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大行评级|大摩:预期澳门9月赌收将增长16% 予多只博彩股等“增持”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-03 06:02
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue in August increased by 12% year-on-year, aligning with the bank's and market expectations [1] Group 1: Revenue Growth - After three consecutive months of double-digit growth, the operating leverage is expected to start playing a role in the second half of the year, driving margin expansion and profit correction [1] - The bank anticipates a 16% year-on-year growth in gaming revenue for September, suggesting a 16% year-on-year increase for the third quarter [1] Group 2: Company Ratings - Morgan Stanley has assigned "Overweight" ratings to Sands China, MGM China, Wynn Macau, and Melco Resorts [1]
港股异动 | 金界控股(03918)早盘涨超7% 上半年业绩超出市场预期 花旗称Naga3项目不确定性仍存
智通财经网· 2025-09-03 03:26
Core Viewpoint - Kwan Kee Holdings (03918) reported strong mid-year results, with total gaming revenue of approximately $332 million, a year-on-year increase of 17.2%, and net profit of about $149 million, up 68.8% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Total gaming revenue (GGR) for the first half of the year was approximately $332 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.2% [1] - Net profit reached around $149 million, marking a significant increase of 68.8% compared to the previous year [1] - EBITDA margin expanded by 9.2 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved profitability [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - UBS noted that the growth in gaming revenue is driven by an increase in business travelers to Phnom Penh, Cambodia, and rising local demand [1] - The firm plans to raise its total gaming revenue forecasts for 2025-2026 by 21% to 29% due to better-than-expected mid-year performance [1] - Citigroup highlighted that while the mid-year cash dividend was unexpected, the payout ratio of 30% is below their annual expectation of 60% [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Citigroup pointed out that despite signs of improvement in fundamentals, there is ongoing uncertainty regarding the Naga3 project, with the potential for delays in the targeted opening date of September 2029 [1] - Overall gaming revenue is expected to grow by 32% this year and 10% next year [1]
澳博控股(00880):份额/EBITDAMargin下滑,下调至持有
HTSC· 2025-09-02 07:17
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company has been downgraded to "Hold" from "Buy" [1][10][11] Core Views - The target price has been adjusted to HKD 3.00, up from HKD 2.60, reflecting a valuation based on an EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.8x for 2026 [10][11] - The company's market share in the first half of 2025 reached 12.9%, a slight increase from 12.5% in the first half of 2024, but a decrease from 13.5% in the first quarter of 2025 [6][10] - The adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2025 was HKD 690 million, a year-on-year decrease of 21% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 28% [6][10] Financial Performance - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: HKD 28,769 million - 2025E: HKD 31,184 million (up 8.39% from 2024) - 2026E: HKD 32,248 million (up 3.41% from 2025) - 2027E: HKD 33,247 million (up 3.10% from 2026) [5] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected as follows: - 2024: HKD 3.20 million - 2025E: HKD 810.26 million (up 25,221% from 2024) - 2026E: HKD 1,122 million (up 38.46% from 2025) - 2027E: HKD 1,373 million (up 22.37% from 2026) [5] - The company's EBITDA margin for the second quarter of 2025 was 9.6%, down from 12.8% in the first quarter of 2025 [6][10] Market Analysis - The company's GGR (Gross Gaming Revenue) for the second quarter of 2025 was HKD 7.27 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4% [7][10] - The VIP segment's revenue was HKD 460 million, down 14% year-on-year and 28% quarter-on-quarter, indicating a recovery to only 13% of the levels seen in the second quarter of 2019 [7][10] - The mass market segment generated HKD 6.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2% [7][10] Strategic Developments - The company is actively developing non-gaming businesses, including hosting various sports events and expanding its high-end dining options [9][10] - The company plans to end operations at several satellite casinos by the end of 2025, with some properties potentially being integrated into new gaming areas [8][10]
大行评级|摩根大通:预计澳门博彩强劲势头持续 首选银河娱乐及美高梅中国
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-02 03:43
