近日，证监会发布《关于修改〈证券期货行政执法当事人承诺制度实施规定〉的决定》，对《证券期货 行政执法当事人承诺制度实施规定》进行了修改完善，自2026年2月1日起施行。 此外，决定还完善了办理程序、加强了对当事人的诚信约束等。 来源：新华网 决定完善受理条件，规定有下列情形之一的，中国证监会对适用行政执法当事人承诺的申请不予受理： 当事人拒绝、阻碍中国证监会或其派出机构依法对其涉嫌违法行为进行调查；当事人缺乏交纳承诺金的 能力；当事人被列入证券期货市场严重失信主体名单且未修复；当事人曾因涉嫌证券期货违法行为适用 行政执法当事人承诺制度，自承诺认可协议履行完毕之日起未逾1年；中国证监会基于审慎监管原则认 为不适用行政执法当事人承诺制度的其他情形。 编辑：吴迪 校对：刘蕴娇 审核：金崇无 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the current state of credit bond issuance and maturity in China, indicating a decrease in issuance and a mixed performance in net financing across different types of bonds [4][5]. Group 1: Credit Bond Issuance and Maturity - As of December 31, 2025, the total outstanding credit bond balance in China is 31.29 trillion yuan. In December 2025, a total of 1,089.23 billion yuan in credit bonds was issued, representing a month-on-month decrease of 17.19%. The total repayment amount was 912.56 billion yuan, resulting in a net financing of 176.67 billion yuan [4]. - The outstanding balance of local government financing bonds (城投债) is 15.37 trillion yuan. In December 2025, the issuance of local government bonds reached 371.72 billion yuan, which is a month-on-month decrease of 9.19% and a year-on-year decrease of 22.55%. The net financing amount for local government entities was 44.42 billion yuan [4]. - The outstanding balance of industrial bonds (产业债) is 15.92 trillion yuan. In December 2025, the issuance of industrial bonds was 717.52 billion yuan, showing a month-on-month decrease of 20.8% but a year-on-year increase of 22.17%. The net financing for industrial entities was 132.25 billion yuan [4]. Group 2: Credit Bond Transactions and Spreads - In December 2025, the transaction volume of local government bonds was 1,101.40 billion yuan, showing a month-on-month increase but a year-on-year decrease. The turnover rate for local government bonds was 7.17% [5]. - The transaction volume of industrial bonds in December 2025 was 1,473.46 billion yuan, with both month-on-month and year-on-year increases. The turnover rate for industrial bonds was 9.23% [5]. - The credit spreads for local government bonds across various ratings widened compared to the previous month, indicating increased risk perception. Similarly, the credit spreads for industrial bonds also widened across all ratings [5].

● 本报记者 昝秀丽 《公开募集证券投资基金销售费用管理规定》1月1日起正式施行、修改后的《证券期货行政执法当事人 承诺制度实施规定》2月1日起施行、上市公司董秘监管规则公开征求意见……2026年开年，一系列资本 市场关键制度持续升级，释放出深化改革的强烈信号。 市场人士预期，2026年资本市场改革将进一步全面深化，包括服务发展新质生产力、助力长钱长投、全 链条织密投保"安全网"等在内的一系列改革有望加快推进。 助力企业向"新"而行 赋能新质生产力，支撑科技强国战略，是2026年资本市场改革的着力点之一。 市场人士认为，下阶段，资本市场改革应聚焦提升对科技创新企业的包容性和支持力度，增强资本市场 基础功能与科技产业发展的适配性，完善投融资市场生态，以更好促进科技、产业与资本的良性循环。 提升资本市场制度的包容度与吸引力是关键一环。粤开证券首席经济学家、研究院院长罗志恒建议，完 善科创企业精准识别机制，丰富评价维度，为突破关键核心技术的"硬科技"企业开辟IPO绿色通道。特 别是，要发挥出科创板改革"试验田"的作用，优化"科创成长层"各项制度，把IPO"预先审阅机制"、存 量股"询价转让制度"等推广向更多板块，同 ...

