Core Insights - Lennar Corp. reported adjusted earnings of $2 per share, missing the consensus estimate of $2.10, and quarterly revenue of $8.81 billion, which also fell short of the Street estimate of $8.99 billion [1][3] Financial Performance - New orders increased by 12% to 23,004 homes, while the backlog stood at 16,953 homes valued at $6.6 billion [5] - Deliveries remained consistent with the prior year at 21,584 homes [3][5] - Total revenues reached $8.81 billion, with homebuilding operating earnings of $760 million [5] - Gross margin on home sales decreased to 17.5%, and SG&A expenses accounted for 8.2% of revenues from home sales [3][5] - Net margin on home sales was reported at 9.2% [5] - Financial Services operating earnings were $178 million, while the multifamily segment reported an operating loss of $16 million [5] Market Context - The results reflect ongoing pressures in the housing market, necessitating additional incentives that led to a reduced average sales price of $383,000 [3] - The stock price of Lennar was down 3.36% to $128.40 in extended trading following the earnings report [4]

Corporate Earnings and Strategic Shifts - Lennar Corporation reported third-quarter 2025 earnings with an EPS of $2.29, exceeding analyst estimates of $2.10, but revenue of $8.81 billion fell short of the expected $9.05 billion [2][8] - The EPS represents a significant decline from $4.26 in the same period last year, indicating ongoing challenges in the housing market [2][8] - For the fourth quarter, Lennar provided cautious guidance, projecting 22,000 to 23,000 deliveries and 20,000 to 21,000 new orders, both below consensus estimates [2][8] Logistics Sector Developments - FedEx is advancing its partnership with Amazon, focusing on larger and heavier packages, with onboarding expected to conclude by the third quarter [3][8] - This renewed collaboration is anticipated to enhance holiday delivery volumes and is seen as financially beneficial for FedEx, contrasting with UPS's strategy to reduce Amazon volume due to profitability concerns [3][8] Political and Economic Landscape - In Japan, Sanae Takaichi plans to propose income tax cuts and direct cash payouts as part of her campaign for the ruling Liberal Democratic Party's leadership, indicating potential fiscal stimulus [4][8] - US House Speaker Mike Johnson expressed confidence in passing a stopgap funding bill to prevent a government shutdown, highlighting ongoing political challenges [5][8] - New Zealand is nearing the appointment of a new central bank governor, who will face immediate scrutiny amid a weak domestic economy [6][8]

Core Viewpoint - Lennar reported a significant decline in third-quarter profit and forecasted lower home deliveries for the fourth quarter, indicating ongoing challenges in the housing market due to inflation and elevated interest rates [1][3]. Financial Performance - Lennar's third-quarter earnings were $2.29 per share, down from $4.26 per share a year earlier [4]. - Revenue for the quarter ended August 31 fell by 8.7% to $8.25 billion, which was below analysts' estimates of $9 billion [4]. Market Outlook - The company expects fourth-quarter home deliveries to be between 22,000 and 23,000 units, which is below analysts' expectations of over 25,000 units [3]. - Analysts at BofA Securities noted that the recent Fed rate cut is unlikely to have a significant short-term impact on the housing market, as the market had already priced in the rate changes [2]. Operational Challenges - Lennar's profit margins are under pressure due to sales incentives like mortgage rate buydowns and cost adjustments amid weakening home demand [3]. - The company does not anticipate being affected by tariffs and aims to focus on improving margins [3].

Builder Lennar’s forecast for quarterly home orders missed analysts’ estimates as affordability concerns and the wavering job market keep a lid on buyer demand https://t.co/ikDDxnI07B ...

Core Insights - Lennar Corporation reported a significant decline in net earnings for Q3 2025, with net earnings of $591 million or $2.29 per diluted share, down from $1.2 billion or $4.26 per diluted share in Q3 2024 [2][4]. - The company delivered 21,584 homes and recorded 23,004 new orders, reflecting a 12% increase in new orders compared to the previous year [3][4]. - The average sales price of homes decreased to $383,000 in Q3 2025 from $422,000 in Q3 2024, primarily due to market weakness [6][7]. Financial Performance - Total revenues for Q3 2025 were $8.8 billion, down 9% from $9.4 billion in Q3 2024, mainly due to a decrease in home sales revenue [4][6]. - Homebuilding operating earnings were $760 million, with a gross margin of 17.5%, down from 22.5% in the prior year [4][7]. - Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses increased to $676 million, representing 8.2% of revenues, up from 6.7% in Q3 2024 [8]. Operational Highlights - The company ended the quarter with a backlog of 16,953 homes valued at $6.6 billion [4][31]. - Inventory turns improved to 1.9 times, and cycle time decreased to 126 days, the shortest cycle time recorded [3]. - The company repurchased 4.1 million shares for $507 million at an average price of $122.97 [12]. Segment Performance - Financial Services segment operating earnings increased to $178 million, up from $144 million in Q3 2024, driven by higher profit per locked loan [9]. - The Multifamily segment reported an operating loss of $16 million, compared to operating earnings of $79 million in the prior year, impacted by a one-time gain in 2024 [10]. - Lennar Other segment operating earnings were $62 million, up from $20 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to mark-to-market gains on technology investments [10][22]. Guidance - For Q4 2025, the company expects new orders between 20,000 and 21,000 homes, deliveries of 22,000 to 23,000 homes, and a gross margin of approximately 17.5% [5][13]. - The average sales price for Q4 is projected to be between $380,000 and $390,000, with SG&A as a percentage of home sales expected to be between 7.8% and 8.0% [13]. Market Conditions - The company noted that elevated interest rates persisted throughout Q3 but showed signs of decline towards the end of the quarter, providing optimism for future performance [3]. - The long-term need for housing remains, and the company is focused on meeting affordability and sustaining production through efficiency and scale [5].

