Market Overview - Major U.S. indexes closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.8% to 47,368.63, the S&P 500 up 1.54% to 6,832.43, and the Nasdaq up 2.27% to 23,527.17 [1] CoreWeave Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWV) - CoreWeave's stock rose by 1.54%, closing at $105.61, with an intraday high of $110.3 and a low of $102.78; after-hours trading saw a decline of 6.02% to $99.25 [2] - The company reported third-quarter revenue of $1.36 billion, exceeding estimates of $1.29 billion, with an adjusted loss of eight cents per share; revenue backlog nearly doubled to $55.6 billion due to strong demand from AI-focused clients [3] Rocket Lab Corp. (NASDAQ:RKLB) - Rocket Lab's shares increased by 0.50%, closing at $51.90, with an intraday high of $54.50 and a low of $50.76; after-hours trading saw a rise of 7.2% to $55.65 [4] - The company reported third-quarter revenue of $155.05 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $151.75 million, and secured 17 Electron launch contracts, aiming to break its annual launch record in Q4 [4] AST SpaceMobile Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTS) - AST SpaceMobile's stock fell by 0.71%, closing at $68.70, with an intraday high of $72.36 and a low of $67; it slipped 1.16% to $67.90 in extended trading [5] - The company reported quarterly losses of 45 cents per share, missing the analyst estimate for losses of 23 cents, with quarterly revenue of $14.73 million, below the consensus estimate of $19.93 million [5] Rigetti Computing Inc. (NASDAQ:RGTI) - Rigetti's shares dropped by 2.04%, closing at $33.08, with an intraday high of $34.71 and a low of $32.60; after-hours trading saw a further decline of 1.69% to $32.52 [6] - The company reported quarterly losses of three cents per share, beating the analyst estimate for losses of four cents, but revenues missed expectations at $1.94 million, below the Street estimate of $2.17 million [7] BigBear.ai Holdings (NYSE:BBAI) - BigBear.ai's stock increased by 0.53%, closing at $5.71, with an intraday high of $5.96 and a low of $5.58; it surged over 12.4% to $6.42 in after-hours trading [8] - The company posted third-quarter revenue of $33.14 million, exceeding estimates but marking a 20% year-over-year decline due to reduced Army program volumes; it narrowed its loss to three cents per share and reaffirmed full-year guidance, also announcing plans to acquire generative AI platform Ask Sage [9]

Market Overview - Markets rebounded positively with the Dow increasing by 381 points (+0.81%), S&P 500 gaining 103 points (+1.54%), Nasdaq rising by 522 points (+2.27%), and Russell 2000 adding 30 points (+1.27%) [1] AI and Semiconductor Sector - Nasdaq experienced its best trading day since May, driven by chipmakers and AI infrastructure, with NVIDIA's CEO meeting Taiwan Semiconductor to discuss production increases, alleviating concerns about AI infrastructure spending [2] Government and Economic Data - Washington officials are working to re-open the government, with a focus on upcoming economic data releases including CPI, PPI, Weekly Jobless Claims, and Retail Sales, which will provide insights into economic trends [3] Q3 Earnings Reports - Paramount Global and Skydance (PSKY) reported negative earnings of -$0.12 per share, missing the consensus of +$0.46, but raised full-year revenue guidance to $30 billion from $28.74 billion [4] - CoreWeave (CRWV) reported a loss of -$0.22 per share, better than the expected -$0.39, with revenues of $1.36 billion exceeding expectations of $1.28 billion [6] - Rigetti Computing (RGTI) posted a loss of -$0.03 per share, better than the expected -$0.05, but revenues fell short at $1.9 million compared to the consensus of $2.39 million [7] Upcoming Earnings - Upcoming earnings reports include AI firm Nebius (NBIS), AngloGold Ashanti (AU), Beyond Meat (BYND), Cisco Systems (CSCO), Disney (DIS), and Applied Materials (AMAT) [8][9]

Market Overview - In early November 2025, U.S. equities, particularly in the technology and AI sectors, faced a significant sell-off, with the Nasdaq Composite experiencing its steepest weekly decline since April, leading to a loss of over $800 billion in market value for AI-focused stocks [1][2][3] AI Sector - The sell-off was characterized as a "sentiment-driven breather," indicating a correction after an overheated AI rally, with concerns about capital intensity due to massive investments required for training frontier models [6][9] - OpenAI's infrastructure commitments reached approximately $1.4 trillion, significantly exceeding its annual revenues of $13 billion, raising questions about the sustainability of AI's capital cycle [2][6] - Investors are advised to focus on AI enablers with proven monetization, such as Microsoft and Adobe, while reducing exposure to unprofitable "story stocks" until they show consistent earnings [7][9] Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor market demonstrated solid fundamentals, with a reported global market value of $346 billion in the first half of 2025, reflecting an 18.9% year-over-year increase, and an upward revision of the full-year outlook to about $728 billion, indicating a 15.4% growth [8][9] - Despite the positive outlook, the semiconductor space is cyclically sensitive, with potential margin compression due to order normalization and elevated inventories in PCs and smartphones [10] Quantum Computing - Quantum computing remains in an early-stage pre-commercial phase, attracting investor interest but characterized by volatile valuations [11] - Companies like IonQ and D-Wave reported strong revenue growth but still rely heavily on capital markets for funding, indicating ongoing funding needs in the sector [11][12] - Long-term investors are encouraged to treat quantum computing as a speculative allocation, focusing on firms with repeatable commercial traction or partnerships with major cloud providers [12]

