Core Viewpoint - Airbnb's Q3 earnings report shows an EPS miss, but the focus should be on the company's global growth opportunities and overall business model [1] Financial Performance - The article highlights the importance of a long-term investment perspective rather than short-term earnings fluctuations [1] Investment Philosophy - The analysis is based on value investing principles, emphasizing an owner's mindset and a long-term horizon [1]

Core Insights - Airbnb reported a 10% increase in revenue to $4.1 billion for Q3, driven by early bookings and strong travel demand, exceeding Wall Street expectations of $4.08 billion [1][2] - Gross booking value (GBV) reached $22.9 billion, surpassing the consensus of $21.9 billion, supported by the "reserve now, pay later" option [1][3] Financial Performance - Net income remained stable at $1.37 billion for the three months ending September 30, with earnings per share rising to $2.21, although below the expected $2.31 [4] - The quarterly profit was impacted by a higher tax expense due to recent legislation, resulting in a write-off of a $213 million tax asset [4] Future Outlook - Airbnb anticipates a lower effective tax rate in the mid-to-high teens by 2026, down from previous guidance of around 20%, which may enhance net margins in the future [5] - For Q4, the company projects sales between $2.66 billion and $2.72 billion, aligning with Wall Street's $2.67 billion forecast, and expects GBV to grow at a low double-digit percentage rate [6] Market Trends - The shift towards advance bookings is a significant trend that enhances visibility on future bookings and supports GBV growth, crucial for the online travel sector [3][6] - Analysts will monitor the persistence of early-booking patterns into 2025, focusing on international travel recovery, consumer pricing sensitivity, and the impact of payment flexibility options [7]

Market Overview - The week experienced significant market fluctuations, with major indices pushed into the red due to debates over data centers and excessive tech stock valuations [1] - The S&P 500 declined by 1.6%, the Nasdaq Composite fell by 3%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 1.2%, and the Russell 2000 was down by 1.9% over the week [7] Gold and Volatility - Gold prices soared, closing above $4000, contributing to a modest gain of 0.3% for the week [2] - The Vix CBOE Volatility Index closed at 19, indicating a 9% increase this week, suggesting relative calm despite market volatility [2] Housing Market Insights - The housing market showed mixed signals, with a decline in house sales but an increase in median prices in 77% of metro areas [3] - Economic uncertainty is leading to a shift in population and jobs towards the southern regions of the U.S., despite rising job cuts [4] Labor Market Trends - Job cuts in the U.S. reached 153,074 in October, marking a 175% increase from the previous year and a 183% increase from the month prior [4] - Major companies such as Amazon, UPS, General Motors, and Target have conducted layoffs, reflecting a broader trend in the labor market [5] Airline Industry Adjustments - Airlines are cutting flights by 10% at 40 airports to manage reduced personnel and alleviate pressure on air traffic controllers [6]

Core Insights - The discussion highlights a common theme among companies like Duolingo and DoorDash, focusing on shifting investment strategies towards growth and product quality rather than immediate profitability [2][4] - Investors are generally averse to investment cycles, as seen with companies like Meta, DoorDash, and Uber, which have surprised the market by prioritizing investments [3][6] - Despite initial negative reactions from investors regarding investment cycles, there may be opportunities for long-term gains once the bad news is out of the way [4][5] Company-Specific Insights - Duolingo is adjusting its investment strategy to prioritize growth and product quality, which may not align with immediate investor expectations [2] - DoorDash is unifying its platform across various properties and has recently acquired Deliveroo, indicating a focus on long-term operational improvements [3][4] - Despite concerns about consumer demand, DoorDash has shown resilience, with better-than-expected performance in the travel sector as well [5][6] Industry Trends - There is a noticeable bifurcation in the tech industry, where large companies like Google and Meta are performing well due to stable valuations and growth opportunities, while smaller software companies face more scrutiny [7][8] - Google is diversifying its offerings by entering the chip market, which has positively impacted its stock performance [9] - The potential of AI to enhance personalization in e-commerce and travel sectors is highlighted as a significant growth opportunity [13][14]

