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There's no way to relate Meta to interest rates, says Jim Cramer
Youtube· 2025-12-12 00:21
Market Overview - The stock market experienced a significant rally with the Dow rising by 646 points and the S&P 500 advancing by 1%, while the NASDAQ, heavily weighted with tech stocks, declined by 26 points [2] - Following a recent Federal Reserve rate cut, money managers shifted their investments towards stocks that would benefit from lower rates, leading to a sell-off in tech stocks [3] Impact of Rate Cuts - Lower interest rates are expected to boost consumer spending, particularly benefiting discretionary sectors such as cruise lines and retail [4] - Home improvement and construction sectors are also anticipated to thrive due to lower financing costs, with companies like Home Depot seeing positive movement [5][6] - Industrial stocks typically respond favorably to rate cuts, with companies like 3M, DuPont, and Dover showing gains [8] Sector Performance - Transportation stocks, including JB Hunt and FedEx, are expected to perform well in the days following a rate cut, with FedEx potentially experiencing a breakout quarter [9] - Banks are shifting focus from net interest income to lending potential, with Wells Fargo and Capital One highlighted as favorable options [10][11] Company-Specific Insights - Apple, Meta, and Tesla, which have only seen a 10% increase this year, are not expected to benefit significantly from lower rates, with Apple viewed as an underperformer in the current market [14][17][19] - Meta's stock performance is described as listless, with the company needing to communicate its value proposition more effectively [18] - Tesla is transitioning from an auto manufacturer to a tech leader, with its stock performance becoming less correlated with traditional auto industry metrics [19] Investment Strategy - The current market environment favors stocks that are direct beneficiaries of rate cuts, leading to a general decline in tech stocks as money managers focus on sectors like industrials and banks [21][22] - Investors are advised to follow the flow of capital in the market, as hedge funds tend to move in unison, impacting stock performance [23][30]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-11 23:15
Luxury furniture retailer RH soared after it reported higher growth than rivals as the industry contends with pressure from tariffs and a sluggish housing market https://t.co/qVK6L6m9s4 ...
Lululemon CEO joins the ranks of departing retail executives after tumultuous year at the athleisure company
MarketWatch· 2025-12-11 22:24
CEO departure adds another wrinkle to Lululemon's attempts to return to glory days. ...
Dow, S&P 500 set record close
Youtube· 2025-12-11 21:13
what looks to be another record setting day on the street. >> It does. Um and led by a different group uh than we got used to for most of this year.So yeah, talking about this very very aggressive rotation toward cyclicals. It's been the takeaway from the net dovish message from the Fed. Uh what's interesting is now that we are basically within a few points of the old record in the S&P, it's 6 weeks ago, so you're basically at the same level the S&P 6 weeks ago.You have banks up like 7% since then. Uh trans ...
5 Stocks to Buy and 5 to Sell for 2026
Benzinga· 2025-12-11 20:48
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses stocks categorized into "Naughty" and "Nice" lists based on the pricing of their options, highlighting those with inflated premiums to avoid and those with attractive pricing to consider for buying options. Naughty List - Stocks on the Naughty List have options prices that are significantly inflated, making them risky for trading calls or puts due to high premiums [2] - Oracle Corp. (NYSE:ORCL) has seen its implied volatility rise from 24 to 64, indicating overpriced options ahead of earnings [4] - Lululemon athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) shows options priced above normal, making it difficult to justify long calls or puts [5] - Paychex Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX) has inflated options that do not align with its consistent performance, stacking odds against buyers [7] - Ciena Corp. (NYSE:CIEN) has overpriced options despite solid stock movement, making it a red flag for potential buyers [8] - FactSet Research Systems Inc. (NYSE:FDS) has options trading at rich premiums, affecting the risk-reward balance for traders [10] Nice List - Stocks on the Nice List have options trading at or near their lowest levels of the year, providing opportunities for buying time premium without overpaying [11] - Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE:UBER) has seen its implied volatility drop from 80 to 30, making it an attractive option for bullish plays [12] - Rubrik Inc. (NYSE:RBRK) is trading at the bottom of its implied volatility range, presenting a good opportunity for call buying [13] - Tempus AI Inc. (NASDAQ:TEM) is also at low option premium levels, making it a smart choice for potential moves [14] - Ross Stores Inc. (NASDAQ:ROST) has equal high and low volatility levels, indicating a new low in options pricing, which could be favorable for long calls [15] - Ventas Inc. (NYSE:VTR) has dropped premiums near year-lows, making it an attractive option for buyers if a catalyst appears [16]
Oracle’s huge AI bets are spooking Wall Street—a 12% plunge wiped out the market’s early gains
Fortune· 2025-12-11 16:04
