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FedEx's Q1 profit report will reveal impact of tariffs on previously exempt parcels
Fastcompany· 2025-09-17 18:21
Core Insights - FedEx is expected to report a quarterly profit decline due to President Donald Trump's decision to eliminate tariff-exempt treatment for popular direct-to-consumer shipments [1] Company Impact - The decision by the President will directly affect FedEx's financial results, leading to a profit hit in the upcoming quarterly report [1] Industry Context - The change in tariff treatment reflects broader trade policy shifts that could impact logistics and delivery companies, particularly those involved in e-commerce and direct-to-consumer shipping [1]
Is This Top Bill Ackman Stock Still a Buy After Soaring More Than 50% This Year?
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-16 10:31
Core Viewpoint - Uber Technologies has shown significant growth in 2025, with a year-to-date stock increase of over 50%, driven by consistent growth and rising profitability [2][3] Financial Performance - In Q2, Uber reported an 18% year-over-year growth in trips and gross bookings, with revenue reaching $12.7 billion and operating income increasing by 82% to $1.5 billion [5] - Adjusted EBITDA rose 35% to $2.1 billion, with margins improving from 3.9% to 4.5% of gross bookings [5] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $2.5 billion, and trailing-twelve-month free cash flow hit a record $8.5 billion [5][8] Business Strategy - Uber's platform strategy is yielding results, with record audience engagement and profitability across its Mobility and Delivery segments [6] - Mobility revenue grew by 19% and Delivery revenue by 25% in the quarter, with management forecasting continued double-digit growth and further year-over-year gains in adjusted EBITDA [7] Share Repurchase Program - Uber has authorized a $20 billion share repurchase program, reflecting confidence in its business and strong cash generation [8] Valuation and Market Position - Following a 55% increase in stock price, Uber's market value is approximately $200 billion, with a price-to-free cash flow ratio in the mid-20s [9] - The current valuation is not considered a bargain, but it remains reasonable given the company's growth and margin expansion [9] Investment Outlook - The investment case for Uber remains strong, with core segments scaling effectively and management's guidance indicating ongoing growth [11] - The stock is viewed as a reasonable buy-and-hold candidate for investors willing to accept platform-economy risks, while existing investors may consider holding to benefit from cash returns and operating leverage [12]
More Upside For Uber Stock?
Forbes· 2025-09-04 10:20
Core Viewpoint - Uber Technologies has transitioned from being perceived as an underdog to a strong performer, achieving significant stock price increases and demonstrating financial strength through revenue growth and cash flow generation [1][6]. Financial Performance - Uber reported $12.65 billion in revenue for the most recent quarter, an 18% year-over-year increase, with Gross Bookings rising 17% to $46.8 billion [1]. - The number of trips surged 18% to 3.3 billion, and net income reached $1.35 billion [1]. - Free cash flow generated in Q2 was $2.48 billion, bringing the total for the trailing 12 months to over $8.5 billion [1]. Shareholder Returns - Management announced a $20 billion share buyback, representing nearly 10% of the company's market cap, marking a significant shift from previous cash burn periods [1]. Valuation Metrics - Uber is currently trading at approximately 30x forward earnings and about 4x sales, which is a premium compared to traditional transportation companies like FedEx and UPS [1]. - In contrast, DoorDash is valued at 5.5x sales despite being unprofitable, while Lyft is priced at about 18x forward earnings but lacks the same scale and profitability as Uber [1]. Competitive Landscape - Uber faces competition from Lyft in ride-hailing and DoorDash in delivery, as well as logistics giants FedEx and UPS in e-commerce [2]. - The company is investing in autonomous vehicles and AI-driven logistics, including a $300 million stake in Lucid, which could enhance profit margins in the long run [2]. Historical Volatility - Uber's stock has shown volatility during market downturns, with a significant drawdown of 67% in 2022, compared to a 25.4% decline in the S&P 500 [5][8]. Future Outlook - Analysts expect bookings to approach $49 billion next quarter, with EBITDA guidance exceeding $2.2 billion, indicating potential for continued growth [6]. - However, at 30x forward earnings, there is less room for error, and any slowdown in demand or setbacks in autonomous strategies could impact performance [6].