光大证券研究所 祝您2026元旦快乐 光大 证券 EVEBRIGHT SECURITIES 1 点击上方"光大证券研究"可以订阅哦 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent approval of 18 brokerages for non-financial corporate debt financing tool underwriting qualifications marks a significant step in the development of China's bond market, enhancing the service quality for the real economy and increasing direct financing's share [1][5]. Group 1: Qualification Expansion - 18 brokerages have been approved, forming a clear three-tier business structure, reflecting regulatory precision in managing bond underwriting [2][3]. - Six brokerages, including Caitong Securities and Huatai United, have obtained general lead underwriter qualifications, allowing them to independently lead various debt financing products [2][3]. - One brokerage, Zhongyin Securities, has secured a special lead underwriter qualification focused on technology innovation debt financing tools, benefiting from policy support [3][5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The entry of these 18 brokerages is expected to disrupt the existing market structure, which has been dominated by large banks and a few leading brokerages, where brokerages previously held less than 30% of the lead underwriting qualifications in the interbank market [5][6]. - The new qualifications enable brokerages to independently participate in the interbank market, previously requiring collaboration with banks, thus allowing them to retain a larger share of underwriting fees [5][6]. Group 3: Business Opportunities - The qualification expansion provides brokerages with broader opportunities in fixed income business, allowing them to build a full-chain service capability from issuance to trading and market-making [7]. - The diverse range of non-financial corporate debt financing tools, including short-term financing bonds and medium-term notes, complements the existing products in the exchange market, enhancing the overall bond service system [7][8]. - The competition in the bond underwriting market is expected to intensify, leading to a more reasonable underwriting fee structure and providing issuers with more options [8]. Group 4: Future Implications - Leading brokerages with strong capital and risk control systems are likely to dominate high-quality projects, while smaller brokerages may need to adopt differentiated strategies to survive [8]. - The approval of qualifications is not a permanent solution; ongoing regulatory oversight will require brokerages to enhance their risk management and pricing capabilities to capitalize on the benefits of their new qualifications [8].

记者丨 崔文静 编辑丨巫燕玲 当前，我国正加速迈向"金融强国"的新征程。作为资本市场的核心中介与关键枢纽，证券行业 被赋予更高期望：不仅要更高效地服务实体经济，还要在全球金融舞台上争取更大话语权。如 何平衡"立足本土"与"竞逐全球"这双重使命，成为券业发展的重要议题。 近日，21世纪经济报道记者专访了中金公司党委副书记、副董事长、总裁王曙光。他明确指 出， 服务国内实体经济与争夺全球金融定价权是"双向赋能"、协同共进的关系。唯有深耕本 土，才能锻造国际竞争的核心能力；同时，只有争取全球定价权，才能反哺国内高质量发展。 面向更宏伟的全球愿景，王曙光认为，中国投行跻身国际一流投行的当务之急在于"锻内功、 转思维"，转向价值创造，全力弥补在深度研究、协同服务、全球风控与高端人才等方面的关 键短板。 尤为值得关注的是，在王曙光看来，中国投行对全球金融秩序更深层次的贡献，并非简单的定 价权争夺，而在于将中国市场实践中形成的、强调金融与实体经济深度融合的"赋能型"发展范 式，以开放合作的姿态贡献于世界，推动全球金融治理体系朝着更加包容、均衡和可持续的方 向演进。这一系列判断，为理解中国券商在新时代的战略定位与转型方向提供 ...

Group 1: Bond Market Issuance - In November, the bond market issued a total of 70,179.3 billion yuan, including 10,444.2 billion yuan in government bonds, 9,126.9 billion yuan in local government bonds, 11,955.0 billion yuan in financial bonds, 13,948.8 billion yuan in corporate credit bonds, 327.2 billion yuan in credit asset-backed securities, and 24,009.2 billion yuan in interbank certificates of deposit [1] Group 2: Bond Market Operation - In November, the interbank bond market had a total transaction volume of 30.5 trillion yuan, with an average daily transaction of 1.5 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.6% and a month-on-month increase of 3.2% [2] - The exchange bond market recorded a transaction volume of 3.8 trillion yuan, with an average daily transaction of 188.7 billion yuan [2] Group 3: Foreign Participation in Bond Market - As of the end of November, the custody balance of foreign institutions in the Chinese bond market was 3.6 trillion yuan, accounting for 1.9% of the total custody balance [3] - Foreign institutions held 2.0 trillion yuan in government bonds, representing 56.2% of their total holdings [3] Group 4: Money Market Operation - In November, the interbank lending market had a transaction volume of 7.4 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.3% but a month-on-month increase of 9.6% [4] - The weighted average interest rate for interbank lending was 1.42%, up by 2.5 basis points month-on-month [4] Group 5: Bill Market Operation - In November, the acceptance amount of commercial bills was 4.0 trillion yuan, while the discount amount was 3.1 trillion yuan [5] - Small and micro enterprises accounted for 93.5% of all bill issuers, with a total bill issuance amount of 3.0 trillion yuan [5] Group 6: Stock Market Operation - By the end of November, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,888.6 points, a decrease of 66.2 points or 1.7% [6] - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai market was 808.05 billion yuan, a month-on-month decrease of 16.0% [6] Group 7: Holder Structure in Interbank Bond Market - As of the end of November, there were 3,987 institutional members in the interbank bond market, all of which were financial institutions [8] - The top 50 investors in corporate credit bonds held 53.4% of the total bonds, primarily concentrated among state-owned commercial banks, public funds, and insurance financial institutions [8]

