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Prediction: Upstart Stock Is Going to Double by the End of 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-17 22:33
Core Insights - Upstart Holdings is challenging the traditional FICO credit scoring system, which has been used for over 30 years, by offering a more comprehensive AI-driven alternative that analyzes over 2,500 data points for each loan applicant [1][2] Group 1: Company Overview - Upstart has developed an AI algorithm that provides a better assessment of an applicant's ability to repay loans, which is licensed to various banks and lenders [2] - The company has seen significant growth, with a 62% decline in stock price over the past year attributed to investor concerns about an AI bubble, yet it remains one of the few profitable pure-play AI companies [3] Group 2: Performance Metrics - In Q4 2025, Upstart's algorithm autonomously handled 91% of loan applications, significantly speeding up the approval process compared to traditional methods [5] - The company originated 455,788 loans in Q4 2025, marking an 86% increase year-over-year, with unsecured personal loans making up $2.9 billion of the total $3.2 billion in originations [6] Group 3: Growth Potential - Upstart's car and home equity line of credit segments grew fivefold in the same quarter, indicating potential for future revenue contributions despite currently being smaller segments [7] - Continuous improvements to the AI models are being made, enhancing accuracy and reducing default rates, which is expected to attract more banks and lenders [8]
Earnings Preview: Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (CGBD) Q4 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2026-02-17 16:02
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (CGBD) despite higher revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show quarterly earnings of $0.38 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 19.2%, while revenues are projected to be $45.58 million, an increase of 16.2% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts have not significantly altered their initial projections [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Most Accurate Estimate for Carlyle Secured Lending is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.60%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Carlyle Secured Lending was expected to post earnings of $0.39 per share but delivered $0.38, resulting in a surprise of -2.56%. Over the last four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [12][13]. Investment Considerations - While the company does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance beyond earnings results [16].
Upstart Announces Cash Line, Bringing Always-On Credit to Millions of Americans
Businesswire· 2026-02-17 15:45
Core Viewpoint - Upstart has launched Cash Line, a new revolving line of credit aimed at providing consumers with continuous access to funds as needed, marking a significant advancement in their offerings [1] Group 1: Product Launch - Cash Line is described as a breakthrough product that enhances Upstart's portfolio of credit solutions [1] - The product aims to create an "always-on" credit experience for consumers across the United States [1] Group 2: Company Vision - Upstart's CEO, Dave Girouard, emphasized the company's goal of becoming a comprehensive platform for various credit options, ensuring the best rates are available around the clock [1]
Upstart Announces Cash Line, Bringing Always-On Credit to Millions of Americans
Businesswire· 2026-02-17 15:45
Core Viewpoint - Upstart has launched Cash Line, a new revolving line of credit aimed at providing consumers with continuous access to funds as needed, marking a significant advancement in their offerings [1] Company Developments - Cash Line is described as a major step towards providing "always-on credit" for all Americans, according to Upstart's co-founder and CEO, Dave Girouard [1] - The company is focused on creating a comprehensive platform for various types of credit, ensuring that consumers have access to the best rates around the clock [1]
68% Gap Opens Between Upstart (UPST) Price and Wall Street Targets After Earnings Selloff
247Wallst· 2026-02-16 19:22
Core Insights - Upstart (UPST) experienced a significant stock decline of 19.77% in one week, despite beating revenue estimates and returning to profitability after a $129 million loss in 2024 [1] - Analysts project a 68% upside for Upstart, with a target price of $51.67, based on a 35% growth target through 2028 [1] Financial Performance - Upstart reported Q4 revenue of $296.09 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $294.45 million [1] - Full-year revenue increased by 64% to over $1 billion, with loan originations surging by 86% [1] - The company returned to profitability with a net income of $53.6 million for 2025, following a loss of $129 million in 2024 [1] Leadership and Guidance Changes - Co-founder Paul Gu will replace the current CEO on May 1, 2026, which has raised concerns among investors [1] - The company is shifting from quarterly guidance to annual targets, aiming for long-term execution rather than short-term forecasting [1] - Weaker-than-expected margin guidance for 2026 was provided, attributed to a shift towards secured products like auto and home loans [1] Analyst Sentiment - The consensus price target of $51.67 indicates a bullish outlook from analysts, with ratings including 3 Strong Buys, 5 Buys, 6 Holds, and 2 Sells from 16 analysts [1] - Goldman Sachs upgraded its rating from Sell to Neutral, acknowledging a more balanced risk-reward profile [1] Market Context - Upstart's stock has dropped 33.95% over the past month, while the broader market has remained relatively stable [1] - The stock is currently trading at 68 times trailing earnings, reflecting market skepticism about near-term profitability [1] Future Considerations - Investors will focus on the new CEO's ability to meet the 35% growth target and whether margin compression is temporary [2] - The leadership transition and shift to annual guidance introduce execution uncertainty that the market will closely monitor [1]
