United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS ) stock is down in the dumps, down about 30% year-to-date, even when including dividends. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 Index ( SPX ) has gained around 12% so far this year. ThisI objectively search for undervalued stocks of any size across a wide variety of industries using quantitative methods that I've thoroughly backtested for success. I believe the numbers are more important than the story (most of the time), as they tend to paint a more realistic picture of the company’s pros ...

So you cut your price target down to 240. The stock trades at about 226 right now. So you're not seeing a lot of upside movement.You also cut to neutral on your rating. What happened. Uh the stock hasn't moved a lot in the last 3 months, but why now.>> Well, it Good morning, Frank. Uh thanks for having me. And you're right.Uh this change of dimminimus, which went into effect in May for China and Hong Kong, went to the rest of the world at the end of August. And that's going to be a big issue for FedEx. We'r ...

The Fed has lowered its benchmark interest rate and two more rate cuts may follow before year-end. gettyStock prices had mixed results in trading Wednesday as investors digested the Fed’s decision to lower interest rates by 0.25 percentage points. It was the first rate reduction of 2025. The large-cap S&P 500 index fell less than 0.1% while the technology-focused Nasdaq Composite fell 0.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, focused on blue-chip stocks, rose 0.5%. The market had anticipated the quarter-point ...

A FedEx delivery in San Francisco. FedEx Corp.’s earnings on Thursday are likely to provide some clues about how much further the stock market rally can go after its latest record run, at least according to the stock market thesis called the Dow Theory. Coined around the turn of the 20th century by Charles Dow, who invented the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow Jones Transportation Average, the Dow Theory states that a move by the industrials index must be confirmed by the transportation index, or ...

Group 1 - United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) has been downgraded from Hold to Sell by Bank of America Securities, with a price target reduction from $91 to $83 [1][2] - The downgrade is attributed to increased pressure on UPS's volume and costs due to the end of US de minimis exemptions, which is expected to impact air shipment volumes during the 2025 peak season [2] - The International Priority and Economy packages constitute 16% of UPS's revenue, and the removal of the de minimis exemption is anticipated to negatively affect the company's earnings [2] Group 2 - The analyst has revised the earnings per share (EPS) estimates for UPS, cutting Q3, 2025, and 2026 EPS estimates by 6%, 3%, and 4% respectively [2] - While UPS is recognized for its logistics and package delivery services across more than 200 countries, certain AI stocks are suggested to offer greater upside potential with less downside risk [3]

Insider Buying Trends - Insider buying has been below normal in 13 of the past 15 months, with August showing only 26% of purchases compared to sales [3] - Historically, the highest ratio of buys to sells was 2.01 in October 2008 during the Great Recession, indicating that insider buying can signal future recovery [4] Eastman Chemical - Eastman Chemical Co. (EMN) executives, including CEO Mark Costa and CFO McLain William Thomas Jr., made significant purchases of shares on August 27, totaling approximately $502,000 and $252,000 respectively [5] - The stock has fallen 24% this year, impacted by high tariffs on imported materials, yet it has shown profitability for over 30 years [6] - Current valuation is attractive, trading at about nine times earnings and less than one times revenue, suggesting potential for recovery [6] Eli Lilly - Eight executives at Eli Lilly (LLY) bought shares in August, including CEO David Ricks and CFO Lucas Montarce, who spent over $1 million and nearly $495,000 respectively [7] - The stock price has decreased from a high of $942 to around $755, but it trades at a high valuation of 49 times recent earnings and over 12 times revenue, indicating it may be overvalued [8] United Parcel Service - United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) shares have dropped more than 31% this year, with CEO Carol Tome purchasing over $1 million in August [9] - Despite competitive pressures, UPS maintains a strong return on equity of over 34% and trades for less than 13 times earnings, suggesting potential for future gains [10] First Citizens BancShares - At First Citizens BancShares Inc. (FCNCA), CEO Frank Holding Jr. invested over $1 million in August, alongside four other insiders [11] - The bank has shown improving profits and has consistently achieved a return on assets of 1.0% or better, with the stock trading at a reasonable valuation of 12 times recent earnings [12] Performance of Insider Buying Stocks - Stocks recommended based on insider buying have returned an average of 8.9% over 12 months, underperforming the S&P 500 Total Return Index by 1.8 percentage points [13] - Stocks to avoid despite insider buying have lagged the index by 24 percentage points, while those with ambiguous comments on insider buying have outperformed the index by 14.2 percentage points [14]

Group 1 - The current market presents an opportunity for long-term investors to buy quality stocks at decent prices, particularly those that may not be performing well in the short term but have strong fundamentals [1][2] - Three stocks identified as potentially undervalued are Vertex Pharmaceuticals, United Parcel Service (UPS), and Comcast [2] Group 2 - Vertex Pharmaceuticals has experienced a 2% decline in value this year, with a growth rate of 7% to $5.7 billion in the first half of the year, primarily driven by its cystic fibrosis business [4] - The company has promising long-term growth opportunities, including the rollout of Casgevy for rare blood disorders and the approval of Journavx for pain management, along with access to povetacicept from its acquisition of Alpine Immune Sciences [5][6] - Vertex's stock is trading at a forward P/E of 20, compared to the S&P 500 average of 24, indicating it may be a bargain for long-term investors [6] Group 3 - United Parcel Service (UPS) has seen its stock fall over 30% this year due to a controversial decision to cut shipments with Amazon by 50% to improve profitability [7][9] - Despite recent struggles, UPS's long-term prospects remain promising, and the decision may lead to better margins in the future [9]

Market Trends - BofA cuts on De Minimis Exemption End leading to UPS and FedEx fall [1]

Core Insights - United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is recognized as one of the best freight stocks to invest in, despite recent revenue declines and an adjusted EPS miss [1] - The company reported a 0.8% decline in revenue in the U.S. Domestic Segment and a 2.6% drop in the International Segment, with adjusted EPS of $1.55 falling short of the $1.57 analysts expected [2] - UPS's Director, Christiana Smith Shi, purchased 500 shares valued at $44,080, signaling confidence in the company amidst mixed analyst opinions [3] - The company has an upside potential of 17.59% and is supported by 53 hedge funds holding stakes, indicating strong institutional interest [4] - Founded in 1907 and headquartered in Georgia, UPS is one of the largest global logistics and package delivery companies, offering a wide range of services [5]

UPS shares have been pummeled, losing more than a third of their value this year, amid an upheaval in global trade. Bank of America says its time to sell. https://t.co/ZaMWp3PEUw ...