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue (GGR) reached a post-pandemic high in August, growing 12% year-on-year to MOP 22.2 billion, aligning with market expectations [1] - Compared to pre-pandemic levels, August's gaming revenue has recovered to 91% of the figures [1] - The report suggests that the performance in August reflects a turning point for the Macau gaming industry, driven by wealth effects and ample liquidity in the Hong Kong market [1] Group 2 - The company anticipates that the strong momentum will continue for some time, projecting a year-on-year growth of 15% in gaming revenue and 21% in EBITDA for the first quarter of next year [1] - In terms of stock recommendations, the company prefers Galaxy Entertainment and MGM China, with target prices set at HKD 54 and HKD 23 respectively [1] - Sands China is the second choice with a target price of HKD 24.5, all rated as "buy," while Melco International Development is rated as "sell" with a target price of HKD 4.5 [1]
港股异动丨濠赌股普涨 澳门8月博彩毛收入同比增12.2%,略超预期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 02:21
Core Viewpoint - The Macau gaming sector shows strong performance with record monthly gross gaming revenue and increased tourist arrivals, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [1] Group 1: Gaming Revenue - Macau's gross gaming revenue for August reached 22.16 billion MOP, marking a new monthly high for the year, with a month-on-month increase of 0.14% and a year-on-year increase of 12.2% [1] - From January to August, the total gross gaming revenue amounted to 163.05 billion MOP, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.2% [1] Group 2: Tourist Arrivals - The Macau Public Security Police reported that the number of inbound tourists during the summer of 2025 (July to August) reached 7.68 million, averaging 123,000 visitors per day, which is a year-on-year increase of 15.2% [1] Group 3: Stock Performance - Major gaming stocks in Hong Kong saw gains, with SJM Holdings up 2.40%, Galaxy Entertainment up 2.14%, and Sands China up 1.29% among others [1]
高盛:升澳博控股(00880)目标价至3.1港元 维持“中性”评级
智通财经网· 2025-09-01 11:26
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports a significant decline in EBITDA for Austar Holdings (00880) in Q2, dropping 28% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 688 million, primarily due to a decrease in VIP win rate to 2.4% [1] Financial Performance - Adjusting for a theoretical win rate of 3.3%, EBITDA's quarter-on-quarter decline narrows to 13%, amounting to HKD 802 million, aligning with prior expectations but still significantly below market expectations of HKD 800 million to HKD 1.05 billion [1] - The forecast for Austar's EBITDA from 2025 to 2027 has been revised down by 12% to an increase of 2% [1] Target Price and Rating - The target price for Austar has been raised from HKD 2.7 to HKD 3.1, while maintaining a "Neutral" rating [1]
永利澳门根据股份计划发行5万股
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 11:04
永利澳门(01128)发布公告,于2025年9月1日,该公司就根据股份计划授予参与人(发行人的董事除外)的 股份奖励或期权而发行5万股。 ...
澳门8月份幸运博彩毛收入221.56亿澳门元 同比升12.2%
智通财经网· 2025-09-01 05:49
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Macau's gaming revenue has shown a positive trend, with August 2023 gross gaming revenue reaching 22.156 billion MOP, a year-on-year increase of 12.2% [1][2] - For the first eight months of 2023, the cumulative gross gaming revenue in Macau reached 163.052 billion MOP, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.2% [1][2] Group 2 - Monthly gross gaming revenue for August 2023 was 22.156 billion MOP, compared to 19.754 billion MOP in August 2022, indicating a significant increase [2] - The cumulative gross gaming revenue for the first eight months of 2023 was 163.052 billion MOP, up from 152.102 billion MOP in the same period of 2022, showing a steady growth trend [2]
港股异动丨新濠国际发展大涨超14%领衔濠赌赌股上涨
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-01 03:15
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant increase in the stock price of Melco International Development, which rose over 14%, leading the gains in Macau gaming stocks [1] - Melco International Development reported a net revenue of HKD 19.965 billion for the six months ending June 30, 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.38% [1] - The company achieved a profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 351 million, marking a turnaround from a loss in the previous year, with basic earnings per share of HKD 0.18 [1] Group 2 - The Macau hotel and tourism industry anticipates a boost in tourism due to upcoming major events such as the National Day Golden Week, the 15th National Games, and the Grand Prix, which are expected to drive visitor numbers close to 2019 levels [1] - Analysts suggest that the concentration of large events in Macau during the second half of the year will directly enhance tourist volume and stimulate gaming demand, providing fundamental support for gaming stocks [1]
大行评级|花旗:上调澳博控股目标价至2.8港元 仍维持“沽售”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-01 02:38
该行将澳博2026年至27年的盈测上调34%至50%,目标价由2.3港元上调至2.8港元;由于预期市场份额 难以在短期恢复,维持"沽售"评级。另外,澳博收购凯旋门娱乐场及十六浦娱乐场将不可避免地提高其 负债比率,意味着短期内恢复派息机会不大。 花旗发表研究报告指,看好澳博控股向控股股东澳娱收购葡京酒店内约7504平方米楼面面积,作价5.29 亿港元,该空间将转换为新的游戏区。该行预计,将有超过110张赌桌从关闭的卫星赌场重新部署到这 个额外的游戏空间,相信这些赌桌将录得更高EBITDA。 ...