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Nucor Expects Q4 Earnings to Dip on Seasonality, Stays Bullish on 2026
ZACKS· 2025-12-18 13:46
Core Insights - Nucor Corporation (NUE) has projected fourth-quarter earnings per share (EPS) for the period ending December 31, 2025, in the range of $1.65 to $1.75, indicating a decline from $2.63 in the third quarter of 2025 but an improvement over $1.22 in the fourth quarter of 2024 [1][7] Earnings Outlook - The anticipated decline in earnings is attributed to seasonal factors and fewer shipping days, with the steel mills segment expected to see moderated earnings due to lower shipment volumes and margin pressure, especially in sheet products [2][7] - The steel products segment is forecasted to experience reduced profitability due to lower volumes and higher average costs per ton, although this is partially offset by improved realized pricing [3] - The raw materials segment is expected to underperform due to two planned outages at Nucor's direct reduced iron facilities [3] Shareholder Returns - Despite the earnings decline, Nucor has prioritized shareholder returns, repurchasing approximately 0.7 million shares at an average price of about $145.23 during the quarter, totaling around 5.4 million shares repurchased year-to-date at an average cost of roughly $128.66 per share [4][7] - Including dividends, Nucor has returned about $1.2 billion to shareholders year-to-date in 2025 [4][7] Future Outlook - Management remains optimistic for 2026, citing significantly higher order backlogs compared to the previous year, particularly in construction-related end markets such as energy, infrastructure, data centers, and manufacturing [5] - The company anticipates a gradual improvement in market conditions, supported by favorable monetary, tax, and trade policies [5] - Nucor is scheduled to report fourth-quarter results after market close on January 26, 2026 [5] Stock Performance - Shares of NUE have increased by 27.3% over the past six months, compared to a 33.6% rise in the industry [6]
JPMorgan Quants Warn of ‘Extreme Crowding’ in Speculative Stocks
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-18 10:30
Core Viewpoint - The recent volatility in US equity markets is attributed to "extreme crowding" in speculative growth stocks, which are at risk of a reversal due to macroeconomic events [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The S&P 500 index fell by 1.2%, marking the fourth consecutive day of losses after reaching a record high the previous week [2]. - The selloff has been primarily driven by technology shares as investors shift away from high-performing stocks [2]. Group 2: Speculative Stocks - JPMorgan Chase has identified six stocks as speculative growth plays that are vulnerable to market reversals: Broadcom Inc., Advanced Micro Devices Inc., Expedia Group Inc., Estee Lauder Cos Inc., Invesco Ltd., and Nucor Corp. [1][3]. - These stocks are considered sensitive to market shocks, which increases their risk of sudden repricing [3]. Group 3: Stock Performance - Since December 10, Broadcom shares have decreased by over 21%, Advanced Micro Devices has dropped by 11%, and other identified stocks like Estee Lauder, Invesco, and Nucor have also seen declines, with only Expedia showing a modest increase of about 3% [3]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - JPMorgan suggests that investors should buy bearish put options on speculative stocks while taking bullish positions on less volatile stocks [5]. - Recommended "low volatility" stocks include Cigna Group, Pfizer Inc., and Verizon Communications Inc. as safer investment alternatives [5].
