1] Group 1: Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF - The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) is an equally weighted portfolio of Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Tesla, and Alphabet, making it a strategic investment choice [3] - MAGS is priced around $67, allowing investors to enter the market with a modest investment of $500 [3] - The fund rebalances quarterly, implementing a "buy low, sell high" strategy, which can benefit investors [4] Group 2: Market Performance and Valuation - The average forward price-to-earnings ratio for the "Magnificent Seven" stocks is approximately 29, higher than the S&P 500's P/E ratio of 22, indicating premium valuations [5] - Despite high valuations, the long-term potential of these companies remains optimistic due to their involvement in major industries like AI, cloud computing, and semiconductors [6] Group 3: Financial Strength and Competitive Advantages - The "Magnificent Seven" companies have strong balance sheets and generate durable cash flows, providing a cushion against market volatility [7] - These companies possess wide economic moats, including network effects and brand value, which contribute to their competitive advantages [7] Group 4: Investment Considerations - Investors should consider the above-average volatility and concentration risk associated with MAGS, as it may experience significant fluctuations [9] - MAGS has shown a year-to-date return of 22.7%, slightly outperforming the Invesco QQQ Trust's 21.7% return, and has significantly outperformed it since its rebranding [11] - MAGS could be an appealing option for investors looking to increase mega-cap tech exposure, although it may not be suitable to replace an S&P 500 ETF [12]
Buy CoreWeave's 'Code Red' Moment
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-09 21:10
CoreWeave, Inc. ( CRWV ) and its shareholders (including me) had to endure a nightmare quarter so far with concerns about the AI bubble as well as operational flare-ups endogenous to the NJ-based neocloud hyperscaler surfacingUttam is a growth-oriented investment analyst whose equity research primarily focuses on the technology sector. Semiconductors, Artificial Intelligence and Cloud software are some of the key sectors that are regularly researched and published by him. His research also focuses on other ...
Oracle set to report earnings as Wall Street looks for cracks in the AI bubble
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-09 20:04
Core Viewpoint - Oracle is expected to report strong earnings and revenue growth, but concerns about its reliance on OpenAI and the broader AI bubble are causing investor anxiety [1][3]. Financial Performance - Oracle is projected to report earnings per share of $1.64 for its fiscal second quarter, up from $1.47 the previous year [1]. - Revenue is expected to reach $16.21 billion, reflecting a 15% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. - The Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) segment is anticipated to see a 68% revenue increase to nearly $4.1 billion [2]. Stock Performance - Oracle's stock has decreased by 33% from a high of $328 in September, contrasting with the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks, which have gained over 11% [2]. - Despite the stock's decline, shares edged higher before the earnings report [2]. Debt and Financial Concerns - Oracle's total debt was approximately $105 billion as of the last quarter, with nearly $25.8 billion in corporate bonds issued this year [4]. - The company's heavy reliance on debt for AI investments has raised concerns among investors about the sustainability of its growth and the potential for an AI bubble [4][5]. - Oracle's bonds are rated BBB, perceived as riskier compared to peers like Meta and Amazon, which have higher ratings [5].
Oracle stock sinks, on track for worst loss since early 2000s as AI costs jump past Wall Street estimates
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-09 20:04
Oracle (ORCL) stock fell as much as 15% Thursday after the tech firm's quarterly AI costs rose ahead of Wall Street's expectations and its revenue fell short. Oracle reported capital expenditures of $12 billion for its fiscal second quarter after the bell Wednesday, up from about $4 billion the previous year and the roughly $8 billion projected by analysts tracked by Bloomberg. The AI cloud player also hiked its guidance for full year capital expenditures to $50 billion from its prior $35 billion estimate ...