Macroeconomic Insights - China's economic growth is characterized by a shift from a single focus on growth rate to a more balanced and stable economic structure, with significant contributions from domestic consumption [2] - The resilience of exports has exceeded expectations despite external tariff pressures, indicating a robust adaptability of China's economic fundamentals [2] - The "anti-involution" policies are positively impacting the midstream manufacturing sector, leading to a revaluation of value driven by deeper industrial structure changes [2] Bond Market Analysis - The 10-year government bond yield is experiencing narrow fluctuations, with a range of approximately 30 basis points, reflecting a complex interplay of market forces [3] - The narrative in the bond market has shifted from linear macroeconomic projections to a focus on event impacts, policy expectations, and institutional behaviors [3] - Chinese bonds are becoming increasingly attractive to global investors, offering stable returns and low correlation, positioning them as a potential "stability anchor" in global portfolios [4] Artificial Intelligence Sector - The AI sector is transitioning from a "technology race" to a practical "value realization" phase, with rapid industry expansion and a shift in investment focus from infrastructure to application layers [5] - The structure of the AI industry is expected to resemble an inverted pyramid, with increasing market size driven by applications, models, and chips [5] - Companies with a growing share of AI revenue are likely to attract more capital market attention, leading to potential valuation increases [5] Commodity Market Trends - The commodity market is undergoing a significant value reassessment, with a clear divide in performance between traditional cyclical products and sectors like precious and non-ferrous metals [7] - Analysts predict that the structural differentiation in the commodity market will continue, driven by supply reshaping, policy adjustments, and enhanced financial attributes [7] - Non-ferrous metals are widely regarded as having the most significant upside potential in the upcoming market landscape [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the competitive landscape of IPO underwriting in the A-share market, with leading brokerages solidifying their positions while smaller firms carve out niches in specific segments [1] - The top five brokerages accounted for 64 IPO projects, representing approximately 50% of the total market underwriting volume [1] - The dual innovation board has become a key platform for financing technology and emerging industries, raising a total of 633.71 billion yuan, nearly half of the annual IPO fundraising total [3] Group 2 - In the 2025 IPO underwriting rankings, the top five brokerages were Guotai Junan (19 projects), CITIC Securities (17), CITIC Jianzhong (12), China Merchants Securities (10), and Huatai United (0) [2] - CITIC Securities led the Sci-Tech Innovation Board with an underwriting scale of 168.95 billion yuan and a market share of 44.64%, driven by high-profile technology companies [3][4] - The top five brokerages for the ChiNext IPO underwriting included Guotai Junan and China Merchants Securities, with CITIC Securities, Shenwan Hongyuan, and CICC following closely [4][6] Group 3 - The Beijing Stock Exchange continues to focus on serving innovative small and medium-sized enterprises, with the top underwriters being China Merchants Securities, Huatai United, Dongfang Securities, Guotai Junan, and Guojin Securities [7] - The 2025 evaluation results from the China Securities Association showed that 12 brokerages received an A rating, with five firms maintaining this rating for two consecutive years, indicating stable business quality management [8] - The regulatory environment remains stringent, with a notable shift in the quality evaluation system reflecting ongoing optimization and a strong compliance focus in the securities industry [8] Group 4 - Looking ahead to 2026, the IPO market is expected to remain active, with a structural optimization characterized by stable volume and improved quality, particularly in hard technology sectors [9] - Key industries such as semiconductors, artificial intelligence, quantum computing, commercial aerospace, and biomedicine are anticipated to see an increase in the number of listed hard technology companies [9] - Brokerages will continue to focus on supporting technological innovation and industrial upgrades, intensifying competition between leading firms and niche players [9]

而白银方面，中信建投证券在上周的研报中就已经提示"白银的波动率指数处于历史极大值，要警惕超 买后的回调风险"。道明证券的大宗商品分析师在其2026年展望中写道，他们预计白银价格在未来一年 将放缓至40美元左右。 来源 | 央视财经、中国基金报、21世纪经济报道、河南日报 受美国芝商所昨天开始上调金属期货履约保证金等因素影响，大量投资者赶在新规生效前卖出。29日， 国际贵金属价格经历大幅下跌；30日，国际黄金、白银价格出现反弹。 截至北京时间12月30日晚上7点30分，纽商所明年3月交割的白银期货价格报每盎司74.42美元，涨幅达 5.62%；纽商所明年2月交割的黄金期货价格报每盎司4402.1美元，涨幅达1.35%。此外，国际铜价也出 现反弹，纽商所明年3月交割的铜期货价格报每磅5.6945美元，涨幅达2.30%。 | | ■金金 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | 年初至今 | | COMEX白银 | 75.965 d | 5.505 | 7.81% | 159.35% | | NYMEX铂 | 2260.0d | ...