Market Overview - Most U.S. stocks are rising, but Oracle's significant drop is impacting Wall Street as investors question the return on its AI technology investments [1][2] - The S&P 500 fell 0.4%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 233 points (0.5%) and the Nasdaq composite decreased by 0.7% [1] Oracle's Performance - Oracle's stock dropped 14.5% despite reporting better-than-expected profits for the latest quarter, with a revenue growth of 14% that fell short of expectations [2][3] - Analysts expressed surprise at the extent of Oracle's planned AI investments for the fiscal year, raising concerns about the company's ability to finance these expenditures [3] AI Industry Impact - Doubts regarding Oracle's AI spending are affecting the broader AI industry, which has seen substantial investment but is experiencing volatility [4] - Nvidia, a key player in the AI sector, saw its stock fall by 2.8%, contributing to the S&P 500's decline [4] Treasury Yields and Economic Indicators - Lower Treasury yields, which fell to 4.10% from 4.13%, are encouraging higher stock prices as they reduce interest payments on government bonds [5][6] - A report indicating a higher-than-expected increase in unemployment benefit applications suggests potential rising layoffs, impacting market sentiment [6] Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cuts, including a third cut this year, are viewed positively by Wall Street as they can stimulate economic growth [7] Other Company Performances - The Walt Disney Co. gained 2.1% following a partnership with OpenAI to utilize its characters for social video generation, alongside a $1 billion investment in OpenAI [8] - Oxford Industries' stock fell 15.1% due to weaker-than-expected holiday shopping forecasts, while Vera Bradley's stock dropped 26% after reporting larger-than-expected losses [9] International Market Trends - European indexes saw gains, while Japan's Nikkei 225 index fell by 0.9%, influenced by a significant drop in SoftBank Group Corp., a major AI investor [10]
Walmart Stock Up 25% in 2025: What's the Smart Move for 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-12-11 14:22
Core Insights - Walmart, Inc. (WMT) has shown strong performance in 2025, with shares increasing by 25.3% year to date, reflecting investor confidence in its execution and growth strategies [1][2] Group 1: Performance Metrics - Walmart's growth outpaces the retail industry's 24.6% increase, the Zacks Retail – Wholesale sector's 6.7% rise, and the S&P 500's 18.6% gain this year [2] - Compared to major competitors, Walmart has outperformed Target Corporation (TGT), The Kroger Co. (KR), and Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST), with Target declining by 30% year to date [2] Group 2: Growth Drivers - The company's fundamentals are strong, with broad-based sales and profit growth across Walmart U.S., Sam's Club, and International segments [3] - E-commerce sales surged by 27% in Q3, with U.S. e-commerce growing by 28% and International by 26%, supported by faster delivery and improved digital capabilities [4][8] - Walmart's omnichannel ecosystem is expanding, benefiting from strong grocery traffic and notable growth in fashion and general merchandise [5] - Higher-margin revenue streams, including advertising and membership, now account for about one-third of consolidated adjusted operating income [6][8] - Investments in automation and AI are enhancing fulfillment efficiency and supporting margin performance [9] Group 3: Challenges and Considerations - Despite strong fundamentals, challenges remain, including a merchandise mix leaning towards lower-margin categories and cost pressures from tariffs [10] - Upcoming legislation affecting the pharmacy business and moderation in discretionary spending could limit growth in general merchandise categories [11] Group 4: Valuation and Market Position - Walmart's forward 12-month P/E ratio stands at 39.13X, above the industry average of 35.61X, indicating limited room for further multiple expansion [12] - The elevated valuation is supported by consistent execution and growth in higher-margin businesses, but it makes the stock sensitive to changes in consumer spending [13] Group 5: Analyst Outlook - Analysts' earnings estimates for Walmart have increased, indicating expectations for sustained strong growth despite current challenges [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 and 2027 EPS has risen over the past 30 days, reflecting positive sentiment [14] Group 6: Summary and Future Outlook - Walmart enters 2026 with strong momentum in e-commerce, membership, marketplace, and advertising, supported by improved delivery and inventory management [17] - While margin pressures from various factors may impact performance, Walmart's durable business model and long-term initiatives make it a compelling hold for investors [18]
Walmart’s NASDAQ Switch Could Change Everything for WMT Stock
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-11 13:44
A Walmart checkout lane with a blue reusable Walmart bag filled with groceries, sitting beside the payment terminal. Key Points Walmart begins trading on NASDAQ, marking the largest stock exchange transfer in history with a $905 billion market cap. The move signals Walmart’s strategic push to be viewed as a tech-forward, AI-first retail innovator rather than just a big-box chain. WMT stock continues its long-term uptrend, though technical indicators suggest a short-term cooling period could follow. In ...
Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, S&P 500 Futures Slip Day After Fed's Rate Cut—Oracle, Broadcom, Costco In Focus - SPDR S&P 500 (ARCA:SPY)
Benzinga· 2025-12-11 10:34
Market Overview - U.S. stock futures declined on Thursday following gains on Wednesday, with major indices showing lower futures [1][2] - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.5%–3.75%, marking the third consecutive reduction and highlighting a policy divide within the central bank [1] - The Fed will also resume quantitative easing by purchasing approximately $40 billion per month in shorter-maturity Treasury bills [1] Treasury Yields - The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond was 4.14%, while the two-year bond yield stood at 3.53% [2] - Market expectations indicate an 80.1% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in the near term [2] Stock Performance - Major indices showed the following premarket changes: Dow Jones -0.16%, S&P 500 -0.53%, Nasdaq 100 -0.72%, Russell 2000 -0.01% [2] - The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) decreased by 0.52% to $683.99, and the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) fell by 0.72% to $623.08 [2] Company Highlights - Oracle Corp. experienced a significant drop of 11.01% after reporting mixed second-quarter results for fiscal 2026 [5] - Broadcom Inc. fell by 1.98% ahead of its earnings report, with analysts expecting earnings of $1.86 per share on revenue of $17.1491 billion [5] - Adobe Inc. saw a slight decline of 0.62% despite better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings, projecting fiscal 2026 GAAP EPS between $17.90 and $18.10 [4][6] - Costco Wholesale Corp. rose by 0.18%, with analysts anticipating earnings of $5.39 per share on revenue of $6.11 billion [5] Analyst Insights - Expert opinions on the Federal Reserve's actions are divided, with some criticizing the resumption of Treasury purchases as a sign of systemic weakness [9] - Michael Burry expressed concerns about the implications of the Fed's actions, suggesting potential fragility in the banking system [9] - Conversely, some analysts remain optimistic about economic conditions, with projections indicating a favorable outlook [9][10] Commodities and Global Markets - Crude oil futures fell by 1.51% to around $57.59 per barrel, while gold prices decreased by 0.21% to approximately $4,219.72 per ounce [11] - Bitcoin traded 2.77% lower at $90,325.90 per coin [11] - Asian markets closed lower, with exceptions in India's NIFTY 50 and Australia's ASX 200 indices, while European markets showed gains in early trading [12]
Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, S&P 500 Futures Slip Day After Fed's Rate Cut—Oracle, Broadcom, Costco In Focus
Benzinga· 2025-12-11 10:34
Market Overview - U.S. stock futures declined on Thursday following gains on Wednesday, with major indices showing lower futures [1][2] - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.5%–3.75%, marking the third consecutive reduction and highlighting a policy divide within the central bank [1] - The Fed will also resume quantitative easing by purchasing approximately $40 billion in shorter-maturity Treasury bills each month [1] Treasury Yields - The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond was 4.14%, while the two-year bond yield stood at 3.53% [2] - Market expectations indicate an 80.1% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will maintain current interest rates [2] Stock Performance - Major indices showed the following changes: Dow Jones -0.16%, S&P 500 -0.53%, Nasdaq 100 -0.72%, Russell 2000 -0.01% [2] - The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) decreased by 0.52% to $683.99, and the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) fell by 0.72% to $623.08 in premarket trading [2] Company Highlights - Oracle Corp. experienced a significant drop of 11.01% after reporting mixed second-quarter results for fiscal 2026 [5] - Adobe Inc. saw a slight decline of 0.62% despite exceeding fourth-quarter earnings expectations, projecting fiscal 2026 GAAP EPS between $17.90 and $18.10 [4][6] - Broadcom Inc. fell by 1.98% ahead of its earnings report, with analysts expecting earnings of $1.86 per share on revenue of $17.1491 billion [5] - Costco Wholesale Corp. rose by 0.18%, with analysts anticipating earnings of $5.39 per share on revenue of $6.11 billion [5] Analyst Insights - Expert opinions on the Federal Reserve's actions are divided, with some criticizing the resumption of Treasury purchases as a sign of systemic weakness [9] - Michael Burry expressed concerns about the implications of the Fed's actions, while economist Peter Schiff labeled the strategy as "QE5" and warned of potential inflation [9] - Conversely, some analysts remain optimistic, with projections of favorable economic conditions [9][10] Commodities and Global Markets - Crude oil futures fell by 1.51% to around $57.59 per barrel, while gold prices decreased by 0.21% to approximately $4,219.72 per ounce [11] - Bitcoin traded 2.77% lower at $90,325.90 per coin [11] - Asian markets closed lower, with exceptions in India's NIFTY 50 and Australia's ASX 200 indices, while European markets showed gains in early trading [12]