Can Amazon Stock Hit $400 in 2026?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-09 19:35
Amazon’s (AMZN) stock has been on a remarkable tear over the past few years, powered by unrelenting cloud momentum, increased retail efficiency, and a renewed push into artificial intelligence (AI). While Wall Street’s high-end target is $360, I believe the tech titan’s rally has enough firepower to break past even the most bullish expectations. Let’s find out what could push Amazon to touch $400 in 2026? More News from Barchart www.barchart.com A Strong Quarter Sets the Stage Amazon’s revenue, profit ...
Here Are Billionaire Bill Ackman's 3 Biggest Bets From This Year, and How He's Positioned Going Into 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-09 17:45
Core Insights - Bill Ackman, a prominent hedge fund manager, is focusing on concentrated investments in high-conviction companies through Pershing Square Holdings, including significant stakes in Uber, Nike, and Amazon [2][3]. Group 1: Uber - Ackman disclosed a $2 billion investment in Uber, acquiring 30.3 million shares, believing the stock was undervalued due to excessive concerns about self-driving cars [5][9]. - Uber's stock has risen 50% year-to-date, supported by strong operating metrics, including a 17% increase in monthly active users and a 22% rise in total trips booked [6][9]. - Ackman anticipates a 30% growth in earnings per share for Uber, with the stock trading at 25 times forward earnings, indicating it remains undervalued [9]. Group 2: Nike - Ackman initially invested in Nike in 2024, holding over 18 million shares, but later shifted to deep in-the-money call options, aiming for double the returns if Nike's turnaround is successful [10][15]. - Nike's shares have declined 13% this year, but the company is showing signs of improvement under new CEO Elliott Hill's "Win Now" strategy, focusing on branding and wholesale partnerships [11][12]. - Management expects revenue growth from wholesale channels, while direct sales may decline due to the removal of clearance items, leading to improved margins [12][14]. Group 3: Amazon - Ackman purchased 5.8 million shares of Amazon for approximately $1 billion during an April sell-off, viewing it as a long-term investment despite the stock's performance aligning with the S&P 500 [16][17]. - Amazon's cloud computing segment is experiencing increased demand, particularly driven by AI, with CEO Andy Jassy indicating continued growth in Amazon Web Services [18][19]. - The retail segment is also showing strong margin expansion as Amazon optimizes its logistics network, leading to reduced shipping costs and increased revenue growth [20][21].
Google Cloud Makes Enterprises AI-Ready With Nutanix NC2 - Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL)
Benzinga· 2025-12-09 17:25
Core Viewpoint - Google Cloud has made Nutanix's Cloud Clusters platform generally available, enhancing hybrid-cloud options for enterprises looking to modernize applications without the need to rebuild existing workloads [1][2]. Group 1: Product Launch and Features - Nutanix Cloud Clusters (NC2) allows businesses to migrate regulated and mission-critical applications to Google Cloud while ensuring consistent performance [2][5]. - The platform supports seamless mobility between on-premises Nutanix environments and Google Cloud, enabling organizations to modernize at their own pace [2][3]. - NC2 helps teams avoid the lengthy process of re-architecting applications, thus streamlining the transition to cloud services [2][5]. Group 2: Integration with AI and Data Services - Google Cloud's data services and AI models can be directly integrated with applications running on NC2, facilitating the use of tools like BigQuery, Gemini Enterprise, and Vertex AI for enhanced analytics and machine-learning development [4][5]. Group 3: Operational Advantages - Key benefits of the expanded offering include seamless disaster recovery, consistent operations across environments, and scalable cloud capacity during peak demand [6]. - License portability provides enterprises with greater control over long-term cloud investments [6]. Group 4: Management and Accessibility - Both on-premises systems and Google Cloud deployments are managed through Nutanix Prism Central, offering a unified operational interface that reduces training needs and simplifies hybrid-cloud workflows [7]. - NC2 licensing will soon be available through Google Cloud Marketplace, allowing customers to apply existing spending commitments toward Nutanix software and consolidate billing [7]. Group 5: Market Reaction - Alphabet shares experienced a 0.48% increase, reaching $315.23, approaching its 52-week high of $328.83 [8].