Core Insights - Expedia was the best-performing stock in the S&P 500, surging over 17% after reporting better-than-expected earnings driven by strong domestic demand [1][7][8] - Take-Two Interactive Software's stock fell 8% due to the delay in the launch of "Grand Theft Auto VI," overshadowing its stronger-than-expected earnings [4][8] - Block's shares dropped nearly 8% after missing third-quarter sales and adjusted profit forecasts, despite growth from its Cash App platform [5] - Tesla's stock decreased close to 4% following the approval of a significant pay package for CEO Elon Musk, which could be worth $1 trillion based on performance goals [6] - Akamai Technologies saw its shares rise nearly 15% after reporting better-than-expected earnings and boosting its outlook, driven by strong demand for its security and cloud services [9] - Solventum, a healthcare company spun off from 3M, exceeded expectations with its quarterly sales and adjusted profit, leading to an 8% increase in its shares [10] Market Overview - Major U.S. equity indexes finished mixed, with the Dow up 0.2% and S&P 500 up 0.1%, while the Nasdaq dropped 0.2%, marking its worst week since early April [2][3] - The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to its lowest level since June 2022, indicating negative impacts from the U.S. government shutdown on economic perceptions [2]

Core Insights - Expedia shares reached a record close, indicating strong market performance driven by the company's strategic embrace of AI technology to enhance business operations rather than viewing it as a competitive threat [1] Company Summary - The online travel agent, Expedia, has successfully integrated AI into its business model, which has contributed to its recent stock performance [1] Industry Summary - The travel industry is witnessing a shift as companies like Expedia leverage AI to improve efficiency and customer experience, setting a precedent for others in the sector [1]

Economic Indicators - The University of Michigan's US Nov 1-year inflation expectations rose unexpectedly to +4.7%, surpassing the expected +4.6% [1] - The Nov 5-10 year inflation expectations decreased to +3.6%, below the anticipated +3.8% [1] - The US Nov consumer sentiment index fell by -3.3 to a nearly 3.5-year low of 50.3, weaker than the expected 53.0 [1] Stock Market Performance - US stock indexes initially declined but recovered later, closing mixed as Senate Democrats proposed a one-year extension of health care subsidies [3] - The S&P 500 Index closed up +0.13%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index up +0.16%, while the Nasdaq 100 Index fell -0.28% [4] - Semiconductor stocks faced pressure, contributing to broader market weakness, with significant job cuts announced by US companies [2] Corporate Earnings - Q3 corporate earnings season showed strong results, with 81% of S&P 500 companies beating forecasts, indicating the best quarter since 2021 [8] - Q3 profits are projected to rise by +7.2% y/y, the smallest increase in two years, while sales growth is expected to slow to +5.9% y/y [8] International Trade - China's October exports unexpectedly fell -1.1% y/y, the largest decline in 8 months, while imports rose +1.0% y/y, weaker than expectations [5] Government and Monetary Policy - The US government shutdown, now the longest in history, is impacting market sentiment and the economy, with a 66% chance of a -25 bp rate cut at the next FOMC meeting [6] - Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson's comments on interest rates being "somewhat restrictive" have contributed to a cautious market outlook [2][11] Notable Company Movements - Globus Medical (GMED) shares rose over +35% after reporting Q3 net sales of $769 million, exceeding expectations [13] - Expedia Group (EXPE) closed up more than +17% after reporting Q3 adjusted EPS of $7.57, significantly above consensus [13] - Microchip Technology (MCHP) shares fell over -5% after forecasting weaker-than-expected Q3 net sales [16]

