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Steel Dynamics targets 75% aluminum utilization exit rate for 2026 as Sinton and fabrication operations drive record shipments (NASDAQ:STLD)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-21 18:45
Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content related to a company or industry [1]
Trade Tracker: Jim Lebenthal buys more Cleveland-Cliffs
CNBC Television· 2025-10-21 18:28
Company Performance & Outlook - Cleveland Cliffs' narrative is shifting from a company with a highly levered balance sheet to one with improving prospects [3] - EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) came in better than expected [10] - The company anticipates continued tariffs due to national security concerns [11] Demand & Contracts - Auto demand is picking up, representing one-third of Cleveland Cliffs' business [4] - The company has signed favorable contracts with major OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers) for the next two to three years [4] - Cleveland Cliffs has signed a memorandum of understanding with an international steel company to leverage idle assets [5] Government & Strategic Initiatives - The company received a $400 million order from the Department of War for grain-oriented electrical steel for a national strategic stockpile [11][12] Stock Analysis - Wells Fargo downgraded the stock to underweight due to "excess exuberance" [2] - The 200-day moving average is trending upwards, and the 50-day is soaring [6] - The recent stock drop is viewed as filling a gap that formed previously [7]
Trade Tracker: Jim Lebenthal buys more Cleveland-Cliffs
Youtube· 2025-10-21 18:28
Core Viewpoint - The narrative surrounding Cleveland Cliffs is shifting, with a focus on improving auto demand and strategic partnerships rather than solely on rare earths [3][4]. Company Developments - Cleveland Cliffs has signed contracts with major OEMs for favorable pricing over the next two to three years, indicating a positive outlook for auto production, which constitutes one-third of their business [4]. - The company has entered a memorandum of understanding with an international steel company to leverage idle assets, which is seen as a significant development despite differing opinions on its impact [5]. - A recent order from the Department of War for $400 million of grain-oriented electrical steel is aimed at building a national strategic stockpile, highlighting the company's role in national security [11][12]. Financial Performance - Despite the stock experiencing a downturn, the company's EBITDA came in better than expected, suggesting underlying profitability even amidst negative gross margins [10]. - The stock's technical indicators, such as the 200-day moving average, are showing positive trends, indicating potential for recovery [6][7]. Market Sentiment - The stock was downgraded to underweight by Wells Fargo, citing excess exuberance, but there is a contrasting view that the current price presents a buying opportunity [2][3][7].
Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) Hits New All-Time High as Firm Sets Sights on Rare Earth Mining
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-21 16:55
Core Viewpoint - Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. is experiencing significant stock performance improvements due to its strategic shift towards rare earth mining, aligning with national goals for critical material independence [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock reached a new 52-week high of $16.7 during intra-day trading, ultimately closing up by 21.47% at $16.18 [2]. - This performance marked the end of a three-day losing streak for the company [1]. Group 2: Business Strategy - Cleveland-Cliffs has officially initiated efforts to diversify from steelmaking into rare earth mining, exploring potential mining sites in Michigan and Minnesota [2][4]. - The CEO emphasized the importance of reducing reliance on foreign nations for essential minerals, positioning Cleveland-Cliffs as part of the solution for American manufacturing [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance - In the third quarter, the company reported a net loss attributable to shareholders of $251 million, a 2.87% increase from $244 million in the same period last year [4]. - Revenues increased by 2.8% year-on-year, reaching $4.7 billion compared to $4.57 billion [4].