Worthington Steel Reports Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Results
Businesswire· 2025-12-17 21:10
Core Insights - Worthington Steel, Inc. reported its financial results for the fiscal 2026 second quarter ending November 30, 2025, indicating a significant performance update for stakeholders [1] Financial Performance - The company’s financial results reflect key metrics that are essential for evaluating its operational efficiency and market position [1]
Steel Dynamics provides Q4 earnings guidance amid seasonal slowdown (NASDAQ:STLD)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-17 19:05
Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding company or industry insights [1]
Worthington Steel Declares Quarterly Dividend
Businesswire· 2025-12-17 17:54
Group 1 - The document provides details for a conference call scheduled for December 18, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. ET [1] - The conference ID for the call is 5714141 [1] - A toll-free dial-in number for participants is provided as 888.510.2553 [1]
Can These 5 Relative Price Strength Stocks Lead in 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-12-17 16:16
Market Overview - U.S. stocks are showing strong momentum as major indexes approach record levels, with shallow short-term pauses indicating investor confidence for a positive year-end and transition into the new year [1] - Recent labor and economic updates present a mixed but reassuring picture, suggesting a gradual slowdown in job growth rather than a sharp decline, which may lead policymakers to support employment as the year ends [2] Investment Strategy - Relative price strength is highlighted as a practical strategy for investors, with stocks that have outperformed during year-end often becoming leaders in the following year [3] - Stocks recommended based on relative price strength include Commercial Metals Company (CMC), Illumina (ILMN), Kinross Gold (KGC), Las Vegas Sands (LVS), and Hamilton Insurance Group (HG) [3] Stock Performance and Estimates - Commercial Metals Company (CMC) has a market capitalization of $7.9 billion, with a projected earnings growth of 95.9% for fiscal 2026 and a share price increase of 38.7% over the past year [10][11] - Illumina (ILMN) has a market capitalization of $20.6 billion, with a projected earnings growth of 92.2% for 2025, although shares have decreased by 1.8% in the past year [11][12] - Kinross Gold (KGC) is expected to see a 147.1% year-over-year growth in earnings per share for 2025, with shares increasing by 208% in the past year [12][13] - Las Vegas Sands (LVS) has a market capitalization of $45.3 billion, with a projected earnings growth of 30% for 2025 and a share price increase of 32% over the past year [14] - Hamilton Insurance Group (HG) has a market capitalization of $2.8 billion, with an 18.5% upward revision in earnings estimates for 2025 and a share price increase of 50.9% in the past year [15][16] Screening Parameters - Stocks are screened based on relative price changes over 12 weeks, 4 weeks, and 1 week, focusing on those outperforming the S&P 500 [8] - Stocks must have a current price of at least $5, an average 20-day volume of at least 50,000, and a VGM Score of A or B to qualify for potential investment [10]
Nucor, Steel Dynamics Warn of Profit Shortfalls
WSJ· 2025-12-17 14:28
Core Viewpoint - Steelmakers Nucor and Steel Dynamics have indicated that their fourth-quarter earnings will significantly fall below Wall Street's expectations [1] Company Summary - Nucor and Steel Dynamics are both major players in the steel manufacturing industry [1] - The warning about earnings suggests potential challenges in the market environment affecting these companies [1] Industry Summary - The steel industry is facing pressures that may lead to lower-than-expected financial performance for key companies [1] - The earnings forecast indicates a broader trend that could impact investor sentiment and market dynamics within the steel sector [1]
Steel Dynamics Issues Q4 Earnings Guidance
RTTNews· 2025-12-17 13:22
Core Viewpoint - Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) anticipates fourth quarter earnings between $1.65 and $1.69 per share, an increase from $1.36 per share in the same quarter last year [1] Financial Performance - The company plans to release its fourth quarter earnings on January 26, 2026 [1] - Steel Dynamics has repurchased approximately $200 million, or 1% of its common stock, during the fourth quarter of 2025 [1] Market Reaction - Shares of Steel Dynamics have decreased by 2.5%, trading at $164.89 in pre-market on Wednesday [1]
Nucor Announces Guidance for the Fourth Quarter of 2025 Earnings
Prnewswire· 2025-12-17 12:30
Core Viewpoint - Nucor Corporation anticipates a decrease in fourth quarter earnings for 2025, projecting earnings per diluted share between $1.65 and $1.75, down from $2.63 in the third quarter of 2025 and $1.22 in the fourth quarter of 2024 [1][2] Fourth Quarter of 2025 Commentary - Earnings are expected to decline across all operating segments compared to the third quarter of 2025 due to seasonal effects and fewer shipping days [2] - The steel mills segment is projected to see lower earnings due to reduced volumes and margin compression, particularly in sheet products [2] - The steel products segment is expected to experience a decline in earnings driven by lower volumes and increased average costs per ton, although partially offset by higher average realized pricing [2] - The raw materials segment is anticipated to have lower earnings primarily due to two scheduled outages at DRI facilities [2] Capital Returns - Nucor repurchased approximately 0.7 million shares at an average price of $145.23 per share during the fourth quarter, totaling about 5.4 million shares year-to-date at an average price of $128.66 per share [3] - The company has returned approximately $1.2 billion to stockholders through share repurchases and dividend payments year-to-date [3] 2026 Outlook - Nucor is optimistic about 2026, citing significantly higher backlogs compared to the previous year, particularly in construction market segments such as energy, infrastructure, data centers, and manufacturing [4] - The company expects that favorable monetary, tax, and trade policies will contribute to gradual improvements in business conditions [4] Earnings Release and Conference Call - Nucor plans to release its fourth quarter earnings after market close on January 26, 2026, followed by a conference call on January 27, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time [5]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-17 03:55
Iron ore futures ticked up for a second day, even as data signaled weakness in China’s steel demand https://t.co/N543NInAiZ ...