Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the contrasting outlooks for two prominent stock-split companies: O'Reilly Automotive, which is seen as a strong buy, and Arista Networks, which is viewed as potentially overvalued and risky. Group 1: Stock-Split Overview - Stock splits allow companies to adjust their share price and outstanding share count without affecting market capitalization or operating performance [3] - Historically, companies conducting forward splits have averaged a 25.4% return in the 12 months following the announcement, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [5] Group 2: O'Reilly Automotive - O'Reilly Automotive is the first high-profile company to announce a forward split in 2025, with a planned 15-for-1 split reducing its share price from nearly $1,400 to around $90 [7][8] - The average age of vehicles in the U.S. has reached an all-time high of 12.6 years, increasing demand for O'Reilly's auto parts [9] - O'Reilly's business model is recession-resistant, as consumers are likely to keep their vehicles longer during economic downturns [10] - The company has an effective hub-and-spoke distribution model, allowing for quick delivery of a wide range of products [11] - O'Reilly has repurchased $25.94 billion worth of its common stock since 2011, retiring 59.4% of its outstanding shares, which boosts earnings per share [12] Group 3: Arista Networks - Arista Networks announced a 4-for-1 forward split, reducing its share price from nearly $422 to around $105 [16] - The company has experienced sustained sales growth, with service revenue increasing by 35% in 2024 to $1.12 billion [18] - Concerns exist regarding the potential bursting of the AI bubble, as many businesses have not yet optimized their AI solutions [19] - Macro factors, including a projected 2.4% decline in U.S. GDP, could negatively impact demand for Arista's products [20] - Despite a decline from its peak, Arista's price-to-sales multiple remains high at over 14, indicating potential for further downside [21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BYD with a target price of HKD 491.00 [6][21][19] Core Insights - BYD reported a revenue of CNY 170 billion in 1Q25, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 36% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 38% due to a shipment of 1 million NEVs, which is a 60% increase year-on-year [1][8] - The gross profit margin (GPM) for BYD in 1Q25 was 20.1%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, indicating ongoing fierce competition in the market [1][8] - Operating profit for BYD was CNY 5.6 billion, a 39% increase year-on-year, while net profit reached CNY 9.2 billion, doubling year-on-year [1][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 1Q25 was CNY 170.36 billion, a 36% increase year-on-year but a 38% decrease quarter-on-quarter [8] - Operating profit was CNY 5.6 billion, up 39% year-on-year, while net profit was CNY 9.2 billion, reflecting a 100% increase year-on-year [1][8] - The GPM was 20.1%, down from 20.7% in 1Q24, indicating a decline in profitability due to competitive pressures [1][8] Market Dynamics - The report highlights that BYD continues to benefit from its business scale despite a competitive environment, with sales and marketing expenses growing at a slower pace than revenue [1][4] - Recent government policies tightening smart driving function promotions have affected order volumes across the industry, prompting a shift in focus towards pricing strategies [2][3] Strategic Initiatives - BYD has initiated time-limited promotions with price cuts of 8-17% on select models to stimulate demand [4] - The company aims to improve liquidity through a proposed distribution of bonus shares, increasing the total number of shares from 3,039 million to 9,117 million [5][21]

Here at Zacks, our focus is on the proven Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find great stocks. Nevertheless, we are always paying attention to the latest value, growth, and momentum trends to underscore strong picks.Considering these trends, value investing is clearly one of the most preferred ways to find strong stocks in any type of market. Value investors use tried-and-true metrics and fundamental analysis to find companies that they believe are undervalued ...

