金十数据6月16日讯，瑞银经济学家在一份报告中说，英国央行可能会在本周四的利率决定中维持利率 不变。经济学家们说，围绕英国经济增长和通胀前景的不确定性可能会导致英国央行6月份将利率维持 在4.25%的水平。不过，英国央行可能会在8月和11月降息，到2025年底将利率降至3.75%。 瑞银：英国央行本周可能维持利率不变 ...

以色列央行：在职责范围内已做好准备并处于待命状态。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Bank of England's monetary policy committee member, Green, indicates that despite a decrease in interest rates, there remains a risk of consumers being unwilling to spend [1] Group 1 - The current economic environment shows a decline in interest rates, which typically encourages spending [1] - There is a notable concern regarding consumer behavior, specifically the reluctance to consume despite favorable monetary conditions [1]

英国央行副行长隆巴尔代利：在5月政策轮开始前，央行在维持利率和降息之间取得了平衡。 ...

Group 1 - The Bank of Canada is closely monitoring the availability of credit, financing conditions, and market liquidity [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Bank of Canada is less concerned about the impact of high borrowing costs on debt servicing capabilities compared to a year ago [1] Group 1 - The central bank's perspective has shifted, indicating a more optimistic outlook on the ability of borrowers to manage high interest rates [1] - This change in sentiment may reflect improvements in the overall economic conditions or adjustments in consumer behavior regarding debt [1]

金十提示：英国央行货币政策新闻发布会结束。 ...

⑤关于通胀：英国央行下调2025年、2026年和2027年的通胀预期；预计通胀率将在2025年第三季度达到 3.5%的峰值，此前预计为3.7%。 ③利率指引：英国央行维持利率指引的措辞不变，称"循序渐进、小心谨慎"的做法仍然是合适的。需 要"足够长时间"内保持政策限制。 ④关于GDP：英国央行上调2025年GDP增速预估，但下调2026年GDP增速预估，并维持2027年GDP增 速预估不变。 ①决议结果：英国央行降息25个基点至4.25%，符合预期。 ②投票比例：英国央行决策者对利率的投票立场分为三派—— 5名委员支持降息25个基点，2人（委员 Swati dingra和Alan Taylor）支持降息50个基点，2人（首席经济学家Huw Pill和委员Catherine Mann）主 张不变。 ...

英国央行行长贝利：我属于"相当犹豫不决的阵营"。 ...

Group 1 - The median inflation expectations for fiscal years 2018 to 2020 show a slight decrease, with 2018 at 2.4%, 2019 at 1.9%, and 2020 remaining stable at 1.9% [2] - The GDP growth rate expectations for the same fiscal years indicate a modest increase, with 2018 at 1%, 2019 at 1.25%, and 2020 holding steady at 1.5% [2]