Core Insights - Century Communities, Inc. has announced a new development project for 170 single-family homes in Green Cove Springs, a rapidly growing area in the Jacksonville region [1][2][3] - The new community, named Asbury Creek, is expected to begin sales in mid-2026 and will feature amenities such as a pavilion, playground, and multi-use field, with no Community Development District (CDD) fees [2][3][7] Company Overview - Century Communities is recognized as one of the largest homebuilders in the U.S. and a leader in online home sales, having been named one of America's Most Trustworthy Companies for three consecutive years [6][8] - The company operates in 16 states and over 45 markets, providing a range of services including mortgage, title, insurance brokerage, and escrow through its subsidiaries [6][8] Development Details - The Asbury Creek community will be located off Henley Road, close to downtown Green Cove Springs, Fleming Island, and Middleburg, with convenient access to downtown Jacksonville via the First Coast Expressway [2][7] - The planned amenities aim to enhance the living experience for future residents, contributing to the community's appeal [2][7]

Core Viewpoint - Champion Homes, Inc. is donating the value of a modular home to Greater Cleveland Habitat for Humanity to support the construction of affordable homes in Cleveland [1] Company Summary - Champion Homes, Inc. emphasizes its commitment to building high-quality, affordable homes through offsite construction methods [1] - The company's President and CEO, Tim Larson, highlights the significant need for affordable housing in the area [1] Industry Summary - The collaboration with Greater Cleveland Habitat for Humanity reflects a growing trend in the industry towards partnerships aimed at addressing housing affordability [1]

Mortgage rates, meantime, on the move after yesterday's rate cut. Let's get straight to Diana Ol for the latest. Diana.>> Well, Melissa, as we discussed on Tuesday before the Fed cut, mortgage rates could go up and they did. They went up 15 basis points this morning, adding to nine basis points that they rose yesterday, making 24 basis points specifically since the Fed cut its rate. And that all according to Mortgage News Daily.Now, that's because, you know, as many experts weighed in, they expected that pe ...

Group 1 - Kennedy Wilson is acquiring Toll Brothers Apartment Living platform for $347 million, which includes a portfolio of completed properties and assets under development valued at $2.2 billion [7] - The transaction is expected to close in October and will enhance Kennedy Wilson's national platform in the rental housing space, totaling over 80,000 units [4][7] - The acquisition will allow Kennedy Wilson to manage 20 apartment and student housing properties from Toll Brothers, totaling over $3 billion in assets under management [7] Group 2 - Kennedy Wilson plans to invest approximately $90 million in the acquired interests, indicating a strong commitment to the rental housing sector [3] - The deal will create a mutually beneficial pipeline of shared deal flow, as Kennedy Wilson will refer for-sale housing opportunities to Toll Brothers, while receiving rental housing opportunities in return [5] - Toll Brothers aims to focus on its core homebuilding business and transition to a more asset-light model following the sale [6]

Group 1: Market Overview - Pre-market futures are up following a 25 basis points interest rate cut by the Fed, with the Dow up +230 points, S&P 500 up +51, Nasdaq up +287, and Russell 2000 up +30 points [1] - Bond yields have slightly increased, with the 10-year yield at +4.08% and the 2-year yield at +3.55% [1] Group 2: Jobless Claims - Initial Jobless Claims spiked to +264K due to a reporting disruption in Texas, marking the highest week of new claims since October 2021, but fell back to +231K for the last week [2] - Continuing Claims have decreased to 1.920 million, the lowest since May, remaining below 1.94 million for two consecutive weeks [3] Group 3: Manufacturing Index - The Philly Fed Index reported its highest monthly tally since January at +23.2, indicating five up-months and four down-months in 2025, contrasting with the negative Empire State Index of -8.7 for the same month [5] Group 4: Earnings Reports - Darden Restaurants (DRI) reported fiscal Q1 earnings of $1.97 per share, missing estimates by 3 cents, but revenues of $3.04 billion exceeded expectations, up from $2.76 billion a year ago [6] - FedEx (FDX) is expected to report earnings growth of +1.4% with a revenue increase of +0.9%, while Lennar Homes (LEN) faces tough comparisons with expected earnings growth of -45% and revenue decline of -4% [7]