Earnings Summary for Rigetti Computing - Rigetti Computing reported a third quarter operating loss of $20.5 million, exceeding the estimated loss of $20.1 million, with revenue of $1.9 million, which was below the expected $2.17 million [1][2] - The company also reported a loss per share of $0.62, significantly worse than the estimated loss of $0.05 [2][12] - The revenue figures are considered small, primarily derived from government contracts and consulting work [4][5] Market Reaction and Future Outlook - Despite the significant misses in earnings and revenue, the stock did not experience violent trading movements, with a downside of about 1.5% [2][3] - Investors view Rigetti as a potential long-term player in the quantum computing space, akin to Nvidia, but acknowledge the near-term challenges [5][6] - Any material breakthroughs or new contracts, especially from the U.S. government, could serve as catalysts for stock price recovery [6][9] Industry Context and Competitive Landscape - The quantum computing sector is still in its early stages, with significant capital flowing into speculative trades based on anticipated revolutionary technology [8][9] - Rigetti is competing with major players like Intel, IBM, and Google, which may impact its market positioning [12][13] - The company is focusing on building relationships with the Department of Defense, which could provide a strategic advantage [13][14] Earnings Summary for Core - Core reported a third quarter loss per share of $0.22, better than estimates ranging from $0.39 to $0.57 [14] - The net loss was $110.1 million, significantly better than the estimated loss of $299.6 million [14] - Revenue for the quarter was $1.36 billion, exceeding the expected $1.29 billion [15] Operational Insights and Market Dynamics - Core's backlog of orders as of September 30 was $55.6 billion, missing the street's expectation of $60 billion [17] - The company is investing heavily in building data centers and leasing Nvidia chips, which raises concerns about potential overcapacity in the future [18][19] - Analysts express concerns about the sustainability of business models for companies like Core that rely on overcapacity from hyperscalers [25][26]

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing Inc. reported a mixed third-quarter earnings report, leading to a decline in its stock price [1] Financial Performance - The company reported quarterly losses of three cents per share, which was better than the analyst estimate of four cents [2] - Quarterly revenue was $1.94 million, missing the Street estimate of $2.17 million and down from $2.37 million in the same period last year [2] Technology Roadmap - Rigetti's CEO, Dr. Subodh Kulkarni, noted strong momentum in demand for on-premises quantum computers and collaborations to advance R&D and the quantum ecosystem [3] - The company is on track to deliver a 100+ qubit chiplet-based quantum system with an anticipated 99.5% median two-qubit gate fidelity by the end of 2025 [4] - Rigetti expects to deploy a 150+ qubit system by the end of 2026 with an anticipated 99.7% median two-qubit gate fidelity, and a 1,000+ qubit system by the end of 2027 with an anticipated 99.8% median two-qubit gate fidelity [5]

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing, Inc. reported strong momentum in demand for its quantum computers and collaborations to enhance R&D and the quantum ecosystem [3][5] - The company is on track to deliver a 100+ qubit chiplet-based quantum system by the end of 2025, with a median two-qubit gate fidelity of 99.5% [5][6] - Rigetti secured purchase orders totaling approximately $5.7 million for two 9-qubit Novera™ quantum computing systems, expected to be delivered in the first half of 2026 [7][8] Financial Highlights - Total revenues for Q3 2025 were $1.9 million, with an operating loss of $20.5 million [9] - GAAP net loss for the quarter was $201.0 million, translating to a net loss per share of $(0.62) [9][28] - As of September 30, 2025, cash, cash equivalents, and available-for-sale investments totaled $558.9 million, increasing to approximately $600.0 million by November 6, 2025 [9] Technology and Development - The company plans to deploy a 150+ qubit system by the end of 2026 and a 1,000+ qubit system by the end of 2027, with anticipated median two-qubit gate fidelities of 99.7% and 99.8%, respectively [6] - Rigetti is collaborating with QphoX on a $5.8 million AFRL contract to advance superconducting quantum networking [11] - The company is also engaged with DARPA on the Quantum Benchmarking Initiative, with ongoing discussions for future participation [12] Partnerships and Collaborations - New collaborations with the Centre for Development of Advanced Computing (C-DAC) and Montana State University (MSU) aim to advance quantum computing capabilities in academic and government sectors [5][14][16] - Rigetti supports NVIDIA's NVQLink platform for AI supercomputer-quantum integration, which is expected to enhance hybrid computation development [13] - The company plans to open an Italian subsidiary to pursue business opportunities and talent in the region [10]