Key Information - The discloser is Man Group PLC, which has interests in relevant securities of American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. and Dowlais Group plc [1][1][1] - The date of the position held is April 24, 2025 [1] Positions of the Discloser - Man Group PLC holds 855,942 shares of USD 0.01 common stock, representing 0.73% of the relevant securities [3] - The company has short positions in cash-settled derivatives amounting to 99,521, representing 0.08% [3] Dealings - Man Group PLC sold a total of 39,439 shares of USD 0.01 common stock at a price of 3.641 USD per unit on April 24, 2025 [7] Other Information - There are no indemnity or option arrangements related to the relevant securities [12] - There are no agreements or understandings regarding voting rights or future acquisition or disposal of relevant securities [14]

Stock-split euphoria fueled Wall Street's gains in 2024 A stock split is an event that allows a publicly traded company to cosmetically alter its share price and outstanding share count by the same factor. The "cosmetic" aspect has to do with these adjustments not impacting a public company's market cap or its underlying operating performance. Splits come in two flavors, with investors gravitating to one far more than the other. The less-popular of the two is a reverse split, which is designed to increase a ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive sector, indicating a continued bullish sentiment towards the industry [3][46]. Core Insights - The automotive sector is experiencing a rebound, with a week-on-week increase of 10.8% in passenger car insurance registrations, signaling a recovery in demand [2][46]. - The report highlights the importance of AI integration and the dual focus on innovation and traditional growth strategies within the automotive industry [3]. - Key automotive companies such as Tesla, BYD, and Great Wall Motors have shown varying performance in Q1 2025, with Tesla reporting a revenue of $19.335 billion, a decrease of 9.2% quarter-on-quarter [2][3]. Summary by Sections Weekly Review - The SW automotive index increased by 4.9% this week, with commercial passenger vehicles leading the gains at +6.6% [2]. - Notable stock performances include NIO, Nastec, and Chuanfeng Power, which have shown significant price increases [2][24]. Industry Changes - Tesla's Q1 2025 revenue was $19.335 billion, down 9.2% quarter-on-quarter, while BYD reported a revenue of 170.4 billion yuan, up 36% quarter-on-quarter [2][3]. - The report anticipates a strong demand for passenger vehicles due to new scrappage policies, projecting a retail sales volume of 23.83 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [47][48]. Market Trends - The report emphasizes the ongoing competition in smart driving technology, predicting that L3 automation will see significant adoption among mainstream automakers by 2025 [50]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles is expected to reach 62% by 2025, reflecting a growing trend towards electrification in the automotive market [48][51]. Stock Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on companies that are leading in AI and electrification, recommending stocks such as Xpeng, Li Auto, and BYD for A-shares, and NIO for Hong Kong shares [3][46].

证券研究报告 汽车周观点： 4月第3周乘用车环比+10.8%，继续看好汽车板块 证券分析师 ：黄细里 执业证书编号：S0600520010001 联系邮箱：huangxl@dwzq.com.cn 2025年4月27日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 核心结论 注：若无特殊说明，"本周"均代表2025.4.21-2025.4.27 2 （ ◼ 本周复盘总结：四月第三周交强险37.8万辆，环比上周/上月周度+10.8%/-19.9% 。 本周SW汽车指数+4.9%，细分板块涨跌幅排序: SW商用载客车(+6.6%)＞ SW汽车零 部件(+5.7%) > SW汽车(+4.9%)>SW乘用车(+3.9%)>SＷ商用载货车(+3.85%) > 重 卡指数(+3.79%) >SW摩托车及其他(+2.6%) 。本周已覆盖标的蔚来-SW、耐世特、 春风动力、长华集团、爱柯迪涨幅较好。 ◼ 本周团队研究成果：外发深度报告《看好Robotaxi商业化落地拐点已至》；银轮股份、 拓普集团、松原安全、伯特利2024年报点评；瑞鹄模具、旭升集团2025年一季报点评。 ◼ 本周行业核心变化：1）特斯拉2025Q1实现营收193.35亿 ...