Publicly Traded Blockchain Lender Figure Confirms Customer Data Breach
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-14 00:04
Core Insights - Figure Technology confirmed a customer data breach due to a social engineering attack targeting an employee, with the hacking group ShinyHunters claiming responsibility and publishing 2.5 gigabytes of stolen data [1][2] Company Overview - Founded in 2018, Figure is a New York-based lender that operates its loan platform on the Provenance blockchain, focusing on home equity lines of credit [4] - The company went public in September 2025, raising $787.5 million in an IPO that valued it at approximately $5.3 billion [4] Incident Details - The breach involved an employee being manipulated into downloading files, which included sensitive customer information such as full names, home addresses, dates of birth, and phone numbers [1][2] - Figure stated that it acted quickly to block the activity and engaged a forensic firm to investigate the affected files [2] Industry Context - A report by Chainalysis indicated that over $17 billion in cryptocurrency was stolen in 2025 through AI-powered impersonation scams, highlighting the growing threat of such attacks [3] - Data breaches were prevalent in 2025, with over 8,000 notification filings related to more than 4,000 incidents affecting at least 374 million individuals [3] Response and Future Actions - Figure is communicating with partners and impacted parties while implementing additional safeguards, including offering complimentary credit monitoring to affected individuals [5] - The company announced a proposed secondary public offering of up to 4,230,000 shares of its Series A Blockchain Common Stock and plans to repurchase up to $30 million of Class A shares from underwriters [5] Stock Performance - Following the breach announcement, Figure's stock rose by 3.57% to a price of $35.29, although it has experienced a 37% decline over the past month [6]
X @Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph· 2026-02-13 21:30
RT MSB Intel (@MSBIntel)🚨 JUST IN: CRYPTO LENDER 'FIGURE' HIT BY DATA BREACH. NAMES, ADDRESSES & PHONE NUMBERS EXPOSED.SOURCE: TECHCRUNCH https://t.co/YOJfVbkmAv ...
A $3 Billion Credit Giant Is Testing Bitcoin in the Mortgage System — Here’s How
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-13 16:00
A US-based structured-credit firm is pushing TradFi boundaries by integrating crypto into real-world lending. Newmarket Capital, managing nearly $3 billion in assets, is pioneering hybrid mortgage and commercial loans that leverage Bitcoin (BTC) alongside conventional real estate as collateral. Its affiliate, Battery Finance, is leading the charge in creating financial structures that leverage digital assets to support credit without requiring borrowers to liquidate holdings. Bitcoin to Reshape Mortgages ...
Sancus shares surge 53% as lender secures £300m funding extension
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-12 09:30
Sancus shares surge 53% as lender secures £300m funding extension Proactive uses images sourced from Shutterstock Sancus Lending Group Limited shares jumped 53% to 1.38p after the AIM-listed specialist property lender agreed to increase and extend its credit facility with Pollen Street Capital. Sancus said it had entered into definitive legal agreements to expand the size of the facility from £200 million to £300 million and extend its maturity so that it will fall due no earlier than 11 February 2031. ...
Getting $5,000 Could Be Easier Than You Think
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-11 16:01
Core Insights - The article emphasizes that obtaining a personal loan of $5,000 is feasible for many individuals, even those with less-than-perfect credit scores, by utilizing platforms like AmONE that connect borrowers with multiple lenders [2][4]. Group 1: Loan Approval Factors - Lenders primarily assess two aspects before approving a loan: the willingness and ability to repay, which starts with the borrower's credit profile [4]. - Credit scores are important, but lenders also consider the debt-to-income ratio (DTI), which measures the percentage of monthly income that goes toward existing debts [6]. - A DTI below 40% to 45% is generally preferred by lenders, although some may accept higher ratios depending on the borrower's credit and income stability [6]. Group 2: Benefits of Using AmONE - AmONE's matching tool allows borrowers to compare multiple loan offers side by side, providing clarity on qualification and rates without affecting credit scores [5][7]. - The platform takes into account both credit scores and income, which can help borrowers with steady employment secure loans even with weaker credit [7]. Group 3: Loan Costs - Monthly payments for loans depend on interest rates, loan terms, and fees, with a $5,000 loan at 8% costing approximately $156 per month, while the same loan at 28% could exceed $210 per month [10]. - AmONE offers personalized loan options starting as low as 6.49% APR, allowing borrowers to find the best fit before applying [8].