Market Overview - U.S. equity markets are experiencing a robust rally, primarily driven by optimism regarding a resolution to the government shutdown [1][2] - Major indexes, including the Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average, are showing significant gains, with the Nasdaq up approximately 2.1% [2] Sector Performance - The technology sector is leading the rally, particularly in areas related to artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and cybersecurity [3] - Cyclical sectors such as information technology, communications services, industrials, financials, and consumer discretionary are favored by analysts, indicating a return of risk appetite [3] - Metal stocks are experiencing a surge due to strong demand, while the utilities sector may gain favor as interest rates are expected to decline [3] Corporate Developments - Palantir Technologies is a standout performer, surging approximately 6.7% after a significant drop last week, with a year-to-date gain of about 150% [12] - Nvidia, Alphabet, and Amazon.com are also seeing substantial gains, with Nvidia up 3.7% and both Alphabet and Amazon rising 3% each [12] - Tesla shares are down 3.7% following the approval of Elon Musk's compensation package [12] - Tyson Foods reported stronger-than-expected quarterly profits, leading to a 1.5% increase in shares despite facing rising beef costs [12] - Plug Power Inc. plans to generate over $275 million in liquidity through asset monetization and collaboration with a U.S. data center developer [12] Upcoming Events - The Federal Reserve's next FOMC meeting on December 9-10 is anticipated, with a 63% chance of another rate cut being priced in by financial markets [5] - Key economic data releases are scheduled for later in November, which could provide insights into the economy's health once the government reopens [6]

Key Takeaways RGTI announced $5.7M in orders for two Novera 9-qubit systems from tech and AI startups.RGTI signed an MOU with India's C-DAC to co-develop hybrid quantum-classical systems.Upcoming Q3 results will gauge RGTI's shift from R&D toward commercial execution and scalability.As the third quarter approaches, Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is trying to turn strategy into reality. In September, the company announced purchase orders totaling approximately $5.7 million for two of its Novera 9-qubit quantum sys ...

Economic and Market Overview - A group of eight moderate Democratic senators has ended a 38-day federal government shutdown, positively impacting pre-market futures [1] - The blue-chip Dow is up 155 points, S&P 500 is up 60 points, and Nasdaq is up 365 points, indicating a strong market response [2] - The 10-year bond yield has increased to 4.12%, while the two-year yield is at 3.60%, reflecting market adjustments [2] - Economic data, including CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales, is expected to be released later this week, which will inform the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [3] Company Earnings Reports - Tyson Foods (TSN) reported Q3 earnings of $1.15 per share, exceeding expectations of $0.85, resulting in a positive surprise of 35.3%, although revenue slightly missed at $13.86 billion compared to the expected $13.91 billion [4] - Monday.com (MNDY) posted earnings of $1.16 per share, beating projections of $0.89, with revenues of $316.9 million surpassing the expected $312 million; however, a significant drop in guidance for next-quarter revenues led to a 20% drop in share price [5] - Rigetti (RGTI) is anticipated to report a 37.5% year-over-year earnings growth, with modest revenue growth of 0.42%, and shares are up 120% year to date [6] - Paramount Skydance (PSKY) is expected to report a 6% decline in bottom line year-over-year, with a 1.45% increase in revenues; the outlook will be crucial for investors [7]

Core Viewpoint - IonQ shares have experienced a 24% decline over the past month, currently priced at $59.27, with a pessimistic outlook suggesting a potential valuation of $42, indicating the stock is unattractive due to its very high valuation despite moderate operational performance and financial health [2][4]. Valuation - IonQ's valuation appears very high compared to the broader market, leading to a recommendation to sell shares [5]. Growth - IonQ has demonstrated strong growth, with an average revenue increase of 107.6% over the past three years, and a 113% rise in revenues from $37 million to $80 million in the last 12 months. Quarterly revenues surged by 221.5% to $40 million compared to $12 million a year prior [5]. Profitability - Profitability metrics for IonQ are very weak, with an operating income of -$483 million and an operating margin of -604.5%. The company also reported a net income of approximately -$1.5 billion, reflecting a net margin of -1836.3% [9]. Financial Stability - IonQ's financial stability appears very strong, with a debt of $29 million against a market cap of $17 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.2%. The company holds $1.1 billion in cash out of total assets of $4.3 billion, leading to a cash-to-assets ratio of 25.0% [9]. Downturn Resilience - IonQ has shown very weak performance during economic downturns, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 index in terms of stock decline and recovery speed [6][10].