IPO Plans - InMobi 计划在印度 IPO 中筹集高达 10 亿美元 [1] Company Overview - InMobi 是一家由软银支持的移动广告平台 [1]

Core Viewpoint - AppLovin has officially sold its mobile gaming business to Tripledot Studios for $400 million in cash and approximately 20% equity stake, marking a significant strategic restructuring for the company as it shifts focus to an AI-driven advertising technology platform [2][3]. Group 1: Business Transition - AppLovin was previously a major player in the mobile gaming industry, owning ten studios and producing top-ranking games like "Wordscapes" and "Cooking Madness" [3]. - Following the completion of the transaction on June 30, 2025, all studios will belong to Tripledot Studios, allowing AppLovin to concentrate on its core business of technology platform development and AI capabilities [3]. - The CEO of AppLovin stated that this transaction is a crucial step in focusing on their core business [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q4 of FY2024, AppLovin reported revenues of $9.6 billion, a 44% year-over-year increase, and an adjusted EBITDA of $4.8 billion, reflecting a 78% growth in profitability [4]. - The company has $4.1 billion in cash and cash equivalents, providing a solid foundation for future technology investments and potential acquisitions [4]. - For Q1 2025, AppLovin expects revenues to exceed $1 billion and adjusted EBITDA to reach $2.5 billion, indicating strong financial guidance [4]. Group 3: AI-Driven Advertising Technology - AppLovin is leveraging AI capabilities in advertising, utilizing large language models (LLM) and generative AI to enhance code deployment and ad creative generation [5]. - The company has established a highly automated architecture that allows for significant efficiency gains, directly impacting financial performance [5]. - AppLovin's platform currently serves thousands of apps across various sectors, enabling developers to acquire users at lower costs and providing advertisers with optimal ROI in fragmented traffic [5]. Group 4: Market Recognition and Growth Potential - Since June, AppLovin's stock price has surged due to its business focus, leading AI capabilities, and strong financial results, with UBS raising its target price from $475 to $540 [6]. - Investors are optimistic about AppLovin's high profit margins, strong cash flow, and the first-mover advantage in AI advertising technology, which could lead to industry valuation premiums [6]. - The company’s asset-light operational structure allows for greater flexibility in business adjustments compared to larger competitors like Google and Meta [6]. Group 5: Strategic Positioning - AppLovin is transitioning from being perceived as a "game-driven tech company" to a "tech-driven growth infrastructure," focusing solely on becoming a leading AI-driven advertising technology platform [7]. - In a slowing programmatic advertising market, AppLovin aims to combat future challenges through strategic focus, organizational streamlining, and deepening technological expertise [7]. - The company’s approach emphasizes that while content may change hands, the platform itself serves as a true competitive moat [7].

Core Insights - AppLovin Corporation is establishing itself as a strong player in mobile advertising through three interconnected factors that provide sustainable competitive advantages [1] Group 1: Company Overview - AppLovin utilizes an AI-based advertising engine as its technology-centric platform [1] - The company focuses on long/short equity strategies, conducting deep fundamental analysis to identify undervalued stocks for long positions and overvalued stocks for short positions in global equity markets [1] Group 2: Financial Analysis - AppLovin builds detailed financial models using discounted cash flow (DCF), relative valuation, and scenario analysis to assess company fundamentals, growth potential, and risks [1] - The company delivers high-conviction investment recommendations through comprehensive research, contributing to alpha generation for the fund [1] Group 3: Market Strategy - AppLovin monitors market trends, sector dynamics, and macroeconomic factors to adjust strategies and optimize portfolio performance in real time [1] - The company collaborates with the Portfolio Manager to size positions, manage risk exposure, and navigate challenges such as short squeezes or market volatility [1]

Financial Performance - The company reported a GAAP net loss of $18.8 million for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, a significant improvement from a loss of $236.5 million in the same quarter of fiscal 2024 [5][10] - Non-GAAP adjusted net income for the fourth quarter was $10.8 million, compared to $12.6 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024 [6][10] - Total revenue for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 was $119.2 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 6% from $112.2 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024 [4][10] - For the full fiscal year 2025, total revenue reached $490.5 million, down from $544.5 million in fiscal 2024 [7][10] EBITDA and Cash Flow - Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 was $20.5 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 66% from $12.3 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024 [6][10] - Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA for the full fiscal year 2025 totaled $72.3 million, down from $92.4 million in fiscal 2024 [9][10] - Non-GAAP free cash flow for the fourth quarter was $5.5 million, a recovery from a negative cash flow of $15.6 million in the same quarter of the previous year [10][20] Revenue Segmentation - Revenue from On Device Solutions for the fourth quarter was $86.8 million, an increase of 11% year-over-year, while App Growth Platform revenue was $33.3 million, a decrease of 3% [37] - For the full fiscal year 2025, On Device Solutions revenue was $341.6 million, down 8% from $370.1 million in fiscal 2024, and App Growth Platform revenue was $153.2 million, down 14% from $178.8 million [37] Management Commentary - The CEO highlighted improved execution and solid year-over-year growth in both revenue and EBITDA, attributing this to strong advertiser demand and profit margin expansion from a transformation program [3] - The company expressed optimism for continued growth in fiscal 2026, driven by advancements in AI and machine learning to optimize first-party data [3][11]