Core Insights - Expedia Group Inc. shares surged 18% in intra-day trading following strong third-quarter results that exceeded expectations and raised the full-year outlook due to robust travel demand [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share for Q3 2025 were reported at $7.57, surpassing analyst forecasts of $6.98 [1] - Revenue for the quarter reached $4.41 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $4.28 billion and reflecting a 9% year-over-year increase [1] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 16% to $1.45 billion, with margins expanding by 208 basis points [2] Booking Metrics - Booked room nights rose by 11% year-over-year, marking the fastest growth in the U.S. in three years [2] - Total gross bookings increased by 12%, driven by a 26% rise in business-to-business (B2B) bookings and a 7% increase in consumer (B2C) bookings [2] Future Outlook - Following the strong results, the company raised its full-year 2025 forecast, now expecting gross bookings growth of 7%, up from a previous estimate of 3-5% [3] - Revenue growth expectations were also increased to 6-7%, compared to the prior outlook of 3-5% [3] - The adjusted EBITDA margin expansion guidance was raised to 2% from 1% [3] - For Q4, Expedia projected gross bookings and revenue growth of 6-8% [3]

Market Overview - U.S. equity markets faced a broad retreat on November 7, 2025, primarily due to a sell-off in technology stocks, driven by concerns over inflated valuations in the AI sector and a prolonged government shutdown [1][10] - All three major indexes are on track for their steepest weekly losses in months, with the Nasdaq Composite poised for its worst weekly performance since March [1][2] Major Index Performance - The Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) declined approximately 1.5% to 2% in afternoon trading, following a 1.9% drop on Thursday [2] - The S&P 500 (SPX) fell between 0.9% and 1.2% by mid-afternoon, after a 1.1% decline on Thursday [2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was down around 0.5% to 0.8% in afternoon trading, closing 0.8% lower on Thursday [2] Volatility and Investor Sentiment - The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) surged by 8.3%, reaching its highest level in over two weeks, indicating increased investor nervousness [3] - The current market unease is exacerbated by the ongoing government shutdown, which has led to a "data blackout" affecting crucial economic releases [6] Sector Performance - There is a notable rotation out of high-growth technology stocks, with the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) slipping 2% and 2.3% respectively [4] - The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) advanced by 1%, indicating a defensive shift in investor portfolios towards traditional and value-oriented sectors [5] Corporate Developments - Tesla (TSLA) shares fell 3.3% to 4% despite shareholder approval of CEO Elon Musk's $1 trillion compensation package [13] - Chipmakers like Nvidia (NVDA) and Broadcom (AVGO) faced significant pressure, with declines of 3.8% and 4.6% respectively, reflecting caution regarding high valuations in AI-related stocks [13] - Payments company Block (SQ) slumped 9.8% to 10.5% after disappointing third-quarter earnings [13] - Conversely, Peloton (PTON) and Expedia Group (EXPE) saw significant gains of 3.4% to 6.1% and 16.6% to 17.3% respectively, following better-than-expected earnings [13]

Core Insights - Airbnb reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $2.21 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.49% [1] - Revenues reached $4.095 billion, a 10% year-over-year increase, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.25% [1] Financial Performance - Gross Booking Value (GBV) for Q3 2025 was $23 billion, up 14% year-over-year [4] - Nights and Seats Booked totaled 133.6 million, reflecting an 8.8% year-over-year increase [5] - Average Daily Rate (ADR) was $171.3, up 4.7% year-over-year [5] - Adjusted EBITDA was $1.96 billion, a 4.7% increase year-over-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 52.5% [8] Cost and Expenses - Total costs and expenses as a percentage of revenues increased by 120 basis points year-over-year to 59.1% [7] - Cost of revenues increased by 90 basis points year-over-year [7] Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - As of September 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents totaled $11.68 billion, up from $11.4 billion as of June 30 [11] - Free cash flow generated in Q3 2025 was $1.35 billion, with $4.55 billion over the trailing 12 months [12] Guidance - For Q4 2025, Airbnb expects revenues between $2.66 billion and $2.72 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 7-10% [13] - The company anticipates mid-single-digit year-over-year growth in Nights and Seats Booked for Q4 2025 [13]