STLD's Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Record Steel Shipments
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 16:46
Core Insights - Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) reported third-quarter 2025 earnings of $2.74 per share, an increase from $2.05 in the same quarter last year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.66 [1][9] - Net sales for the quarter reached $4,828.2 million, reflecting an 11.2% year-over-year increase and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4,690.7 million [1][9] Financial Performance - The company achieved a sequential improvement in margins due to strong financial performance and operational milestones [2] - Steel operations net sales were $3,538.04 million, up approximately 21.3% year over year, with record steel shipments of about 3.6 million tons [3] - The average external product selling price for steel was $1,119 per ton, up from $1,059 in the previous year but down from $1,134 in the previous quarter [4] - Metal recycling operations generated net sales of $520.99 million, a 4.5% increase year over year, with ferrous shipments of around 1.59 million gross tons, up 8.8% [5] - Steel fabrication operations reported sales of approximately $377.7 million, down 15.56% year over year, with shipments of 151,563 tons, down 4.4% [6] Financial Position - At the end of the quarter, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $770.4 million, a decrease of 24.12% year over year, and long-term debt of $3,781 million, an increase of roughly 35% [7] - Cash flow from operations was $722.6 million, down about 5% year over year [7] Market Outlook - The company anticipates improving market conditions driven by greater trade stability, policy clarity, and a favorable interest rate environment, which are expected to enhance domestic demand for steel and aluminum products [8] - Management expects a reduction in unfairly traded imports, benefiting operations and market positioning [8] - The focus on low-carbon, U.S.-made steel and aluminum solutions is expected to strengthen the company's competitive advantage [9][10] Stock Performance - Shares of Steel Dynamics have increased by 12.8% over the past year, compared to an 11.8% rise in its industry [11]
Steel Dynamics(STLD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-21 16:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved record steel shipments of 3,600,000 tons in Q3 2025, with revenues of $4,800,000,000 and adjusted EBITDA of $664,000,000, reflecting strong operational execution despite market headwinds [7][11] - Earnings per diluted share were reported at $2.74, with operating income from steel operations increasing by 30% sequentially to $498,000,000 [11][12] - Cash flow from operations was robust at $723,000,000, with liquidity exceeding $2,200,000,000 at the end of September [15][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Steel operations saw a significant increase in operating income driven by record shipments and metal spread expansion, with average scrap costs declining by $27 per ton [12][13] - The metals recycling operations reported operating income of $32,000,000, significantly higher than the previous quarter, supported by strong domestic steel demand [13][21] - Steel fabrication operations achieved operating income of $107,000,000, a 15% increase from the second quarter, with a backlog extending through 2026 [13][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The domestic steel industry operated at a production utilization rate of 78%, while the company's mills operated at a higher rate of 88%, reflecting strong demand and operational efficiency [23] - Coated flat rolled steel volume and pricing compressed due to an inventory overhang from imports, but prices are expected to improve as the market stabilizes [24][26] - The company anticipates that steel prices have bottomed out and will see upward movement in 2026, supported by recent trade rulings and tariffs [24][29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on transformational growth initiatives, including decarbonization efforts and expanding its aluminum operations, which are expected to achieve monthly EBITDA breakeven in Q4 2025 [15][18] - The strategic capital allocation prioritizes high-return growth opportunities while maintaining a strong dividend profile and share repurchase program [16][32] - The company aims to leverage its competitive advantages in metals recycling and aluminum to enhance earnings potential and market share [22][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism regarding steel demand and pricing dynamics, citing ongoing onshoring activity and infrastructure spending as key drivers [29][44] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from favorable trade policies and a growing domestic manufacturing base, which is expected to support steel consumption [42][43] - Management highlighted the importance of safety and operational excellence as foundational to the company's success and future growth [10][45] Other Important Information - The company has repurchased $661,000,000 of its common stock in 2025, representing 3.4% of outstanding shares, while maintaining investment-grade ratings [15][16] - The aluminum operations are expected to contribute significantly to the company's earnings, with a projected through-cycle EBITDA contribution of over $1,400,000,000 from recent investments [44][107] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the aluminum rolling mill and its impact on commercial activities? - Management noted that accelerated qualifications for can sheet products have opened doors for negotiating longer-term contracts, with expectations for a favorable product mix in 2026 [52][54] Question: What is the expected exit run rate for the aluminum operations? - Management confirmed expectations for EBITDA breakeven in Q4 2025, with ongoing certification processes impacting costs but not altering the overall positive outlook [58][59] Question: What are the capital allocation priorities for next year? - The company plans to maintain a balanced cash allocation strategy, with potential increases in dividends and continued share repurchases, while exploring organic growth opportunities [64][66] Question: How is the company positioned in the rail market? - Management indicated a commitment to the rail market, anticipating growth and improved product quality, while maintaining a stable mix in structural shipments [84][85] Question: What is the outlook for the flat rolled steel business? - Management expressed optimism for the Sinton facility, expecting improved performance as inventory overhang diminishes and market conditions stabilize [90][96]
Steel Dynamics, Inc. 2025 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:STLD) 2025-10-21
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-21 15:31
Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding company or industry insights [1]
Steel Dynamics(STLD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-21 15:00
Financial Performance - Q3 2025 - Steel Dynamics reported a net income of $404 million[15] - The company's cash flow from operations reached $723 million[15] - Adjusted EBITDA was $664 million, representing a 14% margin[15] - Diluted earnings per share (EPS) amounted to $274[15] - Revenue was strong at $48 billion[15] - The company repurchased 11% of its outstanding shares for $210 million[15] - Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) was 15%[15] Operational Highlights - Q3 2025 - Steel shipments reached a record high[7,18] - The company announced the acquisition of the remaining 55% of New Process Steel[7] - Aluminum Dynamics operations continued to ramp up[7] - The company made its first shipments of biocarbon to the Columbus steel mill[7] Strategic Growth & Investments - The company is investing $19 billion in a new state-of-the-art Sinton, Texas flat roll steel mill, which started production in Q1 2022[43] - Steel Dynamics is investing $600 million in greenfield investments for four new flat roll steel finishing lines, which started in the first half of 2024[43] - The company is investing $25 billion in the undersupplied North American aluminum flat rolled products market, with first coils shipped in June 2025[43]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-21 13:50
Poland seeks to discuss ArcelorMittal's plans for operations in Europe amid growing concerns over the country’s ailing steel industry https://t.co/6O1zTUKr31 ...
Goldman downgraded, Coinbase initiated: Wall Street's top analyst calls
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-21 13:32
Upgrades - BofA upgraded Eversource (ES) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $85, up from $73, citing an "improving regulatory tone" and a projected 6% EPS growth through 2029 [2] - Leerink upgraded Exelixis (EXEL) to Outperform from Market Perform with a price target of $48, up from $38, following the Phase 3 STELLAR-303 trial results, which established important levers for long-term investment despite a 12% stock decline [3] - Citi upgraded Nextracker (NXT) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $114, up from $66, highlighting its dominant position in tracker sales and potential revenue contributions from acquired businesses by FY30 [4] - Citi upgraded Sunrun (RUN) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $26, up from $11, noting benefits from rising electricity rates and increased leverage over suppliers due to market shifts [5] - Raymond James upgraded Capri Holdings (CPRI) to Outperform from Market Perform with a price target of $25, indicating a favorable turnaround position supported by improving demand and conservative guidance [6] Downgrades - JPMorgan downgraded Goldman Sachs (GS) to Neutral from Overweight with a price target of $750, up from $625, citing high current valuations compared to European investment banks [7] - BNP Paribas Exane downgraded Verizon (VZ) to Neutral from Outperform with a price target of $44, raising concerns about strategic direction following a recent CEO change [7] - BNP Paribas Exane downgraded NuScale Power (SMR) to Underperform from Neutral with a price target of $25, down from $41, due to concerns over cumulative shipments and financial commitments [7] - Citi downgraded NuScale to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $37.50, down from $46, highlighting potential sales by Fluor and stretched valuations [7] - TD Cowen downgraded Tempus AI (TEM) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $88, up from $72, viewing the stock as fairly valued after a significant rally [7] - Wells Fargo downgraded Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) to Underweight from Equal Weight with an unchanged price target of $11, describing the recent stock rally as "excess exuberance" [7]