Founder-Run Companies Overview - Founder-run companies constitute less than 5% of the S&P 500 index but account for nearly 15% of the total index's market capitalization, highlighting their significant impact on the market [2] - Notable founder-led companies include NVIDIA, Amazon, Meta, Berkshire Hathaway, and Netflix, which have redefined industries and created trillion-dollar enterprises [2] Characteristics of Founder-Run Companies - These companies are often born from unique ideas and technological innovations, allowing them to navigate challenges and maintain long-term sustainability [3] - Founders typically invest personal wealth into their ventures initially, facing difficulties in securing external funding [4] Challenges Faced by Founders - Founder-owners often struggle to delegate responsibilities due to skepticism about others' commitment, which can hinder the company's growth and adaptability [5] - The reluctance to delegate can limit the infusion of professional expertise, impacting the company's ability to scale effectively [5] Performance of Founder-Led Companies - Founder-led companies have shown superior performance, with a Harvard Business Review study indicating a market-adjusted return of 12% over three years, compared to a negative 26% for companies with professional CEOs [6] Investment Opportunities in Founder-Run Companies - Current appealing stocks include Netflix, AppLovin, and Dell Technologies, which are identified as high-potential investments [6] Company Profiles Netflix - Netflix, co-founded by Reed Hastings and Marc Randolph, has a market capitalization of $387.7 billion and has evolved from a DVD rental service to a leading streaming provider [8] - The company is focusing on expanding its original content portfolio and international growth, with projected revenues between $43.5 billion and $44.5 billion for 2025 [11] AppLovin - AppLovin, co-founded by Adam Foroughi, has a market capitalization of $129.7 billion and leads in mobile advertising through its AI engine, Axon 2 [12] - The company is transitioning to a software-centric model, enhancing profitability and returns on invested capital [14] Dell Technologies - Dell Technologies, founded by Michael Dell, has a market capitalization of $75.5 billion and is a major player in servers, storage, and PCs [15] - The company is expected to benefit from recovering demand driven by the PC-refresh cycle and strong interest in AI servers, with projected revenues for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 between $22.5 billion and $23.5 billion [18]

Core Insights - Super League has expanded its partnership with AdArcade to enhance revenue diversification through a patented mobile ad format that delivers three times higher engagement than standard playable ads [1][3] - The partnership allows Super League to provide brands and media agencies with a scalable, full-funnel playable solution, reaching 220 million monthly gamers in the US [1][3] Revenue Diversification Strategy - The expansion into mobile games is a key pillar of Super League's revenue diversification strategy, expected to account for 25% of the company's revenues in 2025 [3] - The company anticipates that the demographic of video game players will continue to grow, with projections indicating that three out of four individuals under 50 will play video games [3] Ad Performance Metrics - Native Playables, the interactive ads developed by AdArcade, achieve a return on ad spend (ROAS) as high as 13 times compared to standard playable ads [2][3] - The ads are designed to match the gameplay experience, leading to superior performance across key metrics [2][3] Audience Engagement - Native Playables target a broad audience, including Millennials, Gen X, Gen Z, and Gen Alpha, who engage with popular mobile games like Roblox, Minecraft, and Fortnite [4][7] - The partnership aims to effectively engage a multi-generational mobile gaming audience, enhancing brand visibility and consumer interaction [4][7] Operational Efficiency - The deployment of Native Playables can be completed in less than two weeks, with ad creation taking just hours due to AdArcade's automated system [3] - This efficiency allows brands to rapidly produce multiple playable ads tailored to specific demographic audiences [3]

Core Viewpoint - Digital Turbine (APPS) is expected to report a decline in earnings for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, with a consensus estimate of 5 cents per share, reflecting a 58.33% decrease from the previous year [1] Group 1: Earnings Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal fourth-quarter earnings is unchanged over the past 30 days, indicating a significant decline compared to the year-ago quarter [1] - Digital Turbine has consistently beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 281.67% [1] Group 2: Revenue Growth Factors - Strong international On-Device Solutions (ODS) momentum is expected to have contributed to revenue growth, following a 100% year-over-year revenue surge in the third quarter [2] - The company has expanded its global device partnerships, enhancing international revenue per device through collaborations with Motorola, Nokia, and T-Mobile US [3] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Despite soft device sales in the U.S., Digital Turbine has made significant progress internationally through partnerships with various companies, which is expected to support growth in the upcoming quarter [4] - The transition from waterfall to SDK bidding is anticipated to negatively impact performance, disrupting legacy Demand-Side Platforms (DSPs) and slowing down exchange monetization [5] Group 4: Challenges - Continued softness in U.S. device volumes is expected to pressure the company, offsetting growth opportunities in international markets [6]

Financial Performance - Revenue was $148 billion, a 40% increase compared to 1Q24[4] - Net Income reached $576 million, resulting in a net margin of 39%, compared to $236 million and a 22% net margin in 1Q24[4] - Adjusted EBITDA increased 83% to $101 billion, with an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 68%[4] - Free Cash Flow was $826 million in 1Q25[4] Segment Performance - Advertising revenue grew 71% to $116 billion[4] - Apps revenue decreased 14% to $325 million[4] - Advertising segment Adjusted EBITDA increased 92% to $943 million, an 81% margin[4] - Apps segment Adjusted EBITDA increased 9% to $62 million, a 19% margin[4] Key Metrics for Apps Segment - Monthly Active Payers (MAPs) decreased from 18 million in 1Q24 to 15 million in 1Q25[15] - Average Revenue per Monthly Active Payer (ARPMAP) increased from $48 in 1Q24 to $52 in 1Q25[15]