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-20 17:40
Rappi, one of Latin America’s most valuable startups, secured a $100 million loan from Banco Santander and Kirkoswald Capital Partners, marking its largest debt financing since the Colombian delivery startup’s founding a decade ago https://t.co/Ws5tNVQkcD ...
Grab Holdings: Get a Grip Now—Explosive Upside Brewing
MarketBeat· 2025-08-18 20:46
Core Viewpoint - Grab Holdings' stock is poised for significant upside due to its business model, market position, growth potential, and favorable market dynamics, including bullish analyst sentiment and institutional buying [1][8]. Group 1: Business Model and Market Position - Grab Holdings is characterized as a "super APP" providing technology services across Southeast Asia, primarily in ride-sharing, delivery, grocery, and financial services [5]. - The company is the leading app in a region expected to outpace global GDP growth in 2025, with Southeast Asia projected to grow at approximately 4.7% this year [6][5]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Growth Expectations - The upcoming Q3 earnings report is anticipated to show a 20% growth rate, with strong performance expected relative to consensus and steadily improving profitability [2]. - Recent financial results indicate a 24% revenue growth, driven by a 13% increase in user count and a 5% increase in revenue per user, with all segments showing strength: delivery up 22%, mobility up 16%, and financial services up 41% [12][13]. Group 3: Analyst Ratings and Market Sentiment - Grab's stock has a 12-month price forecast of $5.82, indicating a 13.50% upside, supported by 11 analyst ratings that suggest a Moderate Buy [7]. - Institutional buying has been robust, with total institutional exposure exceeding 55%, particularly spiking in Q4 2024 following positive earnings and guidance [8][10]. Group 4: Technical Indicators - The stock has shown promising price action, with a Golden Crossover in moving averages indicating a shift in market dynamics [3][2]. - The current market sentiment includes a historically high short interest of 7.5%, which may lead to a short-covering rally if a catalyst emerges [10]. Group 5: Balance Sheet Health - Grab's balance sheet has improved, with $3.9 billion in cash and a total liability less than 1.25 times its cash position, providing flexibility for future needs [11][12]. - The company has managed to maintain a low leverage ratio, allowing it to sustain operations and growth effectively [11].
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-15 09:15
Uber's unprofitable freight unit doesn’t fit the company’s model and has little to no synergies with its main ride-hailing and delivery businesses, @tomwblack says (via @opinion) https://t.co/XsoRDwIjVU ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-13 10:22
Financial Performance - GoTo Group achieved a fourth consecutive quarter of adjusted profit [1] Business Strategy - The company is making progress with reining in expenses and boosting revenue [1] Market Dynamics - GoTo Group faces stiff competition in ride-hailing and delivery [1]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-08 02:30
Financial Performance - Instacart posted its strongest order growth since 2022 for a second straight quarter [1] - Instacart beat earnings estimates for the current period [1] Business Strategy - Instacart rolled out initiatives to cater to price-conscious consumers [1] Industry Trend - The core delivery business shows resilience [1]
Cramer's Mad Dash: DoorDash
CNBC Television· 2025-08-07 13:49
7 minutes before an opening bell here on this Thursday at the New York Stock Exchange. Let's get to a mad dash with David Jim. Yes, sir.>> It's not a mad dash, it's a door dash. There you go. >> This quarter, not only was it unbelievable, much better than expected, but Tony Shu in the Q&A put on a clinic about how once you get the cell phone and you get the app in, you just order a lot of stuff.In addition, the advertising I think is the gross margin. I it's this is like a mini Amazon where they started mak ...
Delivery and rideshare stocks have strong demand and growth, says Bernstein's Nikhil Devnani
CNBC Television· 2025-07-21 17:42
As 2Q earning season gets underway, can these names deliver. Our next guest raised his price target on both door and Uber. Two names that our own Jim Kramer, by the way, says are the winners in a winner take all category.With us now is Nick Devani. He's senior US internet analyst at Bernstein. Nikil, did we miss the run or is there still a lot left to go here.Well, first off, thank you for having me. Appreciate it. Um, no, we think there's still more to go here.uh we're relatively constructive as we look at ...