Core Viewpoint - O'Reilly Automotive is positioned as a strong investment opportunity, with solid business fundamentals and a proposed stock split aimed at increasing accessibility for investors and employees [3][4][11]. Group 1: Financial Performance - O'Reilly Automotive reported Q1 revenue of $4.14 billion, reflecting a 4% year-over-year increase, driven by a 3.6% comparable store gain [6]. - The company achieved a quarterly net income of $538 million, maintaining positive cash flow while returning capital to shareholders through share repurchases [8]. - Despite margin contraction due to increased cost pressures, the earnings remain robust enough to sustain the financial outlook [8]. Group 2: Stock Split and Market Impact - A proposed 15:1 stock split is set for a vote in May, aimed at making shares more accessible and potentially benefiting the broader market [3][4]. - Historical data suggests that stocks that undergo splits tend to outperform the market over time, indicating a positive outlook for O'Reilly post-split [4]. - Analysts have raised their price targets following the guidance update, with a consensus target of $1,412.06, suggesting a potential upside of 4.83% [10][11]. Group 3: Analyst Sentiment - The consensus among 18 analysts remains bullish, with all recent revisions indicating price target increases [11]. - The stock price is currently experiencing a pullback from record highs but shows signs of forming a bullish consolidation, with potential for further increases [12]. - Support is anticipated near the $1,300 level, which may be retested before reaching new highs [13].

Investment Rating - The report provides a short-term investment focus on specific companies across various sectors, highlighting preferred and risk names based on tariff impacts [7][30]. Core Insights - The report analyzes the implications of the Trump administration's tariffs on nine major sectors, emphasizing the direct and indirect impacts on individual companies and their stock performance [6][30]. - The automotive sector is expected to face significant price increases due to tariffs, with an estimated 11.5% rise in US auto prices, translating to approximately $5,100 per vehicle [9][17]. - The report identifies key companies within each sector that are likely to be affected by tariffs, providing a detailed analysis of their potential performance [4][30]. Sector Summaries Autos and Auto Parts - Tariffs on automobiles could lead to a gross impact on operating profit ranging from 30% to over 100% for various automakers, with Toyota and Honda facing a manageable impact while Nissan and Mazda are at higher risk [4][9]. - Focus is placed on Toyota Motor for its resilience and ability to raise prices, while Bridgestone is noted for its high local production ratio [30][31]. Banks - The impact of tariffs on banks remains uncertain, but concerns over worst-case scenarios have eased, with a potential downside risk of slightly over 10% to sector earnings forecasts in a bearish scenario [4][33]. - Japan Post Bank is highlighted as a relatively stable option amidst tariff uncertainties [4][33]. Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices - Major pharmaceutical companies like Takeda and Astellas are expected to be heavily impacted by tariffs, while companies with lower US sales ratios may benefit from tariff avoidance [4][30]. - The report emphasizes the potential for increased costs of goods sold (CoGS) affecting operating profits for medical device companies [4]. Technology - The technology sector's tariff impact is complex, with companies like NEC and Fujitsu expected to perform well due to limited exposure to tariffs [5][30]. - Sony Group is under close observation for potential price hikes on its products, particularly the PlayStation 5 [5][30]. Chemicals and Steel - In the chemicals sector, companies like Nippon Paint are expected to benefit from lower raw material prices, while the steel sector is anticipated to experience limited direct tariff impacts [5][30]. - Kobe Steel is noted for its resilience due to a significant earnings contribution from its machinery business [5][30]. Retail - The retail sector is advised to focus on drugstores and discount retailers, with companies like Asics and Fast Retailing facing risks from declining sales due to high tariff exposure [5][30]. - Seven & i Holdings is highlighted as particularly vulnerable due to its significant exposure to the US market [5][30].

Priced as of April 17, 2025 In this note, we include the latest comp sheet and valuation metrics for global automotive OEMs (page 3), auto parts suppliers (page 5), auto auction service providers (page 13), tire manufacturers (page 14), auto rentals (page 15), and auto dealers (page 16). J P M O R G A N North America Equity Research 21 April 2025 Autos Valuation Comp Sheet Autos & Auto Parts Ryan Brinkman AC (1-212) 622-6581 ryan.j.brinkman@jpmorgan.com Rajat Gupta AC (1-212) 622-6382 rajat.gupta@jpmorgan.c ...